The Fever Collection
+ The Operation Broken Fang Collection
StatTrak™
Classified → Covert
About the craftCraft 1728478 · ways to build: 5StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+100 265.61₸
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».263 010.24₸
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.363 275.85₸
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+38.1%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.45%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 684 899.80₸
· profit at most −321 624.00₸
(at most -47.0%) · chance of profit at most 0%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) × 17% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.1614504.52 → 31329.76 ₸
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear) × 97% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.63248505.73 → 653570.06 ₸
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
profit on prices without salesIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −203 150 ₸Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −203 150 ₸: StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New), StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New)
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
продажа ненадёжнаmarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.float out of reachThere are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
1× StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New)buy0.0000–0.0059
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
7% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0049
(4% of this wear's listings)
14 504.52 ₸
at 14 504.52
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004970f′ (normalized) 0.004970wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 18 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 61 166.07 ₸ · little data: 1.0 d.
×9
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0756
(0% of this wear's listings)
248 505.73 ₸
at 27 611.75
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075680f′ (normalized) 0.077225wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs263 010.24 ₸
+100 265.61
(+38.1%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.056000, 0.070000, 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −177 026 ₸
!
7% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0758
(0% of this wear's listings)
5 553.91 ₸
at 5 553.91
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075834f′ (normalized) 0.075834wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 18 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
×1
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0051
(4% of this wear's listings)
14 504.52 ₸
at 14 504.52
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005105f′ (normalized) 0.005105wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 18 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 61 166.07 ₸ · little data: 1.0 d.
×8
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0758
(0% of this wear's listings)
220 893.98 ₸
at 27 611.75
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075834f′ (normalized) 0.077382wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs240 952.41 ₸
+95 008.12
(+39.4%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.056000, 0.070000, 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −67 446 ₸
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×6
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0045
(4% of this wear's listings)
87 027.10 ₸
at 14 504.52
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004520f′ (normalized) 0.004520wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 18 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 61 166.07 ₸ · little data: 1.0 d.
×4
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1648
(0% of this wear's listings)
60 609.89 ₸
at 15 152.47
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164854f′ (normalized) 0.168218wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 15 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Set · 10 pcs147 636.99 ₸
+79 062.22
(+53.5%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.056000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×7
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0748
(0% of this wear's listings)
38 877.38 ₸
at 5 553.91
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074873f′ (normalized) 0.074873wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 18 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
×2
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0042
(4% of this wear's listings)
29 009.03 ₸
at 14 504.52
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004264f′ (normalized) 0.004264wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 18 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 61 166.07 ₸ · little data: 1.0 d.
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1640
(0% of this wear's listings)
15 152.47 ₸
at 15 152.47
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164010f′ (normalized) 0.167357wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 15 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Set · 10 pcs83 038.89 ₸
+61 714.35
(+74.3%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.056000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −16 774 ₸
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×6
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0747
(0% of this wear's listings)
33 323.47 ₸
at 5 553.91
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074742f′ (normalized) 0.074742wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 18 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
×2
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0041
(0% of this wear's listings)
29 009.03 ₸
at 14 504.52
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004149f′ (normalized) 0.004149wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 18 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1636
(0% of this wear's listings)
15 152.47 ₸
at 15 152.47
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163635f′ (normalized) 0.166974wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 15 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0747
(0% of this wear's listings)
27 611.75 ₸
at 27 611.75
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074742f′ (normalized) 0.076268wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs105 096.72 ₸
+66 971.84
(+63.7%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.056000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
4 outcomes
Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%
at a loss
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir
Factory New
128 325.73 ₸45.00%
SteamStatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)net 111587.57you get 0.070000The Operation Broken Fang Collectionsells 1 a weeksell now to a buy order: 114 589.64 ₸
(you get 99 643.13)) · buy orders: 1715
sell now to a buy order: 545 480.96 ₸
(you get 474 331.24)) · buy orders: 1968
at a loss
StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream
Factory New
221 846.64 ₸5.00%
SteamStatTrak™ AWP | Printstream (Factory New)net 192910.13you get 0.070000sells 2 a weeksell now to a buy order: 184 695.08 ₸
(you get 160 604.40)) · buy orders: 1670
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip
Factory New
48 260.48 ₸5.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New)net 41965.63you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 42 885.37 ₸
(you get 37 291.59)) · buy orders: 1426
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+85 157.02 ₸a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+96 681.25 ₸historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Operation Broken Fang Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
Similar
22 crafts almost like this one
The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 1717702
· The CS20 Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 104 810.58₸
· invest 256 005.99₸
profit on prices without salesat least −204 365 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075025 instead of 0.075680
Craft 1736051
· The Kilowatt Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 103 766.53₸
· invest 257 185.97₸
profit on prices without salesat least −203 297 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075447 instead of 0.075680
Craft 1729353
· The Fracture Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 103 322.76₸
· invest 253 848.35₸
profit on prices without salesat least −202 102 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075226 instead of 0.075680
Craft 1737419
· The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 103 152.97₸
· invest 255 520.11₸
profit on prices without salesat least −198 165 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075476 instead of 0.075680
Craft 1727543
· The Falchion Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 102 313.98₸
· invest 262 345.83₸
profit on prices without salesat least −212 131 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074794 instead of 0.075680
profit on prices without salesat least −211 431 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075559 instead of 0.075680
Craft 1737325
· The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 101 065.74₸
· invest 259 379.63₸
profit on prices without salesat least −209 165 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074722 instead of 0.075680
Craft 1737459
· The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 100 298.33₸
· invest 258 305.98₸
profit on prices without salesat least −205 341 ₸rare inputs
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
