Crafts · The Fever Collection
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The Fever Collection + The Recoil Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1728673 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 147.94₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 5 621.76₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 6 769.70₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +20.4%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 95%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 13 758.72₽ · profit at most −6 989.02₽ (at most -50.8%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 596.01 → 1287.38 ₽
P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) × 2 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 1012.72 → 2238.11 ₽
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) × 7 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 4013.03 → 10233.23 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Recoil Collection
+1 147.94 ₽ +20.4% chance of profit 95%
expensive: USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) · 7 709.81 ₽ · chance 45%
  • 1× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 2× P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 7× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
Variant 2 The Gamma Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+4 211.79 ₽ +62.1% chance of profit 55%
expensive: M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New) · 20 949.72 ₽ · chance 5.0%
sells slowly float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 5 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
  • 1× SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0055
Variant 3 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+4 051.39 ₽ +66.6% chance of profit 95%
expensive: AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 14 206.16 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly
  • 9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
  • 1× Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
Variant 4 The Fracture Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+3 953.64 ₽ +66.2% chance of profit 95%
expensive: AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 14 206.16 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 19 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
  • 1× XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+3 868.70 ₽ +60.6% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 14 206.16 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 1× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0051
Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+3 828.56 ₽ +60.1% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 14 206.16 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly
  • 9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0769
  • 1× AWP | Duality (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0758
596.01 ₽
at 596.01
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075851f′ (normalized) 0.075851wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 213 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.9 d.
×2
P250 | Visions
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0758
1 012.72 ₽
at 506.36
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075851f′ (normalized) 0.108359wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 202 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~4, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 1 855.21 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
×7
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0758
4 013.03 ₽
at 573.29
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075851f′ (normalized) 0.075851wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 253 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
Set · 10 pcs 5 621.76 ₽ +1 147.94 (+20.4%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.082352841 result 0.057647, 0.070000, 0.082353, 0.082353 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 5%
  • About break-even 5%
in profit
AWP | Chromatic Aberration
Factory New
7 100.73 ₽ 45.00%
Steam AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New)net 6174.55 you get 0.057647The Recoil Collection sells 34 a week sell now to a buy order: 7 133.54 ₽ (you get 6 203.07)) · buy orders: 2825 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 836.79 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 399.99 · lots 40 on CSFloat: from 5 330.50 ₽ listings: 184 on CS.Money: ~ 5 700.55 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 676.56 ₽ listings: 176
in profit
best
USP-S | Printstream
Factory New
8 866.28 ₽ 45.00%
Steam USP-S | Printstream (Factory New)net 7709.81 you get 0.070000The Recoil Collection sells 33 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 7 742.83 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 489.95 · lots 45 on CSFloat: from 7 423.13 ₽ listings: 245 on CS.Money: ~ 8 402.20 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 993.62 ₽ listings: 196
about break-even
AWP | Printstream
Minimal Wear
6 767.91 ₽ 5.00%
Steam AWP | Printstream (Minimal Wear)net 5885.14 you get 0.082353 sells 220 a week sell now to a buy order: 6 522.51 ₽ (you get 5 671.74)) · buy orders: 2679 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 107.20 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 600.00 · lots 118 on CSFloat: from 4 882.51 ₽ listings: 385 on CS.Money: ~ 5 339.93 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 095.80 ₽ listings: 402
at a loss
worst
FAMAS | Bad Trip
Minimal Wear
5 232.06 ₽ 5.00%
Steam FAMAS | Bad Trip (Minimal Wear)net 4549.62 you get 0.082353 sells 192 a week sell now to a buy order: 4 831.88 ₽ (you get 4 201.63)) · buy orders: 3019 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 830.40 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 4 200.00 · lots 28 on CSFloat: from 3 821.21 ₽ listings: 93 on CS.Money: ~ 3 861.47 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 4 113.30 ₽ listings: 87
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