The Horizon Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.

Average profit +26.26$

Invest 55.14$

Average return 81.40$

ROI +47.6%

Chance of profit 40%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 132.76$ · profit at most −51.36$ (at most -38.7%) · chance of profit at most 27%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) × 3 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 3.64 → 8.22 $

AWP | PAW (Factory New) × 5 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 42.87 → 105.88 $

AUG | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 3.97 → 8.58 $

PP-Bizon | Embargo (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 4.67 → 10.09 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

+26.26 $ +47.6% chance of profit 40%

expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 209.15 $ · chance 27%

sells slowly

3× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
1× AUG | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
1 more

Variant 2 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

+30.68 $ +155.1% chance of profit 67%

expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 209.15 $ · chance 13%

sells slowly

4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
6× UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041

Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

+29.31 $ +70.5% chance of profit 33%

expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 209.15 $ · chance 17%

sells slowly

4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
1× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
5× USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035

Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

+29.16 $ +59.9% chance of profit 30%

expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 209.15 $ · chance 30%

sells slowly

4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1620
5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
1× MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) buy 0.2100–0.2188

Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

+28.95 $ +65.4% chance of profit 73%

expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 209.15 $ · chance 13%

sells slowly

4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1648
6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045

Variant 6 only The Horizon Collection

+28.77 $ +51.1% chance of profit 33%

expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 209.15 $ · chance 33%

sells slowly

4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
6× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

3.64 $

at 1.21

Steam

×5

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

42.87 $

at 8.57

Steam

×1

AUG | Arctic Wolf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

3.97 $

at 3.97

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

4.67 $

at 4.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 55.14 $ +26.26 (+47.6%)

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

2.42 $

at 1.21

Steam

×5

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

42.87 $

at 8.57

Steam

×1

P2000 | Obsidian

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

2.31 $

at 2.31

Steam

×2

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

9.34 $

at 4.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 56.94 $ +22.64 (+39.8%)

profit on prices without sales at least −2 $

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

2.42 $

at 1.21

Steam

×4

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

34.29 $

at 8.57

Steam

×1

AUG | Arctic Wolf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

3.97 $

at 3.97

Steam

×3

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

14.01 $

at 4.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 54.70 $ +23.05 (+42.1%)

profit on prices without sales at least −30 $

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

MP7 | Powercore

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

5.52 $

at 5.52

Steam

×1

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

8.57 $

at 8.57

Steam

×8

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

37.37 $

at 4.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 51.45 $ +18.99 (+36.9%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 60%
About break-even 7%

at a loss

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Factory New

33.88 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Nightmare

Factory New

240.52 $ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

19.04 $ 26.67%

Steam

about break-even

SG 553 | Colony IV

Factory New

63.90 $ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

SSG 08 | Bloodshot

Field-Tested

18.53 $ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Decimator

Factory New

148.02 $ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +9.48 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +22.58 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1734870 · The Horizon Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 29.31$ · invest 41.56$
sells slowly rare inputs

USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) instead of AUG | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Embargo (Minimal Wear); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161609 instead of 0.161613; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 1 pcs instead of 5; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003533 instead of 0.003534
Craft 1733168 · The Glove Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 29.18$ · invest 52.91$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Gila (Factory New) instead of AUG | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Embargo (Minimal Wear); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161814 instead of 0.161613; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 5; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003595 instead of 0.003534
Craft 1727430 · The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 26.51$ · invest 33.96$
sells slowly

Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) instead of AUG | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Embargo (Minimal Wear); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163542 instead of 0.161613; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 5; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004121 instead of 0.003534
Craft 1719486 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 23.42$ · invest 42.71$
sells slowly цена ненадёжна

UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) instead of AUG | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Embargo (Minimal Wear); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163529 instead of 0.161613; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 5; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004117 instead of 0.003534

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build