Crafts · The Fracture Collection
$≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.0117 $. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Fracture Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1729754 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +24.98$
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 56.11$
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 81.09$
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +44.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 146.62$ · profit at most −65.54$ (at most -44.7%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) × 1 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 2.00 → 4.31 $
CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) × 9 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 54.11 → 142.31 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Spy Tech Collection
+24.98 $ +44.5% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 92.26 $ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0769
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection
+27.82 $ +56.0% chance of profit 30%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 209.15 $ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1634
  • 5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Fracture Collection
+25.23 $ +41.7% chance of profit 97%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 92.26 $ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 5 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
  • 1× MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0055
Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Fracture Collection
+23.01 $ +38.5% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 92.26 $ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754
  • 1× P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754
Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Fracture Collection
+21.80 $ +35.6% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 92.26 $ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
  • 1× Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
Variant 6 only The Spy Tech Collection
+21.74 $ +32.3% chance of profit 100%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 92.26 $ · chance 50%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
  • 1× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
MP5-SD | Kitbash
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0060
2.00 $
at 2.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006068f′ (normalized) 0.007585wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 390 · good ≈ 8
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 176 · from 19.65 $ (float 0.0013) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×9
CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0769
54.11 $
at 6.01
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076934f′ (normalized) 0.076934wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 94 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 29.91 $ · little data: 2.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 114) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 56.11 $ +24.98 (+44.5%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.052500, 0.051100, 0.035000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch
Factory New
106.10 $ 45.00%
Steam M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New)net 92.26 you get 0.070000The Spy Tech Collection sells 9 a week sell now to a buy order: 103.88 $ (you get 90.33)) · buy orders: 627 sell on Market.CSGO: 95.82 $ to your card cheapest lot 105.07 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 84.07 $ listings: 41 on CS.Money: ~ 98.41 $ on Lis-Skins: from 93.14 $ listings: 79
in profit
USP-S | Spiral Glitch
Factory New
98.62 $ 45.00%
Steam USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Factory New)net 85.75 you get 0.070000The Spy Tech Collection sells 7 a week sell now to a buy order: 88.37 $ (you get 76.84)) · buy orders: 632 sell on Market.CSGO: 79.40 $ to your card cheapest lot 87.06 · lots 16 on CSFloat: from 70.84 $ listings: 48 on CS.Money: ~ 77.70 $ on Lis-Skins: from 74.11 $ listings: 81
at a loss
Glock-18 | Vogue
Factory New
11.67 $ 3.33%
Steam Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New)net 10.15 you get 0.052500 sells 137 a week sell now to a buy order: 12.94 $ (you get 11.25)) · buy orders: 7948 sell on Market.CSGO: 10.84 $ to your card cheapest lot 11.89 · lots 53 on CSFloat: from 10.00 $ listings: 354 on CS.Money: ~ 10.89 $ on Lis-Skins: from 10.62 $ listings: 682
at a loss
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy
Factory New
15.07 $ 3.33%
Steam M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New)net 13.10 you get 0.051100 sells 130 a week sell now to a buy order: 13.87 $ (you get 12.06)) · buy orders: 8829 sell on Market.CSGO: 11.20 $ to your card cheapest lot 12.28 · lots 82 on CSFloat: from 10.96 $ listings: 302 on CS.Money: ~ 11.17 $ on Lis-Skins: from 11.38 $ listings: 629
at a loss
worst
XM1014 | Entombed
Factory New
7.12 $ 3.33%
Steam XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New)net 6.19 you get 0.035000 sells 215 a week sell now to a buy order: 6.84 $ (you get 5.95)) · buy orders: 6021 sell on Market.CSGO: 5.49 $ to your card cheapest lot 6.02 · lots 139 on CSFloat: from 5.55 $ listings: 293 on CS.Money: ~ 5.32 $ on Lis-Skins: from 5.41 $ listings: 412
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