Crafts · The Mirage Collection
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The Mirage Collection + The Recoil Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1736899 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +30 410.80₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 19 617.20₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 50 028.00₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +155.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 49 997.84₽ · profit at most +30.15₽ (at most +0.1%) · chance of profit at most 90%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 1850.00 → 3996.00 ₽
MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 17731.84 → 45925.47 ₽
Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 35.36 → 76.38 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −19 600 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −19 600 ₽: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Mirage Collection + The Recoil Collection
+30 410.80 ₽ +155.0% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −19 600 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Mirage Collection
+482.93 ₽ +62.6% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AWP | Black Box (Factory New) · 2 128.47 ₽ · chance 30%
  • 1× Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 9× R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768
Variant 3 only The Mirage Collection
+33 769.29 ₽ +154.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 100%
profit on prices without salesat least −21 798 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 9× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
Variant 4 The Overpass Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+31 172.19 ₽ +151.8% chance of profit 95%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −20 534 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+30 625.22 ₽ +154.4% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −19 725 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 1× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0838
Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+30 462.20 ₽ +151.0% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −20 120 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
  • 1× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
UMP-45 | Blaze
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
1 850.00 ₽
at 1 850.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003982f′ (normalized) 0.049786wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 91 · good ≈ 7
on the market with this float, usually ~7, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 5 000.00 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
×8
MAC-10 | Amber Fade
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
17 731.84 ₽
at 2 216.48
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003982f′ (normalized) 0.009957wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 37 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
×1
Galil AR | Destroyer
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
35.36 ₽
at 35.36
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003982f′ (normalized) 0.005689wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 645 · good ≈ 8
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 19 617.20 ₽ +30 410.80 (+155.0%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.070000, 0.013513, 0.008784, 0.009459, 0.013513, 0.009459 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
MAG-7 | Bulldozer
Factory New
63 902.75 ₽ 90.00%
price without deals
Steam MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New)net 55567.61 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 17 403.55 ₽ (you get 15 133.52)) · buy orders: 202 sell on Market.CSGO: 19 942.84 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 21 867.16 · lots 4 CSFloat: price does not match Steam — not shown CS.Money: price does not match Steam — not shown Lis-Skins: price does not match Steam — not shown
at a loss
Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora
Factory New
324.25 ₽ 2.00%
Steam Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Factory New)net 281.96 you get 0.013513The Recoil Collection sells 90 a week sell now to a buy order: 318.43 ₽ (you get 276.89)) · buy orders: 25741 sell on Market.CSGO: 253.44 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 277.90 · lots 43 on CSFloat: from 247.55 ₽ listings: 211 on CS.Money: ~ 238.99 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 257.83 ₽ listings: 98
at a loss
worst
M249 | Downtown
Factory New
109.03 ₽ 2.00%
Steam M249 | Downtown (Factory New)net 94.81 you get 0.008784The Recoil Collection sells 258 a week sell now to a buy order: 134.83 ₽ (you get 117.24)) · buy orders: 18058 sell on Market.CSGO: 105.96 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 116.19 · lots 55 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 95.08 ₽ listings: 237 on CS.Money: ~ 92.51 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 99.36 ₽ listings: 204
at a loss
P90 | Vent Rush
Factory New
120.82 ₽ 2.00%
Steam P90 | Vent Rush (Factory New)net 105.06 you get 0.009459The Recoil Collection sells 245 a week sell now to a buy order: 131.96 ₽ (you get 114.74)) · buy orders: 21396 sell on Market.CSGO: 104.49 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 114.58 · lots 43 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 93.37 ₽ listings: 216 on CS.Money: ~ 94.22 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 93.37 ₽ listings: 89
at a loss
R8 Revolver | Crazy 8
Factory New
292.34 ₽ 2.00%
Steam R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Factory New)net 254.21 you get 0.013513The Recoil Collection sells 69 a week sell now to a buy order: 288.78 ₽ (you get 251.11)) · buy orders: 15904 sell on Market.CSGO: 237.06 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 259.94 · lots 19 on CSFloat: from 244.98 ₽ listings: 135 on CS.Money: ~ 204.72 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 212.43 ₽ listings: 114
at a loss
SG 553 | Dragon Tech
Factory New
139.64 ₽ 2.00%
Steam SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Factory New)net 121.43 you get 0.009459The Recoil Collection sells 386 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 112.38 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 123.23 · lots 173 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 101.93 ₽ listings: 285 on CS.Money: ~ 107.07 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 107.93 ₽ listings: 317
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