Crafts · The Lake Collection
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The Lake Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1736829 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 731.89₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 2 351.67₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 4 083.56₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +73.7%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 36%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 6 166.04₽ · profit at most −2 082.48₽ (at most -33.8%) · chance of profit at most 18%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 40.11 → 86.64 ₽
XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) × 9 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 2311.56 → 6079.40 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −1 322 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −1 322 ₽: Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New), PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Lake Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+1 731.89 ₽ +73.6% chance of profit 36%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 15 660.06 ₽ · chance 18%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 322 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 9× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0839
Variant 2 The Mirage Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+30 370.83 ₽ +154.6% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −19 640 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× P90 | Teardown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+6 654.64 ₽ +77.3% chance of profit 90%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 20 866.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −8 606 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
  • 9× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+3 563.07 ₽ +171.6% chance of profit 30%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 576 ₽
  • 1× SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
Variant 5 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+1 962.11 ₽ +76.4% chance of profit 40%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 15 660.06 ₽ · chance 20%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 431 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 10× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0856
Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+727.02 ₽ +51.9% chance of profit 45%
expensive: M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New) · 6 288.88 ₽ · chance 22%
profit on prices without salesat least −688 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 2× MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1627
  • 7× UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
SG 553 | Anodized Navy
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
40.11 ₽
at 40.11
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003982f′ (normalized) 0.049786wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 1 953 · good ≈ 26
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 524 · from 633.87 ₽ (float 0.0037) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×9
XM1014 | Red Python
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0800–0.0839
2 311.56 ₽
at 256.84
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.083982f′ (normalized) 0.009483wear 0.0800–0.1500on the market 42 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 3 815.10 ₽ · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 32) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 2 351.67 ₽ +1 731.89 (+73.7%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.002703, 0.001081, 0.070000, 0.005405 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 36%
  • Losing outcome 64%
at a loss
PP-Bizon | Blue Streak
Factory New
1 500.00 ₽ 18.00%
price without deals
Steam PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Factory New)net 1304.35 you get 0.070000The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 1 156.09 ₽ (you get 1 005.29)) · buy orders: 826 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 251.68 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 372.46 · lots 12 on CSFloat: from 1 596.67 ₽ listings: 11 on CS.Money: ~ 1 221.48 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 183.80 ₽ listings: 40
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Crimson Web
Factory New
18 009.07 ₽ 18.00%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 15660.06 you get 0.070000The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 14 852.30 ₽ (you get 12 915.04)) · buy orders: 1148 sell on Market.CSGO: 11 842.78 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 12 985.51 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 11 562.99 ₽ listings: 54 on CS.Money: ~ 12 404.15 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 11 939.03 ₽ listings: 64
in profit
Glock-18 | Steel Disruption
Factory New
3 837.77 ₽ 18.00%
Steam Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New)net 3337.19 you get 0.002703The eSports 2014 Summer Collection sells 43 a week sell now to a buy order: 3 905.28 ₽ (you get 3 395.89)) · buy orders: 5644 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 240.68 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 553.38 · lots 28 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 3 168.49 ₽ listings: 101 on CS.Money: ~ 3 489.71 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 262.72 ₽ listings: 89
at a loss
MP7 | Ocean Foam
Factory New
1 060.53 ₽ 18.00%
Steam MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New)net 922.20 you get 0.001081The eSports 2014 Summer Collection sells 28 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 062.38 ₽ (you get 923.80)) · buy orders: 3956 sell on Market.CSGO: 890.84 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 976.80 · lots 56 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 848.87 ₽ listings: 110 on CS.Money: ~ 887.42 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 863.43 ₽ listings: 184
at a loss
P90 | Virus
Factory New
1 643.05 ₽ 18.00%
Steam P90 | Virus (Factory New)net 1428.74 you get 0.070000The eSports 2014 Summer Collection sells 1 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 638.04 ₽ (you get 1 424.38)) · buy orders: 1297 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 268.39 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 487.28 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 1 600.09 ₽ listings: 11 on CS.Money: ~ 1 570.11 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 511.87 ₽ listings: 17
at a loss
worst
Dual Berettas | Cobalt Quartz
Factory New
70.22 ₽ 10.00%
Steam Dual Berettas | Cobalt Quartz (Factory New)net 61.06 you get 0.005405 sells ≈852 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 62.16 ₽ (you get 54.05)) · buy orders: 18774 sell on Market.CSGO: 51.03 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 55.96 · lots 82 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 51.39 ₽ listings: 285 on CS.Money: ~ 55.68 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 52.25 ₽ listings: 334
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