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The Fracture Collection + The Phoenix Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +294.07₴

Invest 423.35₴

Average return 717.41₴

ROI +69.5%

Chance of profit 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 051.26₴ · profit at most −333.85₴ (at most -31.8%) · chance of profit at most 22%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 8.59 → 18.55 ₴

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) × 2 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 73.31 → 162.01 ₴

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) × 7 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 341.45 → 870.70 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −163 ₴

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Phoenix Collection

+294.07 ₴ +69.5% chance of profit 90%

expensive: StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat (Factory New) · 1 216.20 ₴ · chance 22%

profit on prices without salesat least −163 ₴

1× StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
2× StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1621
7× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

+5 695.88 ₴ +536.2% chance of profit 40%

expensive: StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) · 24 263.20 ₴ · chance 13%

profit on prices without salesat least −976 ₴

6× StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
4× StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0836

Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

+3 875.18 ₴ +197.5% chance of profit 36%

expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 26 120.27 ₴ · chance 18%

profit on prices without salesat least −1 715 ₴

1× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
9× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0846

Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

+3 841.28 ₴ +198.4% chance of profit 54%

expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 26 120.27 ₴ · chance 18%

profit on prices without salesat least −1 702 ₴

1× StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
9× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0859

Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

+2 976.46 ₴ +307.2% chance of profit 40%

expensive: StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) · 24 263.20 ₴ · chance 6.7%

profit on prices without salesat least −751 ₴

8× StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
2× StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0839

Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

+359.95 ₴ +51.3% chance of profit 50%

expensive: StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Marina (Factory New) · 2 961.70 ₴ · chance 15%

profit on prices without salesat least −490 ₴

1× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750
3× StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
6× StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

8.59 ₴

at 8.59

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

73.31 ₴

at 36.65

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

341.45 ₴

at 48.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 423.35 ₴ +294.07 (+69.5%)

profit on prices without sales at least −33 ₴

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

58.29 ₴

at 9.71

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

46.71 ₴

at 23.35

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

97.56 ₴

at 48.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 202.56 ₴ +99.57 (+49.2%)

profit on prices without sales at least −109 ₴

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

StatTrak™ Negev | Ultralight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

17.92 ₴

at 8.96

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

19.43 ₴

at 9.71

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

292.67 ₴

at 48.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 330.02 ₴ +209.41 (+63.5%)

profit on prices without sales at least −11 ₴

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

48.57 ₴

at 9.71

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

93.42 ₴

at 23.35

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

25.81 ₴

at 25.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 167.80 ₴ +74.99 (+44.7%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Minimal Wear

919.09 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

1 398.63 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

730.09 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

525.19 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Connexion

Factory New

165.70 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Allure

Factory New

227.14 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Monster Call

Factory New

265.29 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Kitbash

Factory New

166.99 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother

Factory New

229.85 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +159.59 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +292.55 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1725260 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 315.94₴ · invest 437.28₴
profit on prices without salesat least −138 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166605 instead of 0.162162; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075775 instead of 0.074230
Craft 1739218 · The Phoenix Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 314.51₴ · invest 446.09₴
profit on prices without salesat least −147 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1734863 · The Horizon Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 307.73₴ · invest 445.80₴
profit on prices without salesat least −179 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1731250 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 300.61₴ · invest 431.59₴
profit on prices without salesat least −168 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166605 instead of 0.162162; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075775 instead of 0.074230
Craft 1739015 · The Phoenix Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 298.94₴ · invest 431.43₴
profit on prices without salesat least −162 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166605 instead of 0.162162; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075775 instead of 0.074230
Craft 1721741 · The Chroma Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 298.30₴ · invest 461.21₴
profit on prices without salesat least −200 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | System Lock (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163991 instead of 0.162162; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074866 instead of 0.074230
Craft 1736128 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 296.36₴ · invest 423.60₴
profit on prices without salesat least −157 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162131 instead of 0.162162; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074219 instead of 0.074230
Craft 1717762 · The CS20 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 296.31₴ · invest 434.37₴
profit on prices without salesat least −182 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166605 instead of 0.162162; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075775 instead of 0.074230
Craft 1728543 · The Fever Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 296.23₴ · invest 424.57₴
profit on prices without salesat least −157 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166605 instead of 0.162162; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075775 instead of 0.074230
Craft 1722772 · The Clutch Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 294.51₴ · invest 426.41₴
profit on prices without salesat least −159 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163991 instead of 0.162162; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074866 instead of 0.074230
Craft 1739076 · The Phoenix Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 292.34₴ · invest 423.55₴
profit on prices without salesat least −161 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166605 instead of 0.162162; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075775 instead of 0.074230
Craft 1739101 · The Phoenix Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 291.19₴ · invest 423.84₴
profit on prices without salesat least −167 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163660 instead of 0.162162; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074751 instead of 0.074230

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Phoenix Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build