Crafts · The Fever Collection
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The Fever Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1728537 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +780.38₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 8 431.07₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 9 211.45₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +9.3%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 50%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 20 425.31₽ · profit at most −11 213.87₽ (at most -54.9%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 480.98 → 1038.92 ₽
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) × 4 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 2384.04 → 5638.25 ₽
Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) × 5 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 5566.05 → 13748.14 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection
+780.38 ₽ +9.3% chance of profit 50%
expensive: AK-47 | B the Monster (Minimal Wear) · 13 205.51 ₽ · chance 50%
rare inputs
  • 1× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1653
  • 4× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0753
  • 5× Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1653
Variant 2 The Gamma Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection
+4 211.79 ₽ +62.1% chance of profit 55%
expensive: M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New) · 20 949.72 ₽ · chance 5.0%
sells slowly float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 5 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
  • 1× SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0055
Variant 3 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection
+4 051.39 ₽ +66.6% chance of profit 95%
expensive: AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 14 206.16 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly
  • 9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
  • 1× Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
Variant 4 The Fracture Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection
+3 953.64 ₽ +66.2% chance of profit 95%
expensive: AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 14 206.16 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 19 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
  • 1× XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection
+3 868.70 ₽ +60.6% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 14 206.16 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 1× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0051
Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection
+3 833.09 ₽ +61.6% chance of profit 95%
expensive: AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 14 206.16 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly
  • 9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768
  • 1× P250 | Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1653
480.98 ₽
at 480.98
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165333f′ (normalized) 0.165333wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 293 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 700.00 ₽ · little data: 2.0 d.
×4
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0753
2 384.04 ₽
at 596.01
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075333f′ (normalized) 0.075333wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 213 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.9 d.
×5
Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1653
5 566.05 ₽
at 1 113.21
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165333f′ (normalized) 0.206666wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 208 · good ≈ 5
on the market with this float, usually ~6, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 1 629.65 ₽ · little data: 1.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 8 431.07 ₽ +780.38 (+9.3%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.149999900 result 0.120000, 0.150000, 0.150000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 3 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 50%
  • Losing outcome 50%
in profit
best
AK-47 | B the Monster
Minimal Wear
15 186.34 ₽ 50.00%
Steam AK-47 | B the Monster (Minimal Wear)net 13205.51 you get 0.120000The Overpass 2024 Collection sells 23 a week sell now to a buy order: 14 322.55 ₽ (you get 12 454.39)) · buy orders: 1244
at a loss
AWP | Printstream
Minimal Wear
6 767.91 ₽ 25.00%
Steam AWP | Printstream (Minimal Wear)net 5885.14 you get 0.150000 sells 220 a week sell now to a buy order: 6 522.51 ₽ (you get 5 671.74)) · buy orders: 2679
at a loss
worst
FAMAS | Bad Trip
Minimal Wear
5 232.06 ₽ 25.00%
Steam FAMAS | Bad Trip (Minimal Wear)net 4549.62 you get 0.150000 sells 192 a week sell now to a buy order: 4 831.88 ₽ (you get 4 201.63)) · buy orders: 3019
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