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The Fever Collection + The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit +661.72₴

Invest 1 127.48₴

Average return 1 789.20₴

ROI +58.7%

Chance of profit 100%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 2 620.30₴ · profit at most −831.10₴ (at most -31.7%) · chance of profit at most 10%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) × 6 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 456.44 → 1145.67 ₴

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) × 3 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 251.85 → 569.17 ₴

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 419.20 → 905.46 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −126 ₴

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Wildfire Collection

+661.72 ₴ +58.7% chance of profit 100%

expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) · 4 831.68 ₴ · chance 3.3%

profit on prices without salesat least −126 ₴

6× StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
3× StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
1× StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037

Variant 2 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

+705.74 ₴ +79.6% chance of profit 100%

expensive: StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator (Factory New) · 3 783.92 ₴ · chance 3.3%

sells slowly

7× StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
2× StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
1× StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Last Dive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035

Variant 3 The Recoil Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

+688.91 ₴ +86.4% chance of profit 97%

expensive: StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Factory New) · 1 765.38 ₴ · chance 30%

sells slowly

7× StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
2× StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
1× StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036

Variant 4 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

+686.76 ₴ +83.1% chance of profit 97%

expensive: StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker (Factory New) · 1 874.06 ₴ · chance 3.3%

sells slowly

7× StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
2× StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
1× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036

Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

+661.71 ₴ +82.7% chance of profit 97%

expensive: StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Factory New) · 1 765.38 ₴ · chance 30%

sells slowly

5× StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
4× StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
1× StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) buy 0.2100–0.2185

Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

+650.11 ₴ +67.1% chance of profit 100%

expensive: StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) · 5 125.27 ₴ · chance 3.3%

sells slowly

7× StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
2× StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
1× StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

456.44 ₴

at 76.07

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

251.85 ₴

at 83.95

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

419.20 ₴

at 419.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 127.48 ₴ +661.72 (+58.7%)

profit on prices without sales at least −3 177 ₴

10% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 10% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0782

76.07 ₴

at 76.07

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0782

696.84 ₴

at 232.28

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

2 515.17 ₴

at 419.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 288.09 ₴ +573.76 (+17.4%)

profit on prices without sales at least −1 279 ₴

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

456.44 ₴

at 76.07

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

232.28 ₴

at 232.28

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

1 257.59 ₴

at 419.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 946.31 ₴ +620.14 (+31.9%)

profit on prices without sales at least −2 372 ₴

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

152.15 ₴

at 76.07

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

179.64 ₴

at 179.64

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

696.84 ₴

at 232.28

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

1 676.78 ₴

at 419.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 705.41 ₴ +638.28 (+23.6%)

profit on prices without sales at least −2 722 ₴

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

152.15 ₴

at 76.07

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

696.84 ₴

at 232.28

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

2 095.98 ₴

at 419.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 944.97 ₴ +657.80 (+22.3%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage

Factory New

1 807.75 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu

Factory New

2 030.19 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

worst

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

1 440.98 ₴ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Factory New

4 828.06 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon

Factory New

5 556.43 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

3 832.71 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +426.12 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +602.94 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1716438 · The Breakout Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 658.24₴ · invest 911.54₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074187 instead of 0.074277; StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074187 instead of 0.074277

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Wildfire Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build