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The Gamma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit +68.70$

Invest 62.05$

Average return 130.75$

ROI +110.7%

Chance of profit 67%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 153.26$ · profit at most −22.51$ (at most -14.7%) · chance of profit at most 38%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Factory New) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 29.94 → 73.96 $

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 32.10 → 79.30 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −58 $

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Gamma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

+68.70 $ +110.7% chance of profit 67%

expensive: StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Factory New) · 386.22 $ · chance 12%

profit on prices without salesat least −58 $

5× StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
5× StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748

Variant 2 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

+6.08 $ +37.0% chance of profit 40%

expensive: StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) · 44.95 $ · chance 3.3%

rare inputs

1× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Limelight (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1689
3× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766
6× StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766

Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

+627.40 $ +94.9% chance of profit 90%

expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) · 1 625.76 $ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −109 $

1× StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
6× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
3× StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605

Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

+91.32 $ +64.9% chance of profit 60%

expensive: StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Minimal Wear) · 408.60 $ · chance 30%

profit on prices without salesat least −140 $

1× StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0055
2× StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
7× StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0055

Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

+76.42 $ +154.4% chance of profit 33%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 361.97 $ · chance 30%

profit on prices without salesat least −37 $

1× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
9× StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1625

Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

+56.14 $ +86.0% chance of profit 93%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New) · 200.70 $ · chance 30%

profit on prices without salesat least −64 $

1× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
4× StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
5× StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

29.94 $

at 5.99

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

32.10 $

at 6.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 62.05 $ +68.70 (+110.7%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 67%
Losing outcome 33%

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon

Factory New

28.00 $ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desolate Space

Factory New

131.32 $ 16.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport

Factory New

26.85 $ 16.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Factory New

191.26 $ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera

Factory New

185.03 $ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Factory New

134.25 $ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick

Factory New

444.15 $ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +57.19 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +67.01 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Gamma Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1742154 · The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 91.05$ · invest 77.19$
profit on prices without salesat least −77 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074891 instead of 0.074809
Craft 1730929 · The Gallery Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 89.37$ · invest 60.97$
profit on prices without salesat least −49 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074231 instead of 0.074809
Craft 1737734 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 88.86$ · invest 101.57$
profit on prices without salesat least −102 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074809
Craft 1733132 · The Genesis Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 83.88$ · invest 70.75$
profit on prices without salesat least −62 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074809
Craft 1741623 · The Revolver Case Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 83.62$ · invest 78.68$
profit on prices without salesat least −66 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074809
Craft 1725740 · The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 81.56$ · invest 72.99$
profit on prices without salesat least −73 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074809
Craft 1721294 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 79.40$ · invest 64.35$
profit on prices without salesat least −64 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074809
Craft 1739839 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 77.18$ · invest 65.01$
profit on prices without salesat least −61 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074809
Craft 1735822 · The Huntsman Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 76.43$ · invest 96.66$
profit on prices without salesat least −97 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Antique (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074809
Craft 1743215 · The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 70.88$ · invest 78.80$
profit on prices without salesat least −79 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074100 instead of 0.074809

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Gamma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build