The Kilowatt Collection + The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.

Average profit +17.37$

Invest 37.54$

Average return 54.91$

ROI +46.3%

Chance of profit 60%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 91.22$ · profit at most −36.31$ (at most -39.8%) · chance of profit at most 27%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) × 6 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 16.84 → 42.26 $

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear) × 4 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 20.70 → 48.96 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −19 $

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Kilowatt Collection + The Wildfire Collection

+17.37 $ +46.3% chance of profit 60%

expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) · 107.65 $ · chance 13%

profit on prices without salesat least −19 $

6× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
4× StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744

Variant 2 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

+12.61 $ +51.0% chance of profit 80%

expensive: StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator (Factory New) · 84.30 $ · chance 13%

sells slowly

5× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
1× StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
4× StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Last Dive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035

Variant 3 The Recoil Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

+11.66 $ +64.6% chance of profit 67%

expensive: StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker (Factory New) · 41.75 $ · chance 30%

sells slowly

9× StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
1× StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059

Variant 4 only The Kilowatt Collection

+11.61 $ +62.1% chance of profit 67%

expensive: StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker (Factory New) · 41.75 $ · chance 33%

sells slowly

9× StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
1× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058

Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

+11.40 $ +64.2% chance of profit 70%

expensive: StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker (Factory New) · 41.75 $ · chance 30%

sells slowly

9× StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0755
1× StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) buy 0.2100–0.2217

Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

+10.57 $ +54.0% chance of profit 67%

expensive: StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker (Factory New) · 41.75 $ · chance 30%

sells slowly

7× StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0771
2× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
1× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0771

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

16.84 $

at 2.81

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

20.70 $

at 5.18

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 37.54 $ +17.37 (+46.3%)

profit on prices without sales at least −12 $

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

3.53 $

at 1.77

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

14.03 $

at 2.81

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

15.53 $

at 5.18

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 33.09 $ +15.67 (+47.4%)

profit on prices without sales at least −4 $

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

5.30 $

at 1.77

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

14.03 $

at 2.81

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

3.97 $

at 3.97

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

5.18 $

at 5.18

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 28.47 $ +14.13 (+49.6%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus

Factory New

39.02 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus

Factory New

17.51 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker

Factory New

48.02 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Factory New

107.57 $ 13.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon

Factory New

123.79 $ 13.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

85.39 $ 13.33%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +9.22 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +14.92 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Kilowatt Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1742790 · The Spectrum Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 19.91$ · invest 45.54$
profit on prices without salesat least −34 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Last Dive (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074096 instead of 0.074477
Craft 1718142 · The CS20 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 14.97$ · invest 66.62$
profit on prices without salesat least −66 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Factory New), StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074093 instead of 0.074477

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Kilowatt Collection + The Wildfire Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build