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The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +4 107.73₸

Invest 7 949.27₸

Average return 12 057.00₸

ROI +51.7%

Chance of profit 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 20 246.88₸ · profit at most −8 189.88₸ (at most -40.5%) · chance of profit at most 22%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 449.75 → 971.45 ₸

G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 344.94 → 745.08 ₸

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 8 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 7154.58 → 18530.35 ₸

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −3 355 ₸

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection

+4 107.75 ₸ +51.7% chance of profit 45%

expensive: M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New) · 33 169.88 ₸ · chance 22%

profit on prices without salesat least −3 355 ₸

1× Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
1× G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
8× UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

+2 933.47 ₸ +66.6% chance of profit 88%

expensive: AK-47 | Rat Rod (Factory New) · 27 608.58 ₸ · chance 8.0%

sells slowly

6× Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
4× SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740

Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

+2 703.99 ₸ +62.4% chance of profit 98%

expensive: AWP | Black Box (Factory New) · 11 226.34 ₸ · chance 30%

rare inputs

1× Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
9× R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765

Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

+2 567.50 ₸ +118.1% chance of profit 64%

expensive: AWP | Atheris (Factory New) · 11 979.31 ₸ · chance 18%

1× Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
9× MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1625

Variant 5 The Mirage Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

+160 554.65 ₸ +154.8% chance of profit 90%

expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 293 084.12 ₸ · chance 90%

profit on prices without salesat least −103 221 ₸

1× Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039

Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

+35 339.17 ₸ +77.4% chance of profit 90%

expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 110 060.11 ₸ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −45 153 ₸

1× Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0067
9× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0067

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

449.75 ₸

at 449.75

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Murky

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

344.94 ₸

at 344.94

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

7 154.58 ₸

at 894.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 949.27 ₸ +4 107.73 (+51.7%)

profit on prices without sales at least −1 025 ₸

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

2 248.73 ₸

at 449.75

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

914.36 ₸

at 457.18

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

2 682.97 ₸

at 894.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 846.06 ₸ +3 121.42 (+53.4%)

profit on prices without sales at least −2 257 ₸

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Tec-9 | Snek-9

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

353.80 ₸

at 353.80

Steam

×2

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

899.49 ₸

at 449.75

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Murky

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

344.94 ₸

at 344.94

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

5 365.93 ₸

at 894.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 964.17 ₸ +3 548.07 (+51.0%)

profit on prices without sales at least −427 ₸

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Tec-9 | Snek-9

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

353.80 ₸

at 353.80

Steam

×5

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

2 248.73 ₸

at 449.75

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

914.36 ₸

at 457.18

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

1 788.64 ₸

at 894.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 305.54 ₸ +2 889.56 (+54.5%)

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

300.11 ₸

at 300.11

Steam

×7

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

3 148.22 ₸

at 449.75

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Murky

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

344.94 ₸

at 344.94

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

457.18 ₸

at 457.18

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 250.46 ₸ +2 399.89 (+56.5%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

4 527.31 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

38 145.35 ₸ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

13 157.18 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

3 185.40 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | PAW

Factory New

3 723.07 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Eco

Factory New

6 840.70 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | High Seas

Factory New

6 331.04 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Powercore

Factory New

5 851.17 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Toy Soldier

Factory New

6 611.00 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 428.88 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2 722.10 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 37 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

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profit on prices without salesat least −3 724 ₸ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −3 367 ₸ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −3 383 ₸ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −3 403 ₸ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −3 491 ₸ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −3 467 ₸ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −3 505 ₸ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 1715395 · The Boreal Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 020.28₸ · invest 7 695.31₸
profit on prices without salesat least −3 443 ₸ rare inputs

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074361 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074361 instead of 0.074323
Craft 1714082 · The Ascent Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 017.96₸ · invest 7 954.17₸
profit on prices without salesat least −3 445 ₸ rare inputs

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Craft 1728008 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 010.27₸ · invest 7 878.80₸
profit on prices without salesat least −3 453 ₸ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074389 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074389 instead of 0.074323
Craft 1734568 · The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 005.55₸ · invest 7 911.98₸
profit on prices without salesat least −3 458 ₸ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074379 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074379 instead of 0.074323
Craft 1736572 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 004.33₸ · invest 7 649.37₸
profit on prices without salesat least −3 459 ₸ rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074389 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074389 instead of 0.074323
Craft 1729782 · The Fracture Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 002.14₸ · invest 7 660.49₸
profit on prices without salesat least −3 461 ₸ rare inputs

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Craft 1739331 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 001.84₸ · invest 7 844.36₸
profit on prices without salesat least −3 461 ₸ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074323
Craft 1726697 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 993.14₸ · invest 7 639.77₸
profit on prices without salesat least −3 470 ₸ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074351 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074351 instead of 0.074323
Craft 1718117 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 982.00₸ · invest 7 808.44₸
profit on prices without salesat least −3 547 ₸ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074368 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074368 instead of 0.074323
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profit on prices without salesat least −3 482 ₸ rare inputs

FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074143 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074143 instead of 0.074323
Craft 1739754 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 975.07₸ · invest 7 753.22₸
profit on prices without salesat least −3 488 ₸ rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074361 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074361 instead of 0.074323
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profit on prices without salesat least −3 491 ₸ rare inputs

SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074344 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074344 instead of 0.074323
Craft 1742620 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 967.94₸ · invest 7 698.21₸
profit on prices without salesat least −3 495 ₸ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
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profit on prices without salesat least −3 506 ₸ rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074376 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074376 instead of 0.074323
Craft 1740872 · The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 950.89₸ · invest 7 686.02₸
profit on prices without salesat least −3 512 ₸ rare inputs

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074389 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074389 instead of 0.074323
Craft 1741228 · The Revolution Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 945.39₸ · invest 7 681.49₸
profit on prices without salesat least −3 518 ₸ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074406 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074406 instead of 0.074323
Craft 1742755 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 943.76₸ · invest 7 774.95₸
profit on prices without salesat least −3 519 ₸ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 1717041 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 943.71₸ · invest 7 784.44₸
profit on prices without salesat least −3 520 ₸ rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 1743100 · The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 3 862.93₸ · invest 7 837.98₸
profit on prices without salesat least −3 961 ₸ rare inputs

Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074323
Craft 1742033 · The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 858.84₸ · invest 7 707.86₸
profit on prices without salesat least −3 604 ₸ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074093 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074093 instead of 0.074323
Craft 1737652 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 806.06₸ · invest 7 961.98₸
profit on prices without salesat least −3 933 ₸ rare inputs

Galil AR | Vandal (Field-Tested) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074323
Craft 1707351 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 804.97₸ · invest 9 011.52₸
profit on prices without salesat least −4 762 ₸ rare inputs

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075743 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075743 instead of 0.074323
Craft 1735992 · The Italy Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 799.80₸ · invest 7 809.28₸
profit on prices without salesat least −3 663 ₸ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074361 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074361 instead of 0.074323
Craft 1742952 · The Spy Tech Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 793.05₸ · invest 7 712.55₸
profit on prices without salesat least −3 670 ₸ rare inputs

AUG | Signal Scanner (Field-Tested) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074323
Craft 1712364 · The Arabesque Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 783.80₸ · invest 7 707.33₸
profit on prices without salesat least −3 679 ₸ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Field-Tested) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074323
Craft 1740185 · The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 760.43₸ · invest 7 701.69₸
profit on prices without salesat least −3 703 ₸ rare inputs

MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074783 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074783 instead of 0.074323
Craft 1735746 · The Huntsman Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 755.61₸ · invest 8 186.93₸
profit on prices without salesat least −3 708 ₸ rare inputs

SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074002 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074002 instead of 0.074323
Craft 1743084 · The Train Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 752.92₸ · invest 7 814.93₸
profit on prices without salesat least −3 710 ₸ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074323
Craft 1741857 · The Safehouse Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 750.41₸ · invest 7 850.27₸
profit on prices without salesat least −3 713 ₸ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074323
Craft 1711672 · The Anubis Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 716.66₸ · invest 8 065.83₸
profit on prices without salesat least −4 096 ₸ rare inputs

Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot (Field-Tested) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074323

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build