StatTrak™
Classified → Covert
About the craftCraft 1733075 · ways to build: 5StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+137 190.79₸
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».160 164.99₸
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.297 355.78₸
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+85.7%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.95%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 403 101.83₸
· profit at most −105 746.05₸
(at most -26.2%) · chance of profit at most 5%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear) × 98% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.63121586.04 → 319771.28 ₸
StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) × 18% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.1638578.96 → 83330.54 ₸
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
profit on prices without salesIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −160 165 ₸Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −160 165 ₸: StatTrak™ M4A4 | Full Throttle (Factory New), StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Oligarch (Factory New), StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New), StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New)
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
продажа ненадёжнаmarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
sells slowlyfloat out of reachThere are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 6 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
8% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×9
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0766
(0% of this wear's listings)
121 586.04 ₸
at 13 509.56
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076693f′ (normalized) 0.076693wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 49 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 85) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0058
(0% of this wear's listings)
38 578.96 ₸
at 38 578.96
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005856f′ (normalized) 0.009760wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 12 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 36 · from 72 548.85 ₸ (float 0.0049) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs160 164.99 ₸
+137 190.79
(+85.7%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.044800«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −167 699 ₸
!
8% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×8
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0766
(0% of this wear's listings)
108 076.48 ₸
at 13 509.56
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076693f′ (normalized) 0.076693wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 49 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 85) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0766
(0% of this wear's listings)
21 043.10 ₸
at 21 043.10
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076693f′ (normalized) 0.076693wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 44) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0058
(0% of this wear's listings)
38 578.96 ₸
at 38 578.96
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005856f′ (normalized) 0.009760wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 12 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 36 · from 72 548.85 ₸ (float 0.0049) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs167 698.53 ₸
+136 740.99
(+81.5%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.044800«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −175 232 ₸
!
8% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×7
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0766
(0% of this wear's listings)
94 566.92 ₸
at 13 509.56
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076693f′ (normalized) 0.076693wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 49 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 85) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0766
(0% of this wear's listings)
42 086.20 ₸
at 21 043.10
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076693f′ (normalized) 0.076693wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 44) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0058
(0% of this wear's listings)
38 578.96 ₸
at 38 578.96
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005856f′ (normalized) 0.009760wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 12 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 36 · from 72 548.85 ₸ (float 0.0049) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs175 232.07 ₸
+136 291.19
(+77.8%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.044800«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −182 766 ₸
!
8% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×6
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0766
(0% of this wear's listings)
81 057.36 ₸
at 13 509.56
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076693f′ (normalized) 0.076693wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 49 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 85) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0766
(0% of this wear's listings)
63 129.30 ₸
at 21 043.10
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076693f′ (normalized) 0.076693wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 44) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0058
(0% of this wear's listings)
38 578.96 ₸
at 38 578.96
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005856f′ (normalized) 0.009760wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 12 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 36 · from 72 548.85 ₸ (float 0.0049) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs182 765.61 ₸
+135 841.44
(+74.3%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.044800«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −190 299 ₸
!
8% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×5
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0766
(0% of this wear's listings)
67 547.80 ₸
at 13 509.56
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076693f′ (normalized) 0.076693wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 49 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 85) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×4
StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0766
(0% of this wear's listings)
84 172.40 ₸
at 21 043.10
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076693f′ (normalized) 0.076693wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 44) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0058
(0% of this wear's listings)
38 578.96 ₸
at 38 578.96
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005856f′ (normalized) 0.009760wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 12 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 36 · from 72 548.85 ₸ (float 0.0049) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs190 299.15 ₸
+135 391.65
(+71.2%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.044800«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
4 outcomes
Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 5%
in profit
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Oligarch
Factory New
329 885.56 ₸45.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ AK-47 | The Oligarch (Factory New)net 286856.99you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 252 974.75 ₸
(you get 219 978.03)) · buy orders: 935
sell on Market.CSGO: 229 296.31 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 251 421.40 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 194 388.27 ₸listings: 29
on Lis-Skins: from 213 133.17 ₸listings: 41
in profit
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Full Throttle
Factory New
337 740.05 ₸45.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ M4A4 | Full Throttle (Factory New)net 293686.98you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 210 820.72 ₸
(you get 183 322.32)) · buy orders: 820
sell on Market.CSGO: 203 259.49 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 222 872.29 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 162 193.51 ₸listings: 25
on CS.Money: ~ 171 179.67 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 161 091.17 ₸listings: 44
no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 363 427.65 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 398 495.25 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 350 139.24 ₸listings: 26
on CS.Money: ~ 357 964.30 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 341 957.27 ₸listings: 41
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Factory New
52 869.28 ₸5.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New)net 45973.31you get 0.044800The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 36 500.22 ₸
(you get 31 739.31)) · buy orders: 823
sell on Market.CSGO: 44 031.86 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 48 280.58 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 37 674.98 ₸listings: 22
on CS.Money: ~ 38 298.46 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 38 732.18 ₸listings: 37
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+102 027.41 ₸a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+134 347.11 ₸historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Genesis Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
Similar
4 crafts almost like this one
The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 1732895
· The Genesis Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 129 472.17₸
· invest 160 446.91₸
profit on prices without salesat least −160 447 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076751 instead of 0.076693
Craft 1712873
· The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 128 475.34₸
· invest 150 605.09₸
profit on prices without salesat least −150 605 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ P250 | Undertow (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075233 instead of 0.076693
Craft 1721572
· The Chroma Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 127 321.32₸
· invest 140 621.55₸
profit on prices without salesat least −140 622 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New)
Craft 1729997
· The Gallery Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 125 712.33₸
· invest 146 768.09₸
profit on prices without salesat least −140 089 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.076693
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
