Crafts · The Fracture Collection
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The Fracture Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1729407 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 157.95₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 2 954.34₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 4 112.29₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +39.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 70%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 7 381.82₽ · profit at most −3 269.53₽ (at most -44.3%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Tec-9 | Brother (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 90.94 → 196.43 ₽
MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) × 2 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 342.00 → 755.82 ₽
AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear) × 7 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 2521.40 → 6429.57 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection
+1 157.95 ₽ +39.2% chance of profit 70%
expensive: AWP | Crakow! (Factory New) · 7 174.07 ₽ · chance 35%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Tec-9 | Brother (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0746
  • 2× MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
  • 7× AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0746
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection
+2 383.05 ₽ +56.0% chance of profit 30%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1634
  • 5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection
+2 139.79 ₽ +44.5% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0769
Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Fracture Collection
+2 119.11 ₽ +40.0% chance of profit 95%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 8 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768
Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Fracture Collection
+1 767.22 ₽ +59.2% chance of profit 40%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× XM1014 | Monster Melt (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1617
  • 9× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1617
Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection
+1 742.17 ₽ +64.3% chance of profit 30%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Galil AR | Connexion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
  • 2× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1628
  • 7× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1628

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
Tec-9 | Brother
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0746
90.94 ₽
at 90.94
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074686f′ (normalized) 0.074686wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 526 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 186) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×2
MP5-SD | Kitbash
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0041
342.00 ₽
at 171.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004100f′ (normalized) 0.005125wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 390 · good ≈ 5
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 176 · from 1 683.18 ₽ (float 0.0013) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×7
AUG | Eye of Zapems
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0746
2 521.40 ₽
at 360.20
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074686f′ (normalized) 0.087866wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 229 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 306 · from 538.79 ₽ (float 0.0714) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 2 954.34 ₽ +1 157.95 (+39.2%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.070000, 0.056000, 0.052500, 0.051100, 0.035000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 70%
  • Losing outcome 30%
in profit
best
AWP | Crakow!
Factory New
8 250.18 ₽ 35.00%
Steam AWP | Crakow! (Factory New)net 7174.07 you get 0.070000The Overpass 2024 Collection sells 13 a week sell now to a buy order: 7 725.45 ₽ (you get 6 717.78)) · buy orders: 1599 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 437.34 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 058.49 · lots 54 on CSFloat: from 5 993.50 ₽ listings: 184 on CS.Money: ~ 6 434.64 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 6 018.34 ₽ listings: 275
in profit
Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore
Factory New
4 432.98 ₽ 35.00%
Steam Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Factory New)net 3854.77 you get 0.056000The Overpass 2024 Collection sells 19 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 3 492.72 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 829.74 · lots 28 on CSFloat: from 3 640.47 ₽ listings: 169 on CS.Money: ~ 3 728.70 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 411.76 ₽ listings: 130
at a loss
Glock-18 | Vogue
Factory New
999.71 ₽ 10.00%
Steam Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New)net 869.31 you get 0.052500 sells 137 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 108.28 ₽ (you get 963.72)) · buy orders: 7948 sell on Market.CSGO: 928.65 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 018.26 · lots 53 on CSFloat: from 856.58 ₽ listings: 354 on CS.Money: ~ 932.82 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 909.69 ₽ listings: 682
at a loss
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy
Factory New
1 290.76 ₽ 10.00%
Steam M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New)net 1122.40 you get 0.051100 sells 130 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 187.65 ₽ (you get 1 032.73)) · buy orders: 8829 sell on Market.CSGO: 958.95 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 051.49 · lots 82 on CSFloat: from 938.81 ₽ listings: 302 on CS.Money: ~ 956.80 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 974.79 ₽ listings: 629
at a loss
worst
XM1014 | Entombed
Factory New
609.80 ₽ 10.00%
Steam XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New)net 530.26 you get 0.035000 sells 215 a week sell now to a buy order: 586.17 ₽ (you get 509.71)) · buy orders: 6021 sell on Market.CSGO: 470.28 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 515.66 · lots 139 on CSFloat: from 475.40 ₽ listings: 293 on CS.Money: ~ 455.70 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 463.41 ₽ listings: 412
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