Crafts · The Mirage Collection
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The Mirage Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1736936 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +24 610.47₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 26 179.33₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 50 789.80₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +94.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 64 172.04₽ · profit at most −13 382.24₽ (at most -20.9%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 1850.00 → 3996.00 ₽
MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 17731.84 → 45925.47 ₽
M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 6597.49 → 14250.58 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −26 179 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −26 179 ₽: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New), Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New), Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Factory New), P250 | Splash (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Mirage Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection
+24 610.47 ₽ +94.0% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −26 179 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
  • 1× M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605
Variant 2 only The Mirage Collection
+33 769.29 ₽ +154.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 100%
profit on prices without salesat least −21 798 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 9× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection
+31 172.19 ₽ +151.8% chance of profit 95%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −20 534 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection
+30 625.22 ₽ +154.4% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −19 725 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 1× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0838
Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection
+30 462.20 ₽ +151.0% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −20 120 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
  • 1× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
Variant 6 The Safehouse Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection
+30 454.07 ₽ +155.0% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −19 557 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 1× Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
UMP-45 | Blaze
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0041
1 850.00 ₽
at 1 850.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004133f′ (normalized) 0.051667wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 91 · good ≈ 7
on the market with this float, usually ~7, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 5 000.00 ₽ · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 5 of 396 · from 1 846.79 ₽ (float 0.0037) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×8
MAC-10 | Amber Fade
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0041
17 731.84 ₽
at 2 216.48
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004133f′ (normalized) 0.010333wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 37 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 62 · from 6 600.81 ₽ (float 0.0039) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
M4A4 | Faded Zebra
Factory New
buy 0.0600–0.0605
6 597.49 ₽
at 6 597.49
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.060590f′ (normalized) 0.000797wear 0.0600–0.0700on the market 15 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 7) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 26 179.33 ₽ +24 610.47 (+94.0%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.061622, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
MAG-7 | Bulldozer
Factory New
63 902.75 ₽ 90.00%
price without deals
Steam MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New)net 55567.61 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 17 403.55 ₽ (you get 15 133.52)) · buy orders: 202 sell on Market.CSGO: 19 942.84 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 21 867.16 · lots 4 CSFloat: price does not match Steam — not shown CS.Money: price does not match Steam — not shown Lis-Skins: price does not match Steam — not shown
at a loss
Galil AR | Orange DDPAT
Factory New
11 274.00 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New)net 9803.48 you get 0.070000The eSports 2013 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 055.58 ₽ (you get 7 874.41)) · buy orders: 382 sell on Market.CSGO: 8 120.80 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 904.39 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 7 610.72 ₽ listings: 8 on Lis-Skins: from 7 702.38 ₽ listings: 6
at a loss
worst
P250 | Splash
Factory New
6 425.62 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam P250 | Splash (Factory New)net 5587.50 you get 0.061622The eSports 2013 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 844.31 ₽ (you get 4 212.44)) · buy orders: 297 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 220.83 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 724.60 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 3 638.76 ₽ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 3 938.56 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 4 159.56 ₽ listings: 18
at a loss
Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT
Factory New
9 174.21 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Factory New)net 7977.57 you get 0.070000The eSports 2013 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders not listed on Market.CSGO right now CSFloat: 2 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 5 654.29 ₽ listings: 4
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