Crafts · The Fracture Collection
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The Fracture Collection + The Horizon Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1729234 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +2 383.05₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 4 258.19₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 6 641.24₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +56.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 30%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 10 421.10₽ · profit at most −3 779.85₽ (at most -36.3%) · chance of profit at most 30%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 171.00 → 369.36 ₽
Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) × 4 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 415.44 → 982.52 ₽
AWP | PAW (Factory New) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 3671.75 → 9069.22 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Horizon Collection
+2 383.05 ₽ +56.0% chance of profit 30%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1634
  • 5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
Variant 2 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection
+2 628.21 ₽ +155.1% chance of profit 67%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 13%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 9 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
  • 6× UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Fracture Collection
+2 510.39 ₽ +70.5% chance of profit 33%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 17%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 1× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
  • 5× USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The Fracture Collection
+2 498.21 ₽ +59.9% chance of profit 30%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1620
  • 5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
  • 1× MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) buy 0.2100–0.2188
Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Fracture Collection
+2 479.91 ₽ +65.4% chance of profit 73%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 13%
sells slowly
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1648
  • 6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
Variant 6 only The Horizon Collection
+2 464.21 ₽ +51.1% chance of profit 33%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 33%
sells slowly float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
  • 6× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
MP5-SD | Kitbash
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0040
171.00 ₽
at 171.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004099f′ (normalized) 0.005124wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 390 · good ≈ 5
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 176 · from 1 683.18 ₽ (float 0.0013) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×4
Nova | Toy Soldier
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1634
415.44 ₽
at 103.86
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163469f′ (normalized) 0.163469wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 248 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 11 782.39 ₽
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 81) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×5
AWP | PAW
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0040
3 671.75 ₽
at 734.35
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004099f′ (normalized) 0.008199wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 487 · good ≈ 13
on the market with this float, usually ~14, new ~0.2 per day, cheapest usually 2 680.49 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 8 of 259 · from 2 680.24 ₽ (float 0.0023) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 4 258.19 ₽ +2 383.05 (+56.0%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.049000, 0.070000, 0.056000, 0.052500, 0.051100, 0.035000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 30%
  • Losing outcome 70%
at a loss
FAMAS | Eye of Athena
Factory New
2 902.32 ₽ 30.00%
Steam FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New)net 2523.76 you get 0.049000The Horizon Collection sells 10 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 905.05 ₽ (you get 2 526.13)) · buy orders: 3860 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 342.91 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 568.99 · lots 31 on CSFloat: from 2 221.97 ₽ listings: 80 on CS.Money: ~ 2 209.98 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 186.00 ₽ listings: 116
in profit
best
M4A1-S | Nightmare
Factory New
20 602.47 ₽ 30.00%
Steam M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New)net 17915.19 you get 0.070000The Horizon Collection sells 8 a week sell now to a buy order: 24 566.74 ₽ (you get 21 362.38)) · buy orders: 2139 sell on Market.CSGO: 21 190.75 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 23 235.48 · lots 13 on CSFloat: from 18 649.49 ₽ listings: 58 on CS.Money: ~ 20 373.78 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 20 521.12 ₽ listings: 76
at a loss
Sawed-Off | Devourer
Factory New
1 631.06 ₽ 30.00%
Steam Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New)net 1418.31 you get 0.056000The Horizon Collection sells 10 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 810.16 ₽ (you get 1 574.05)) · buy orders: 2047 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 561.09 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 711.73 · lots 19 on CSFloat: from 1 481.03 ₽ listings: 45 on CS.Money: ~ 1 463.90 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 471.61 ₽ listings: 72
at a loss
Glock-18 | Vogue
Factory New
999.71 ₽ 3.33%
Steam Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New)net 869.31 you get 0.052500 sells 137 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 108.28 ₽ (you get 963.72)) · buy orders: 7948 sell on Market.CSGO: 928.65 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 018.26 · lots 53 on CSFloat: from 856.58 ₽ listings: 354 on CS.Money: ~ 932.82 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 909.69 ₽ listings: 682
at a loss
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy
Factory New
1 290.76 ₽ 3.33%
Steam M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New)net 1122.40 you get 0.051100 sells 130 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 187.65 ₽ (you get 1 032.73)) · buy orders: 8829 sell on Market.CSGO: 958.95 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 051.49 · lots 82 on CSFloat: from 938.81 ₽ listings: 302 on CS.Money: ~ 956.80 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 974.79 ₽ listings: 629
at a loss
worst
XM1014 | Entombed
Factory New
609.80 ₽ 3.33%
Steam XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New)net 530.26 you get 0.035000 sells 215 a week sell now to a buy order: 586.17 ₽ (you get 509.71)) · buy orders: 6021 sell on Market.CSGO: 470.28 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 515.66 · lots 139 on CSFloat: from 475.40 ₽ listings: 293 on CS.Money: ~ 455.70 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 463.41 ₽ listings: 412
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