Crafts · The Harlequin Collection
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The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1734552 · ways to build: 3 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +544.23₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 1 946.91₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 2 491.14₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +27.9%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 4 673.28₽ · profit at most −2 182.14₽ (at most -46.7%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 113.28 → 244.68 ₽
Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 876.75 → 2165.57 ₽
Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) × 4 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 956.88 → 2263.02 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection
+544.23 ₽ +28.0% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear) · 2 681.68 ₽ · chance 45%
  • 1× USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1642
  • 5× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1642
  • 4× Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1642
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+1 880.12 ₽ +38.6% chance of profit 30%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.
  • 1× USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1633
  • 5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+1 636.86 ₽ +30.2% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768
Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+1 552.27 ₽ +51.5% chance of profit 30%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
  • 2× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1617
  • 7× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1617
Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+1 157.21 ₽ +28.4% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 5 591.22 ₽ · chance 90%
  • 1× USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754
  • 5× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754
  • 4× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048
Variant 6 only The Train 2025 Collection
+683.34 ₽ +35.1% chance of profit 100%
expensive: M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear) · 2 681.68 ₽ · chance 50%
  • 7× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1659
  • 3× Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1659

How to build Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
USP-S | Sleeping Potion
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1642
113.28 ₽
at 113.28
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164295f′ (normalized) 0.234708wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 436 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×5
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1642
876.75 ₽
at 175.35
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164295f′ (normalized) 0.164295wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 432 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×4
Tec-9 | Whiteout
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1642
956.88 ₽
at 239.22
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164295f′ (normalized) 0.110952wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 1 103 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · among lots up to 590.00 ₽
Set · 10 pcs 1 946.91 ₽ +544.23 (+27.9%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.149999900 result 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.090000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 3 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
M4A4 | Hellish
Minimal Wear
3 083.93 ₽ 45.00%
Steam M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear)net 2681.68 you get 0.150000The Train 2025 Collection sells 54 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 867.76 ₽ (you get 2 493.70)) · buy orders: 1611
in profit
MP9 | Latte Rush
Minimal Wear
2 961.50 ₽ 45.00%
Steam MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear)net 2575.22 you get 0.150000The Train 2025 Collection sells 25 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 884.02 ₽ (you get 2 507.84)) · buy orders: 1571
at a loss
worst
M4A1-S | Party Animal
Minimal Wear
1 443.66 ₽ 10.00%
Steam M4A1-S | Party Animal (Minimal Wear)net 1255.36 you get 0.090000 sells ≈450 a week — 6 of 7 days measured no buy orders
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