StatTrak™
Classified → Covert
About the craftCraft 1735779 · ways to build: 5StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+113 121.31₸
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».242 347.85₸
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.355 469.15₸
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+46.7%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.50%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 612 483.65₸
· profit at most −257 014.50₸
(at most -42.0%) · chance of profit at most 45%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ USP-S | Caiman (Factory New) × 18% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.1652959.95 → 114393.48 ₸
StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) × 98% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.63189387.90 → 498090.18 ₸
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
profit on prices without salesIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −213 303 ₸Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −213 303 ₸: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New), StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New), StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New)
!
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 1.
They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 5.0% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is +84 076.46 ₸.
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
profit on prices without salesat least −213 303 ₸marketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
продажа ненадёжнаmarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
profit on prices without salesat least −158 412 ₸marketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
8% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ USP-S | Caiman
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0054
(8% of this wear's listings)
52 959.95 ₸
at 52 959.95
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005474f′ (normalized) 0.013686wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 12 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 155 361.89 ₸
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 48) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×9
StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0762
(0% of this wear's listings)
189 387.90 ₸
at 21 043.10
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076256f′ (normalized) 0.076256wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 44) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs242 347.85 ₸
+113 121.31
(+46.7%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.044800, 0.063000, 0.049000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −204 389 ₸
!
7% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0755
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
41 174.31 ₸
at 41 174.31
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075506f′ (normalized) 0.083896wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 30 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 45 · from 50 786.01 ₸ (float 0.0723) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ USP-S | Caiman
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0048
(0% of this wear's listings)
52 959.95 ₸
at 52 959.95
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004818f′ (normalized) 0.012046wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 12 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 48) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×8
StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0755
(0% of this wear's listings)
168 344.80 ₸
at 21 043.10
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075506f′ (normalized) 0.075506wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 44) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs262 479.06 ₸
+87 349.63
(+33.3%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.044800, 0.063000, 0.049000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −195 476 ₸
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×2
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0747
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
82 348.63 ₸
at 41 174.31
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074771f′ (normalized) 0.083079wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 30 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 45 · from 50 786.01 ₸ (float 0.0723) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ USP-S | Caiman
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0041
(0% of this wear's listings)
52 959.95 ₸
at 52 959.95
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004175f′ (normalized) 0.010438wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 12 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 48) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×7
StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0747
(0% of this wear's listings)
147 301.70 ₸
at 21 043.10
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074771f′ (normalized) 0.074771wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 44) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs282 610.28 ₸
+61 577.95
(+21.8%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.044800, 0.063000, 0.049000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −183 876 ₸
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×2
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1635
(0% of this wear's listings)
47 469.33 ₸
at 23 734.66
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163534f′ (normalized) 0.181704wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 38 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 64 · from 34 815.11 ₸ (float 0.1526) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ USP-S | Caiman
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0041
(0% of this wear's listings)
158 879.84 ₸
at 52 959.95
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004119f′ (normalized) 0.010297wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 12 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 48) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×4
StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0747
(0% of this wear's listings)
84 172.40 ₸
at 21 043.10
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074707f′ (normalized) 0.074707wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 44) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0041
(0% of this wear's listings)
38 578.96 ₸
at 38 578.96
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004119f′ (normalized) 0.006865wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 12 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 36 · from 108 823.28 ₸ (float 0.0040) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs329 100.52 ₸
+3 806.83
(+1.2%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.063000, 0.049000, 0.070000, 0.044800«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −186 562 ₸
!
5% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×3
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0740
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
123 522.94 ₸
at 41 174.31
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074050f′ (normalized) 0.082278wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 30 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 45 · from 50 786.01 ₸ (float 0.0723) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ USP-S | Caiman
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0035
(0% of this wear's listings)
52 959.95 ₸
at 52 959.95
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003544f′ (normalized) 0.008860wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 12 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 48) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×6
StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0740
(0% of this wear's listings)
126 258.60 ₸
at 21 043.10
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074050f′ (normalized) 0.074050wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 44) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs302 741.49 ₸
+35 806.27
(+11.8%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.044800, 0.063000, 0.049000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 363 427.65 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 398 495.25 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 350 139.24 ₸listings: 26
on CS.Money: ~ 357 964.30 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 341 957.27 ₸listings: 41
at a loss
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Factory New
52 869.28 ₸45.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New)net 45973.31you get 0.044800The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 36 500.22 ₸
(you get 31 739.31)) · buy orders: 823
sell on Market.CSGO: 44 031.86 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 48 280.58 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 37 674.98 ₸listings: 22
on CS.Money: ~ 38 298.46 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 38 732.18 ₸listings: 37
in profit
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan
Factory New
592 751.87 ₸5.00%
sell on CSFloat
SteamStatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New)net 580896.82you get 0.063000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 592 751.87 ₸listings 65 · you get 580 896.82 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 817 273.24 ₸
(you get 710 672.37)) · buy orders: 1294
sell on Market.CSGO: 668 358.27 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 732 848.99 · lots 11
on CSFloat: from 592 751.87 ₸listings: 65
on CS.Money: ~ 670 912.01 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 631 122.64 ₸listings: 69
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike
Factory New
32 790.28 ₸5.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New)net 28513.30you get 0.049000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 31 335.61 ₸
(you get 27 248.34)) · buy orders: 742
sell on Market.CSGO: 30 723.47 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 33 688.03 · lots 13
on CSFloat: from 26 619.64 ₸listings: 27
on CS.Money: ~ 27 319.92 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 29 709.89 ₸listings: 54
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+61 580.43 ₸a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+111 015.57 ₸historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Huntsman Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
Similar
1 craft almost like this one
The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 1743206
· The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 110 534.90₸
· invest 222 283.78₸
profit on prices without salesat least −222 284 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Caiman (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076575 instead of 0.076256
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
