Crafts · The Harlequin Collection
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The Harlequin Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1734602 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +2 452.79₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 3 210.93₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 5 663.72₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +76.4%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 70%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 8 119.84₽ · profit at most −2 456.12₽ (at most -30.2%) · chance of profit at most 23%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) × 3 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 234.60 → 530.20 ₽
MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) × 7 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 2976.33 → 7589.64 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −3 000 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −3 000 ₽: Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New), Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Factory New), P250 | Splash (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection
+2 452.79 ₽ +76.4% chance of profit 70%
expensive: Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) · 9 803.48 ₽ · chance 23%
profit on prices without salesat least −3 000 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 3× Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 7× MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0226
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection
+493.29 ₽ +60.6% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AWP | Black Box (Factory New) · 2 128.47 ₽ · chance 30%
  • 1× Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 9× R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
Variant 3 The Mirage Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection
+30 421.16 ₽ +154.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −19 590 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 4 The Overpass Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection
+6 680.79 ₽ +77.2% chance of profit 90%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 20 866.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −8 580 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0069
  • 9× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0069
Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection
+3 589.22 ₽ +169.7% chance of profit 30%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 550 ₽
  • 1× Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0078
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0078
Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection
+3 064.96 ₽ +81.8% chance of profit 76%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 15 660.06 ₽ · chance 6.0%
profit on prices without salesat least −3 406 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 7× MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0225
  • 3× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0835

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0037
234.60 ₽
at 78.20
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003775f′ (normalized) 0.005719wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 441 · good ≈ 5
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 117 · from 276.68 ₽ (float 0.0009) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×7
MAG-7 | Memento
Factory New
buy 0.0200–0.0226
2 976.33 ₽
at 425.19
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.022696f′ (normalized) 0.016853wear 0.0200–0.0700on the market 70 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 28) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 3 210.93 ₽ +2 452.79 (+76.4%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.070000, 0.061622, 0.070000, 0.009459, 0.009459 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 70%
  • Losing outcome 30%
in profit
best
Galil AR | Orange DDPAT
Factory New
11 274.00 ₽ 23.33%
price without deals
Steam Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New)net 9803.48 you get 0.070000The eSports 2013 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 055.58 ₽ (you get 7 874.41)) · buy orders: 382 sell on Market.CSGO: 8 120.80 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 904.39 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 7 610.72 ₽ listings: 8 on Lis-Skins: from 7 702.38 ₽ listings: 6
in profit
P250 | Splash
Factory New
6 425.62 ₽ 23.33%
price without deals
Steam P250 | Splash (Factory New)net 5587.50 you get 0.061622The eSports 2013 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 844.31 ₽ (you get 4 212.44)) · buy orders: 297 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 220.83 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 724.60 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 3 638.76 ₽ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 3 938.56 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 4 159.56 ₽ listings: 18
in profit
Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT
Factory New
9 174.21 ₽ 23.33%
price without deals
Steam Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Factory New)net 7977.57 you get 0.070000The eSports 2013 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders not listed on Market.CSGO right now CSFloat: 2 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 5 654.29 ₽ listings: 4
at a loss
AWP | Exothermic
Factory New
830.00 ₽ 15.00%
Steam AWP | Exothermic (Factory New)net 721.74 you get 0.009459 sells ≈422 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 849.14 ₽ (you get 738.38)) · buy orders: 7277 sell on Market.CSGO: 635.66 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 697.00 · lots 37 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 620.16 ₽ listings: 409 on CS.Money: ~ 746.94 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 662.99 ₽ listings: 422
at a loss
worst
USP-S | Sleeping Potion
Factory New
788.13 ₽ 15.00%
Steam USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Factory New)net 685.33 you get 0.009459 sells 388 a week sell now to a buy order: 777.42 ₽ (you get 676.01)) · buy orders: 10619 sell on Market.CSGO: 609.20 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 667.99 · lots 19 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 602.18 ₽ listings: 430 on CS.Money: ~ 734.09 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 635.58 ₽ listings: 134
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