Crafts · The Mirage Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Mirage Collection + The Revolution Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1736900 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +15 934.52₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 10 278.84₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 26 213.37₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +155.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 26 197.59₴ · profit at most +15.78₴ (at most +0.1%) · chance of profit at most 90%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 969.39 → 2093.88 ₴
MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 9291.38 → 24064.66 ₴
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 18.08 → 39.05 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −10 271 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −10 271 ₴: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Mirage Collection + The Revolution Collection
+15 934.53 ₴ +155.0% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 29 117.09 ₴ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −10 271 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 1× SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Mirage Collection
+252.50 ₴ +62.5% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AWP | Black Box (Factory New) · 1 115.31 ₴ · chance 30%
  • 1× SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
  • 9× R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0769
Variant 3 only The Mirage Collection
+17 694.90 ₴ +154.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 29 117.09 ₴ · chance 100%
profit on prices without salesat least −11 422 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 9× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
Variant 4 The Overpass Collection instead of The Revolution Collection
+16 334.04 ₴ +151.8% chance of profit 95%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 29 117.09 ₴ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −10 760 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Revolution Collection
+16 047.43 ₴ +154.4% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 29 117.09 ₴ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −10 336 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 1× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0838
Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Revolution Collection
+15 962.01 ₴ +151.0% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 29 117.09 ₴ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −10 543 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
  • 1× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
UMP-45 | Blaze
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0040
969.39 ₴
at 969.39
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004000f′ (normalized) 0.050002wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 91 · good ≈ 7
on the market with this float, usually ~7, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 2 619.97 ₴ · little data: 0.0 d.
×8
MAC-10 | Amber Fade
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0040
9 291.38 ₴
at 1 161.42
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004000f′ (normalized) 0.010000wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 37 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
×1
SCAR-20 | Fragments
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0040
18.08 ₴
at 18.08
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004000f′ (normalized) 0.005128wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 968 · good ≈ 13
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 10 278.84 ₴ +15 934.52 (+155.0%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.070000, 0.010135, 0.010811, 0.217838, 0.008108, 0.013513 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
MAG-7 | Bulldozer
Factory New
33 484.65 ₴ 90.00%
price without deals
Steam MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New)net 29117.09 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 119.35 ₴ (you get 7 929.87)) · buy orders: 202 sell on Market.CSGO: 10 449.93 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 11 458.26 · lots 4 CSFloat: price does not match Steam — not shown CS.Money: price does not match Steam — not shown Lis-Skins: price does not match Steam — not shown
at a loss
Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit
Factory New
85.10 ₴ 2.00%
Steam Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Factory New)net 74.00 you get 0.010135The Revolution Collection sells ≈603 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 83.68 ₴ (you get 72.76)) · buy orders: 18734 sell on Market.CSGO: 62.53 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 68.57 · lots 77 on CSFloat: from 59.70 ₴ listings: 391 on CS.Money: ~ 60.59 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 61.05 ₴ listings: 329
at a loss
M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S
Factory New
123.23 ₴ 2.00%
Steam M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New)net 107.16 you get 0.010811The Revolution Collection sells ≈574 a week — 6 of 7 days measured no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 88.72 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 97.28 · lots 99 on CSFloat: from 89.32 ₴ listings: 496 on CS.Money: ~ 86.63 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 91.12 ₴ listings: 338
at a loss
worst
MAC-10 | Sakkaku
Field-Tested
42.93 ₴ 2.00%
Steam MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)net 37.32 you get 0.217838The Revolution Collection sells 3496 a week sell now to a buy order: 41.09 ₴ (you get 35.73)) · buy orders: 37599 sell on Market.CSGO: 32.53 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 35.68 · lots 467 on CSFloat: from 30.97 ₴ listings: 556 on CS.Money: ~ 31.87 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 33.22 ₴ listings: 3886
at a loss
P90 | Neoqueen
Factory New
73.40 ₴ 2.00%
Steam P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New)net 63.82 you get 0.008108The Revolution Collection sells 1439 a week sell now to a buy order: 71.15 ₴ (you get 61.87)) · buy orders: 17312 sell on Market.CSGO: 59.14 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 64.85 · lots 43 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 55.66 ₴ listings: 263 on CS.Money: ~ 57.45 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 59.25 ₴ listings: 181
at a loss
R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon
Factory New
134.72 ₴ 2.00%
Steam R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Factory New)net 117.15 you get 0.013513The Revolution Collection sells 221 a week sell now to a buy order: 147.31 ₴ (you get 128.10)) · buy orders: 13168 sell on Market.CSGO: 125.50 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 137.61 · lots 24 on CSFloat: from 106.38 ₴ listings: 250 on CS.Money: ~ 114.46 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 115.35 ₴ listings: 151
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