Crafts · The Fracture Collection
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The Fracture Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1729414 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 639.08₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 10 628.69₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 12 267.77₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +15.4%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 27 666.85₽ · profit at most −15 399.08₽ (at most -55.7%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 609.80 → 1317.17 ₽
Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) × 9 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 10018.89 → 26349.68 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection
+1 639.08 ₽ +15.4% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | B the Monster (Minimal Wear) · 13 205.51 ₽ · chance 90%
цена ненадёжна float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 8 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048
  • 9× Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1658
Variant 2 The Gallery Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection
+3 062.07 ₽ +57.6% chance of profit 75%
expensive: M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) · 12 264.92 ₽ · chance 25%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 19 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
  • 5× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1655
Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection
+2 927.97 ₽ +55.1% chance of profit 90%
expensive: USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 10 178.43 ₽ · chance 40%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
  • 8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0762
Variant 4 The Genesis Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection
+2 469.63 ₽ +45.8% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | The Oligarch (Minimal Wear) · 9 724.13 ₽ · chance 45%
rare inputs
  • 1× XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
  • 9× Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1656
Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection
+2 460.60 ₽ +44.2% chance of profit 95%
expensive: M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) · 8 841.97 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 19 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
  • 1× AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0747
  • 8× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0747
Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection
+1 896.45 ₽ +33.9% chance of profit 95%
expensive: AK-47 | Inheritance (Factory New) · 9 311.72 ₽ · chance 45%
rare inputs
  • 1× XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
  • 6× Zeus x27 | Olympus (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750
  • 3× Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
XM1014 | Entombed
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0048
609.80 ₽
at 609.80
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004812f′ (normalized) 0.009624wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 344 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~4, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 5 999.00 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 9 of 412 · from 2 617.71 ₽ (float 0.0031) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×9
Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1658
10 018.89 ₽
at 1 113.21
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165811f′ (normalized) 0.207263wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 208 · good ≈ 5
on the market with this float, usually ~6, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 1 629.65 ₽ · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 13 of 279 · from 1 583.82 ₽ (float 0.1544) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 10 628.69 ₽ +1 639.08 (+15.4%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.187499900 result 0.150000, 0.131250, 0.150000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 3 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
AK-47 | B the Monster
Minimal Wear
15 186.34 ₽ 90.00%
Steam AK-47 | B the Monster (Minimal Wear)net 13205.51 you get 0.150000The Overpass 2024 Collection sells 23 a week sell now to a buy order: 14 322.55 ₽ (you get 12 454.39)) · buy orders: 1244 sell on Market.CSGO: 11 864.12 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 13 008.91 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 10 851.17 ₽ listings: 278 on CS.Money: ~ 11 916.76 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 11 267.47 ₽ listings: 363
at a loss
worst
AK-47 | Legion of Anubis
Minimal Wear
3 878.86 ₽ 5.00%
Steam AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear)net 3372.92 you get 0.131250 sells 302 a week sell now to a buy order: 3 543.82 ₽ (you get 3 081.58)) · buy orders: 8905 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 853.09 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 128.39 · lots 90 on CSFloat: from 2 730.78 ₽ listings: 215 on CS.Money: ~ 2 832.71 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 827.57 ₽ listings: 272
at a loss
Desert Eagle | Printstream
Minimal Wear
4 925.71 ₽ 5.00%
Steam Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)net 4283.23 you get 0.150000 sells 334 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 3 648.00 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 4 000.00 · lots 137 on CSFloat: from 3 661.88 ₽ listings: 718 on Lis-Skins: from 3 698.72 ₽ listings: 648
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