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The Harlequin Collection + The Inferno Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit +1 292.07₽

Invest 2 554.47₽

Average return 3 846.54₽

ROI +50.6%

Chance of profit 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 6 221.55₽ · profit at most −2 375.01₽ (at most -38.2%) · chance of profit at most 45%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 14.22 → 30.72 ₽

P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested) × 4 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 796.00 → 1882.54 ₽

P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear) × 5 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 1744.25 → 4308.30 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −2 133 ₽

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Inferno Collection

+1 292.07 ₽ +50.6% chance of profit 45%

expensive: Tec-9 | Brass (Factory New) · 7 612.03 ₽ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −2 133 ₽

1× XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
4× P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1676
5× P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0761

Variant 2 The Nuke Collection instead of The Inferno Collection

+5 014.70 ₽ +38.8% chance of profit 50%

expensive: M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Factory New) · 35 755.50 ₽ · chance 50%

profit on prices without salesat least −12 863 ₽

5× XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
5× Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748

Variant 3 The Nuke Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

+2 214.23 ₽ +9.2% chance of profit 70%

expensive: M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Factory New) · 35 755.50 ₽ · chance 70%

profit on prices without salesat least −23 956 ₽

3× P250 | Gunsmoke (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605
7× Souvenir UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740

Variant 4 only The Inferno Collection

+1 371.69 ₽ +47.5% chance of profit 50%

expensive: Tec-9 | Brass (Factory New) · 7 612.03 ₽ · chance 50%

profit on prices without salesat least −2 434 ₽

4× P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1660
6× P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0755

Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

+1 309.88 ₽ +51.3% chance of profit 45%

expensive: Tec-9 | Brass (Factory New) · 7 612.03 ₽ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −2 116 ₽

4× P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1669
5× P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
1× P250 | Constructivist (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0051

Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

+1 298.77 ₽ +51.0% chance of profit 45%

expensive: Tec-9 | Brass (Factory New) · 7 612.03 ₽ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −2 127 ₽

4× P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1664
5× P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0757
1× MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested) buy 0.2000–0.2128

How to build

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

14.22 ₽

at 14.22

Steam

×4

P250 | Gunsmoke

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

796.00 ₽

at 199.00

Steam

×5

P250 | Gunsmoke

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

1 744.25 ₽

at 348.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 554.47 ₽ +1 292.07 (+50.6%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy

Factory New

1 045.97 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Brass

Factory New

8 753.84 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane

Factory New

236.38 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Sky Mandala

Factory New

151.43 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

76.25 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

80.10 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +950.79 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 079.45 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Inferno Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 25 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1735866 · The Inferno Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 309.88₽ · invest 2 554.89₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 116 ₽ rare inputs

P250 | Constructivist (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166920 instead of 0.167662; P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075885 instead of 0.076143
Craft 1710463 · The Ancient Collection + The Inferno Collection · profit 1 303.46₽ · invest 2 740.62₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 221 ₽ rare inputs

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162625 instead of 0.167662; P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074391 instead of 0.076143
Craft 1714478 · The Bank Collection + The Inferno Collection · profit 1 301.71₽ · invest 2 551.71₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 124 ₽ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164180 instead of 0.167662; P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074932 instead of 0.076143
Craft 1735854 · The Inferno Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 1 298.77₽ · invest 2 548.15₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 127 ₽ rare inputs

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166447 instead of 0.167662; P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075720 instead of 0.076143
Craft 1735863 · The Inferno Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 1 296.44₽ · invest 2 548.77₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 129 ₽ rare inputs

MP5-SD | Savannah Halftone (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166424 instead of 0.167662; P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075712 instead of 0.076143
Craft 1705318 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Inferno Collection · profit 1 294.50₽ · invest 2 565.83₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 131 ₽ rare inputs

MP7 | Motherboard (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167448 instead of 0.167662; P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076069 instead of 0.076143
Craft 1726895 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Inferno Collection · profit 1 293.85₽ · invest 2 557.61₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 132 ₽ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166099 instead of 0.167662; P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075599 instead of 0.076143
Craft 1714988 · The Boreal Collection + The Inferno Collection · profit 1 293.03₽ · invest 2 552.41₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 132 ₽ rare inputs

SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167564 instead of 0.167662; P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076109 instead of 0.076143
Craft 1723494 · The Control Collection + The Inferno Collection · profit 1 292.85₽ · invest 2 791.81₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 186 ₽ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164180 instead of 0.167662; P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074932 instead of 0.076143
Craft 1704587 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Inferno Collection · profit 1 292.80₽ · invest 2 555.59₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 133 ₽ rare inputs

Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162625 instead of 0.167662; P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074391 instead of 0.076143
Craft 1735859 · The Inferno Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 1 290.35₽ · invest 2 551.98₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 135 ₽ rare inputs

SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New)
Craft 1735868 · The Inferno Collection + The Train Collection · profit 1 289.64₽ · invest 2 550.61₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 136 ₽ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164180 instead of 0.167662; P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074932 instead of 0.076143
Craft 1709603 · The Achroma Collection + The Inferno Collection · profit 1 288.66₽ · invest 2 553.17₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 137 ₽ rare inputs

MP5-SD | Snow Splash (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New)
Craft 1713744 · The Ascent Collection + The Inferno Collection · profit 1 288.26₽ · invest 2 555.24₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 137 ₽ rare inputs

XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New)
Craft 1735841 · The Inferno Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 1 287.28₽ · invest 2 556.87₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 138 ₽ rare inputs

P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166099 instead of 0.167662; P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075599 instead of 0.076143
Craft 1735862 · The Inferno Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 1 284.74₽ · invest 2 556.14₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 141 ₽ rare inputs

M249 | Gator Mesh (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New)
Craft 1706145 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Inferno Collection · profit 1 284.05₽ · invest 2 666.59₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 257 ₽ rare inputs

Souvenir Five-SeveN | Withered Vine (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167448 instead of 0.167662; P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076069 instead of 0.076143
Craft 1733855 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Inferno Collection · profit 1 282.74₽ · invest 2 580.31₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 143 ₽ rare inputs

M249 | Spectrogram (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167448 instead of 0.167662; P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076069 instead of 0.076143
Craft 1706999 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Inferno Collection · profit 1 280.63₽ · invest 2 634.45₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 153 ₽ rare inputs

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167367 instead of 0.167662; P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076041 instead of 0.076143
Craft 1735843 · The Inferno Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 1 279.53₽ · invest 2 561.30₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 146 ₽ rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Mudder (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166099 instead of 0.167662; P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075599 instead of 0.076143
Craft 1712053 · The Arabesque Collection + The Inferno Collection · profit 1 270.14₽ · invest 2 593.44₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 155 ₽ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Sirocco Script (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168107 instead of 0.167662; P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076298 instead of 0.076143
Craft 1708531 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Inferno Collection · profit 1 269.77₽ · invest 2 709.81₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 286 ₽ rare inputs

Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167422 instead of 0.167662; P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076060 instead of 0.076143
Craft 1735864 · The Inferno Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 1 259.86₽ · invest 2 604.20₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 166 ₽ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Arctic Camo Panels (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168107 instead of 0.167662; P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076298 instead of 0.076143
Craft 1735857 · The Inferno Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 1 233.34₽ · invest 2 741.96₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 308 ₽ rare inputs

Souvenir P2000 | Grassland (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166099 instead of 0.167662; P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075599 instead of 0.076143
Craft 1735869 · The Inferno Collection + The Vertigo Collection · profit 1 194.38₽ · invest 2 885.05₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 476 ₽ rare inputs

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Carbon Fiber (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164180 instead of 0.167662; P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074932 instead of 0.076143

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Inferno Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build