Crafts · The Fracture Collection
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The Fracture Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1729427 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 742.17₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 2 710.95₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 4 453.12₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +64.3%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 30%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 6 725.20₽ · profit at most −2 272.08₽ (at most -33.8%) · chance of profit at most 30%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Galil AR | Connexion (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 75.99 → 164.14 ₽
SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) × 2 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 464.96 → 1027.56 ₽
FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) × 7 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 2170.00 → 5533.50 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Phoenix Collection
+1 742.17 ₽ +64.3% chance of profit 30%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Galil AR | Connexion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
  • 2× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1628
  • 7× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1628
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection
+2 383.05 ₽ +56.0% chance of profit 30%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1634
  • 5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Fracture Collection
+2 230.19 ₽ +43.6% chance of profit 93%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 3.3%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0761
Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection
+2 139.79 ₽ +44.5% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0769
Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Fracture Collection
+1 920.50 ₽ +66.0% chance of profit 33%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 9 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 8× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 1× P2000 | Obsidian (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
Variant 6 only The Phoenix Collection
+1 909.54 ₽ +64.8% chance of profit 33%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 33%
sells slowly float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1646
  • 8× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1646

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
Galil AR | Connexion
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0744
75.99 ₽
at 75.99
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074469f′ (normalized) 0.093087wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 465 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×2
SG 553 | Pulse
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1628
464.96 ₽
at 232.48
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162850f′ (normalized) 0.125701wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 257 · good ≈ 17
on the market with this float, usually ~18, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 554.76 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
×7
FAMAS | Sergeant
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1628
2 170.00 ₽
at 310.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162850f′ (normalized) 0.069834wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 111 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
Set · 10 pcs 2 710.95 ₽ +1 742.17 (+64.3%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.083333233 result 0.150000, 0.025000, 0.135833, 0.062500, 0.060833, 0.041667 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 30%
  • Losing outcome 70%
in profit
best
AK-47 | Redline
Minimal Wear
14 598.37 ₽ 30.00%
Steam AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear)net 12694.23 you get 0.150000The Phoenix Collection sells 20 a week sell now to a buy order: 14 045.24 ₽ (you get 12 213.25)) · buy orders: 2595 sell on Market.CSGO: 11 394.25 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 12 493.70 · lots 58 on CSFloat: from 10 543.66 ₽ listings: 357 on CS.Money: ~ 11 925.32 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 11 168.96 ₽ listings: 423
at a loss
Nova | Antique
Factory New
1 017.17 ₽ 30.00%
Steam Nova | Antique (Factory New)net 884.50 you get 0.025000The Phoenix Collection sells ≈30 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 1 011.70 ₽ (you get 879.73)) · buy orders: 1579 sell on Market.CSGO: 813.80 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 892.33 · lots 22 on CSFloat: from 767.50 ₽ listings: 78 on CS.Money: ~ 761.50 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 800.90 ₽ listings: 93
at a loss
P90 | Trigon
Minimal Wear
1 132.49 ₽ 30.00%
Steam P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear)net 984.77 you get 0.135833The Phoenix Collection sells 17 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 963.98 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 057.00 · lots 22 on CSFloat: from 927.68 ₽ listings: 104 on CS.Money: ~ 887.42 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 960.23 ₽ listings: 85
at a loss
Glock-18 | Vogue
Factory New
999.71 ₽ 3.33%
Steam Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New)net 869.31 you get 0.062500 sells 137 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 108.28 ₽ (you get 963.72)) · buy orders: 7948 sell on Market.CSGO: 928.65 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 018.26 · lots 53 on CSFloat: from 856.58 ₽ listings: 354 on CS.Money: ~ 932.82 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 909.69 ₽ listings: 682
at a loss
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy
Factory New
1 290.76 ₽ 3.33%
Steam M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New)net 1122.40 you get 0.060833 sells 130 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 187.65 ₽ (you get 1 032.73)) · buy orders: 8829 sell on Market.CSGO: 958.95 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 051.49 · lots 82 on CSFloat: from 938.81 ₽ listings: 302 on CS.Money: ~ 956.80 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 974.79 ₽ listings: 629
at a loss
worst
XM1014 | Entombed
Factory New
609.80 ₽ 3.33%
Steam XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New)net 530.26 you get 0.041667 sells 215 a week sell now to a buy order: 586.17 ₽ (you get 509.71)) · buy orders: 6021 sell on Market.CSGO: 470.28 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 515.66 · lots 139 on CSFloat: from 475.40 ₽ listings: 293 on CS.Money: ~ 455.70 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 463.41 ₽ listings: 412
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