Classified → Covert
About the craftCraft 1730589 · ways to build: 5The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+4 187.12₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».7 507.77₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.11 694.89₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+55.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.90%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 18 368.84₴
· profit at most −6 673.95₴
(at most -36.3%) · chance of profit at most 0%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) × 19% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.16999.36 → 2158.61 ₴
G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear) × 89% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.595004.77 → 12962.36 ₴
SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) × 19% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.161503.65 → 3247.88 ₴
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
profit on prices without salesIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −6 924 ₴Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −6 924 ₴: USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New), M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New)
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
sells slowlyfloat out of reachThere are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 17 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
sells slowlyfloat out of reachThere are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
sells slowlyfloat out of reachThere are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.
sells slowlyrare inputsThe rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
9% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
P250 | Epicenter
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0059
(3% of this wear's listings)
999.36 ₴
at 999.36
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005996f′ (normalized) 0.007495wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 55 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 2 900.26 ₴
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 125) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×8
G3SG1 | Flux
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0768
(7% of this wear's listings)
5 004.77 ₴
at 625.60
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076852f′ (normalized) 0.085391wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 35 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 1 450.39 ₴
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 41 · from 901.28 ₴ (float 0.0766) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
SSG 08 | Big Iron
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0059
(4% of this wear's listings)
1 503.65 ₴
at 1 503.65
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005996f′ (normalized) 0.009368wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 44 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new ~0.2 per day, cheapest usually 2 638.71 ₴
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 116 · from 3 745.60 ₴ (float 0.0039) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs7 507.77 ₴
+4 187.12
(+55.8%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.051135, 0.041812«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −5 835 ₴
!
9% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×2
P250 | Epicenter
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0061
(3% of this wear's listings)
1 998.71 ₴
at 999.36
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006144f′ (normalized) 0.007680wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 55 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 2 900.26 ₴
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 125) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×8
G3SG1 | Flux
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0770
(7% of this wear's listings)
5 004.77 ₴
at 625.60
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077021f′ (normalized) 0.085579wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 35 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 1 450.39 ₴
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 41 · from 901.28 ₴ (float 0.0766) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs7 003.48 ₴
+4 041.09
(+57.7%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.051135, 0.041812«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −618 ₴
!
8% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×8
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0760
(0% of this wear's listings)
4 250.76 ₴
at 531.35
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076097f′ (normalized) 0.076097wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 70 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 105) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
P250 | Epicenter
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0053
(3% of this wear's listings)
999.36 ₴
at 999.36
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005335f′ (normalized) 0.006668wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 55 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 2 900.26 ₴
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 125) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
G3SG1 | Flux
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0760
(7% of this wear's listings)
625.60 ₴
at 625.60
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076097f′ (normalized) 0.084552wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 35 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 1 450.39 ₴
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 41) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs5 875.72 ₴
+616.64
(+10.5%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.051135, 0.041812, 0.070000, 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −5 111 ₴
!
8% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
P250 | Epicenter
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0760
(4% of this wear's listings)
485.34 ₴
at 485.34
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076068f′ (normalized) 0.095085wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 99 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~4,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 1 089.14 ₴ · little data: 2.9 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 127 · from 650.38 ₴ (float 0.0715) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×2
P250 | Epicenter
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0053
(3% of this wear's listings)
1 998.71 ₴
at 999.36
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005309f′ (normalized) 0.006636wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 55 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 2 900.26 ₴
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 125) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×7
G3SG1 | Flux
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0760
(7% of this wear's listings)
4 379.17 ₴
at 625.60
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076068f′ (normalized) 0.084520wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 35 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 1 450.39 ₴
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 41) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs6 863.23 ₴
+3 531.03
(+51.5%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.051135, 0.041812«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −1 296 ₴
!
7% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×7
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0752
(0% of this wear's listings)
3 719.42 ₴
at 531.35
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075277f′ (normalized) 0.075277wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 70 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 105) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
P250 | Epicenter
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0046
(3% of this wear's listings)
999.36 ₴
at 999.36
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004617f′ (normalized) 0.005772wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 55 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 2 900.26 ₴
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 125) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×2
G3SG1 | Flux
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0752
(7% of this wear's listings)
1 251.19 ₴
at 625.60
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075277f′ (normalized) 0.083641wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 35 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 1 450.39 ₴
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 41) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs5 969.97 ₴
+1 172.70
(+19.6%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.051135, 0.041812, 0.070000, 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
4 outcomes
Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%
in profit
M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Factory New
13 005.05 ₴45.00%
price without deals
SteamM4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New)net 11308.74you get 0.070000The Shadow Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 12 171.83 ₴
(you get 10 584.20)) · buy orders: 944
sell on Market.CSGO: 11 171.00 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 12 248.91 · lots 20
on CSFloat: from 9 784.78 ₴listings: 82
on CS.Money: ~ 10 578.34 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 10 107.50 ₴listings: 151
sell now to a buy order: 13 671.01 ₴
(you get 11 887.83)) · buy orders: 803
sell on Market.CSGO: 10 555.23 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 11 573.72 · lots 23
on CSFloat: from 9 512.34 ₴listings: 86
on CS.Money: ~ 10 520.44 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 10 034.34 ₴listings: 89
at a loss
worst
Glock-18 | Gold Toof
Factory New
6 045.92 ₴5.00%
SteamGlock-18 | Gold Toof (Factory New)net 5257.32you get 0.051135sells 8 a weeksell now to a buy order: 6 060.36 ₴
(you get 5 269.87)) · buy orders: 3092
sell on Market.CSGO: 5 528.60 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 6 062.06 · lots 40
on CSFloat: from 5 002.36 ₴listings: 88
on CS.Money: ~ 5 157.21 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 5 154.07 ₴listings: 170
at a loss
M4A1-S | Vaporwave
Factory New
7 390.76 ₴5.00%
SteamM4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New)net 6426.74you get 0.041812sells 15 a weeksell now to a buy order: 7 495.41 ₴
(you get 6 517.75)) · buy orders: 3407
sell on Market.CSGO: 6 795.00 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 7 450.65 · lots 18
on CSFloat: from 6 059.39 ₴listings: 171
on CS.Money: ~ 6 887.50 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 6 381.65 ₴listings: 174
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+2 360.89 ₴a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+3 292.95 ₴historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Gallery Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
Similar
7 crafts almost like this one
The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 1728787
· The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 4 321.64₴
· invest 7 334.35₴
profit on prices without salesat least −6 789 ₴rare inputs
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of P250 | Epicenter (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076987 instead of 0.076852; SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New): float at most 0.006113 instead of 0.005996
Craft 1724482
· The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 4 292.39₴
· invest 7 065.90₴
profit on prices without salesat least −6 818 ₴rare inputs
UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of P250 | Epicenter (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076478 instead of 0.076852; SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New): float at most 0.005668 instead of 0.005996
Craft 1731487
· The Gamma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 4 193.33₴
· invest 7 829.58₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 830 ₴rare inputs
MP9 | Airlock (Factory New) instead of P250 | Epicenter (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076987 instead of 0.076852; SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New): float at most 0.006113 instead of 0.005996
Craft 1726535
· The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 4 171.28₴
· invest 7 406.10₴
profit on prices without salesat least −6 939 ₴rare inputs
FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) instead of P250 | Epicenter (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076987 instead of 0.076852; SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New): float at most 0.006113 instead of 0.005996
Craft 1741956
· The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 4 150.12₴
· invest 7 876.09₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 575 ₴rare inputs
PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) instead of P250 | Epicenter (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076987 instead of 0.076852; SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New): float at most 0.006113 instead of 0.005996
Craft 1721915
· The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 4 108.81₴
· invest 7 593.09₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 002 ₴rare inputs
P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of P250 | Epicenter (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076639 instead of 0.076852; SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New): float at most 0.005809 instead of 0.005996
Craft 1742002
· The Shadow Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 3 984.21₴
· invest 8 000.33₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 126 ₴rare inputspricier variants exist
Galil AR | Rainbow Spoon (Factory New) instead of P250 | Epicenter (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076572 instead of 0.076852; SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.005996
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
