Crafts · The Fracture Collection
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The Fracture Collection + The Radiant Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1729506 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 525.58₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 3 590.58₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 5 116.16₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +42.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 8 530.80₽ · profit at most −3 414.63₽ (at most -40.0%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 171.00 → 369.36 ₽
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) × 6 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 1732.74 → 4349.18 ₽
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) × 3 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 1686.84 → 3812.26 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Radiant Collection
+1 525.58 ₽ +42.5% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 5 591.22 ₽ · chance 90%
rare inputs
  • 1× MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
  • 6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
  • 3× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Radiant Collection
+2 383.05 ₽ +56.0% chance of profit 30%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1634
  • 5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Fracture Collection
+2 223.57 ₽ +42.8% chance of profit 100%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Radiant Collection
+2 139.79 ₽ +44.5% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0769
Variant 5 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection
+1 762.68 ₽ +70.3% chance of profit 83%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 5 591.22 ₽ · chance 50%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 9 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
  • 4× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
  • 5× UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Radiant Collection
+1 742.17 ₽ +64.3% chance of profit 30%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Galil AR | Connexion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
  • 2× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1628
  • 7× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1628

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
MP5-SD | Kitbash
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0045
171.00 ₽
at 171.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004581f′ (normalized) 0.005727wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 390 · good ≈ 6
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 176 · from 1 683.18 ₽ (float 0.0013) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×6
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0752
1 732.74 ₽
at 288.79
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075236f′ (normalized) 0.112292wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 397 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 6 of 219 · from 329.78 ₽ (float 0.0748) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×3
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0045
1 686.84 ₽
at 562.28
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004581f′ (normalized) 0.006838wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 340 · good ≈ 5
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 10 of 686 · from 1 082.72 ₽ (float 0.0017) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 3 590.58 ₽ +1 525.58 (+42.5%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.070000, 0.052500, 0.051100, 0.035000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge
Factory New
6 429.90 ₽ 90.00%
Steam AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New)net 5591.22 you get 0.070000The Radiant Collection sells 45 a week sell now to a buy order: 6 204.08 ₽ (you get 5 394.85)) · buy orders: 4085 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 789.43 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 251.57 · lots 42 on CSFloat: from 4 708.63 ₽ listings: 145 on CS.Money: ~ 5 150.62 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 131.78 ₽ listings: 183
at a loss
Glock-18 | Vogue
Factory New
999.71 ₽ 3.33%
Steam Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New)net 869.31 you get 0.052500 sells 137 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 108.28 ₽ (you get 963.72)) · buy orders: 7948 sell on Market.CSGO: 928.65 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 018.26 · lots 53 on CSFloat: from 856.58 ₽ listings: 354 on CS.Money: ~ 932.82 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 909.69 ₽ listings: 682
at a loss
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy
Factory New
1 290.76 ₽ 3.33%
Steam M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New)net 1122.40 you get 0.051100 sells 130 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 187.65 ₽ (you get 1 032.73)) · buy orders: 8829 sell on Market.CSGO: 958.95 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 051.49 · lots 82 on CSFloat: from 938.81 ₽ listings: 302 on CS.Money: ~ 956.80 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 974.79 ₽ listings: 629
at a loss
worst
XM1014 | Entombed
Factory New
609.80 ₽ 3.33%
Steam XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New)net 530.26 you get 0.035000 sells 215 a week sell now to a buy order: 586.17 ₽ (you get 509.71)) · buy orders: 6021 sell on Market.CSGO: 470.28 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 515.66 · lots 139 on CSFloat: from 475.40 ₽ listings: 293 on CS.Money: ~ 455.70 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 463.41 ₽ listings: 412
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