Crafts · The Mirage Collection
$≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.0117 $. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Mirage Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1736887 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +353.22$
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 232.37$
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 585.59$
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +152.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 590.93$ · profit at most −5.34$ (at most -0.9%) · chance of profit at most 90%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 21.60 → 46.65 $
MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 207.01 → 536.15 $
G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 3.76 → 8.13 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −231 $ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −231 $: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New), FAMAS | ZX Spectron (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Mirage Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection
+353.22 $ +152.0% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 648.71 $ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −231 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 2 only The Mirage Collection
+394.23 $ +154.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 648.71 $ · chance 100%
profit on prices without salesat least −254 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 9× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection
+363.91 $ +151.8% chance of profit 95%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 648.71 $ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −240 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection
+357.53 $ +154.4% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 648.71 $ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −230 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 1× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0838
Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection
+355.63 $ +151.0% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 648.71 $ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −235 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
  • 1× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
Variant 6 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection
+355.53 $ +155.0% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 648.71 $ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −228 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 1× Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
UMP-45 | Blaze
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
21.60 $
at 21.60
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003982f′ (normalized) 0.049786wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 91 · good ≈ 7
on the market with this float, usually ~7, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 58.37 $ · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 5 of 396 · from 21.56 $ (float 0.0037) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×8
MAC-10 | Amber Fade
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
207.01 $
at 25.88
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003982f′ (normalized) 0.009957wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 37 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 62 · from 77.06 $ (float 0.0039) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
3.76 $
at 3.76
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003982f′ (normalized) 0.005689wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 37 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 42) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 232.37 $ +353.22 (+152.0%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.070000, 0.013513, 0.005541, 0.013513, 0.008108, 0.007432 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
MAG-7 | Bulldozer
Factory New
746.02 $ 90.00%
price without deals
Steam MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New)net 648.71 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 203.17 $ (you get 176.67)) · buy orders: 202 sell on Market.CSGO: 232.82 $ to your card cheapest lot 255.28 · lots 4 CSFloat: price does not match Steam — not shown CS.Money: price does not match Steam — not shown Lis-Skins: price does not match Steam — not shown
at a loss
FAMAS | ZX Spectron
Factory New
26.00 $ 2.00%
price without deals
Steam FAMAS | ZX Spectron (Factory New)net 22.61 you get 0.013513The Operation Riptide Collection
by lot · 1 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 19.14 $ to your card cheapest lot 20.99 · lots 68 on CSFloat: from 20.70 $ listings: 97 on CS.Money: ~ 20.85 $ on Lis-Skins: from 18.66 $ listings: 198
at a loss
Five-SeveN | Boost Protocol
Factory New
11.50 $ 2.00%
Steam Five-SeveN | Boost Protocol (Factory New)net 10.00 you get 0.005541The Operation Riptide Collection sells 57 a week sell now to a buy order: 11.45 $ (you get 9.96)) · buy orders: 28077 sell on Market.CSGO: 9.45 $ to your card cheapest lot 10.36 · lots 50 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 8.98 $ listings: 107 on CS.Money: ~ 9.39 $ on Lis-Skins: from 9.11 $ listings: 309
at a loss
M4A4 | Spider Lily
Factory New
39.61 $ 2.00%
Steam M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New)net 34.45 you get 0.013513The Operation Riptide Collection sells 11 a week sell now to a buy order: 66.59 $ (you get 57.90)) · buy orders: 6829 sell on Market.CSGO: 58.89 $ to your card cheapest lot 64.58 · lots 35 on CSFloat: from 54.53 $ listings: 114 on CS.Money: ~ 57.39 $ on Lis-Skins: from 59.08 $ listings: 150
at a loss
worst
MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum
Factory New
6.42 $ 2.00%
Steam MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New)net 5.58 you get 0.008108The Operation Riptide Collection sells 21 a week sell now to a buy order: 6.33 $ (you get 5.50)) · buy orders: 14735 sell on Market.CSGO: 5.15 $ to your card cheapest lot 5.65 · lots 25 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 5.99 $ listings: 79 on CS.Money: ~ 5.24 $ on Lis-Skins: from 5.06 $ listings: 92
at a loss
MP9 | Mount Fuji
Factory New
16.92 $ 2.00%
Steam MP9 | Mount Fuji (Factory New)net 14.71 you get 0.007432The Operation Riptide Collection sells 72 a week sell now to a buy order: 16.66 $ (you get 14.48)) · buy orders: 12778 sell on Market.CSGO: 12.89 $ to your card cheapest lot 14.14 · lots 184 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 13.23 $ listings: 364 on CS.Money: ~ 14.38 $ on Lis-Skins: from 13.72 $ listings: 482
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