Crafts · The Fracture Collection
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The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1729778 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +12 580.22₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 7 772.72₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 20 352.94₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +161.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 40%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 18 913.01₽ · profit at most +1 439.93₽ (at most +7.6%) · chance of profit at most 40%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) × 6 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 3658.80 → 9183.59 ₽
MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested) × 4 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 4113.92 → 9729.42 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −4 404 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −4 404 ₽: AWP | LongDog (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection
+12 580.22 ₽ +161.9% chance of profit 40%
expensive: AWP | LongDog (Factory New) · 42 460.45 ₽ · chance 40%
profit on prices without salesat least −4 404 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 4× MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
Variant 2 The Gallery Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+3 062.07 ₽ +57.6% chance of profit 75%
expensive: M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) · 12 264.92 ₽ · chance 25%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 19 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
  • 5× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1655
Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+2 927.97 ₽ +55.1% chance of profit 90%
expensive: USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 10 178.43 ₽ · chance 40%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
  • 8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0762
Variant 4 The Genesis Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+2 469.63 ₽ +45.8% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | The Oligarch (Minimal Wear) · 9 724.13 ₽ · chance 45%
rare inputs
  • 1× XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
  • 9× Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1656
Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+2 460.60 ₽ +44.2% chance of profit 95%
expensive: M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) · 8 841.97 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 19 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
  • 1× AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0747
  • 8× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0747
Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+1 896.45 ₽ +33.9% chance of profit 95%
expensive: AK-47 | Inheritance (Factory New) · 9 311.72 ₽ · chance 45%
rare inputs
  • 1× XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
  • 6× Zeus x27 | Olympus (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750
  • 3× Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6
XM1014 | Entombed
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
3 658.80 ₽
at 609.80
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003977f′ (normalized) 0.007954wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 344 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~4, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 5 999.00 ₽
×4
MP9 | Latte Rush
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1630
4 113.92 ₽
at 1 028.48
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163068f′ (normalized) 0.163068wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 177 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 8 970.00 ₽
Set · 10 pcs 7 772.72 ₽ +12 580.22 (+161.8%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.070000, 0.049000, 0.056000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 3 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 40%
  • Losing outcome 60%
in profit
best
AWP | LongDog
Factory New
48 829.52 ₽ 40.00%
price without deals
Steam AWP | LongDog (Factory New)net 42460.45 you get 0.070000The Train 2025 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 38 294.50 ₽ (you get 33 299.56)) · buy orders: 1487 sell on Market.CSGO: 35 437.82 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 38 857.26 · lots 19 on CSFloat: from 32 378.77 ₽ listings: 86 on CS.Money: ~ 34 449.13 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 33 153.98 ₽ listings: 180
at a loss
worst
AK-47 | Legion of Anubis
Factory New
5 645.29 ₽ 30.00%
Steam AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New)net 4908.95 you get 0.049000 sells 106 a week sell now to a buy order: 5 647.55 ₽ (you get 4 910.91)) · buy orders: 4871 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 693.76 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 146.67 · lots 103 on CSFloat: from 4 150.14 ₽ listings: 223 on CS.Money: ~ 4 523.61 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 4 432.81 ₽ listings: 301
at a loss
Desert Eagle | Printstream
Factory New
7 268.28 ₽ 30.00%
Steam Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New)net 6320.24 you get 0.056000 sells 82 a week sell now to a buy order: 7 574.37 ₽ (you get 6 586.40)) · buy orders: 3633 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 996.40 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 575.00 · lots 70 on CSFloat: from 5 644.01 ₽ listings: 365 on CS.Money: ~ 6 338.70 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 909.55 ₽ listings: 480
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