Crafts · The Fracture Collection
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The Fracture Collection + The Recoil Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1729533 · ways to build: 5 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +4 834.55₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 8 419.81₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 13 254.36₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +57.4%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 50%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 20 178.81₽ · profit at most −6 924.44₽ (at most -34.3%) · chance of profit at most 45%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 1012.94 → 2187.95 ₽
StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) × 4 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 2896.32 → 6849.80 ₽
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) × 5 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 4510.55 → 11141.06 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Recoil Collection
+4 834.55 ₽ +57.4% chance of profit 50%
expensive: StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) · 22 468.92 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0051
  • 4× StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 5× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+33 883.63 ₽ +157.5% chance of profit 90%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 77 229.36 ₽ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 2× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1622
  • 7× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Fracture Collection
+33 851.44 ₽ +155.1% chance of profit 95%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 77 229.36 ₽ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 2× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1624
  • 7× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+22 203.38 ₽ +56.0% chance of profit 45%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 117 438.99 ₽ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0085
  • 3× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0797
  • 6× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0085
Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Fracture Collection
+22 171.19 ₽ +55.5% chance of profit 45%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 117 438.99 ₽ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0089
  • 3× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0802
  • 6× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0089
Variant 6 only The Recoil Collection
+4 874.09 ₽ +56.3% chance of profit 50%
expensive: StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) · 22 468.92 ₽ · chance 50%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 8× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0051
1 012.94 ₽
at 1 012.94
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005161f′ (normalized) 0.010323wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 94 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.9 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 84 · from 4 172.41 ₽ (float 0.0015) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×4
StatTrak™ P250 | Visions
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0758
2 896.32 ₽
at 724.08
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075899f′ (normalized) 0.108427wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 30 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 5 587.91 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 56 · from 1 137.54 ₽ (float 0.0707) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×5
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0758
4 510.55 ₽
at 902.11
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075899f′ (normalized) 0.075899wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 3.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 73) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 8 419.81 ₽ +4 834.55 (+57.4%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.082352841 result 0.057647, 0.070000, 0.057647, 0.065882 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 50%
  • Losing outcome 50%
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ AWP | Chromatic Aberration
Factory New
5 300.74 ₽ 45.00%
Steam StatTrak™ AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New)net 4609.34 you get 0.057647The Recoil Collection sells 32 a week sell now to a buy order: 4 604.29 ₽ (you get 4 003.73)) · buy orders: 1352 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 648.00 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 4 000.00 · lots 18 on CSFloat: from 3 583.08 ₽ listings: 80 on CS.Money: ~ 3 677.30 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 731.27 ₽ listings: 69
in profit
best
StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream
Factory New
25 839.26 ₽ 45.00%
Steam StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream (Factory New)net 22468.92 you get 0.070000The Recoil Collection sells 2 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 23 356.31 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 25 609.99 · lots 8 on CSFloat: from 19 740.77 ₽ listings: 64 on CS.Money: ~ 21 742.60 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 21 526.74 ₽ listings: 50
at a loss
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis
Factory New
6 682.32 ₽ 5.00%
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New)net 5810.71 you get 0.057647 sells 24 a week sell now to a buy order: 6 602.83 ₽ (you get 5 741.59)) · buy orders: 1852 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 285.02 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 794.98 · lots 24 on CSFloat: from 5 034.98 ₽ listings: 92 on CS.Money: ~ 5 538.65 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 065.82 ₽ listings: 72
in profit
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream
Factory New
17 908.00 ₽ 5.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New)net 15572.17 you get 0.065882
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 16 125.06 ₽ (you get 14 021.79)) · buy orders: 2811 sell on Market.CSGO: 13 583.24 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 14 893.91 · lots 21 on CSFloat: from 12 655.13 ₽ listings: 100 on CS.Money: ~ 15 044.99 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 13 701.87 ₽ listings: 71
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