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The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +1 581.65₴

Invest 2 480.24₴

Average return 4 061.89₴

ROI +63.8%

Chance of profit 97%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 5 863.28₴ · profit at most −1 801.40₴ (at most -30.7%) · chance of profit at most 3%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 333.09 → 719.47 ₴

Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) × 5 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 626.75 → 1548.07 ₴

MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New) × 4 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 1520.40 → 3595.75 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −1 176 ₴

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

+1 581.65 ₴ +63.8% chance of profit 97%

expensive: M4A4 | Cyber Security (Factory New) · 6 531.70 ₴ · chance 3.3%

profit on prices without salesat least −1 176 ₴

1× UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0755
5× Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1660
4× MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048

Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

+933.23 ₴ +58.4% chance of profit 37%

expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 6 651.70 ₴ · chance 30%

sells slowly

1× SSG 08 | Parallax (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
1× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
8× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616

Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

+760.84 ₴ +23.4% chance of profit 97%

expensive: M4A4 | Cyber Security (Factory New) · 6 531.70 ₴ · chance 3.3%

sells slowly

1× SSG 08 | Parallax (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1648
7× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0751
2× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045

Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

+667.76 ₴ +28.5% chance of profit 52%

expensive: M4A4 | Cyber Security (Factory New) · 6 531.70 ₴ · chance 3.3%

sells slowly

1× SSG 08 | Parallax (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1619
6× AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
3× XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036

Variant 5 only The Train 2025 Collection

+358.06 ₴ +35.1% chance of profit 100%

expensive: M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear) · 1 405.18 ₴ · chance 50%

7× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1659
3× Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1659

Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection

+298.60 ₴ +28.7% chance of profit 93%

expensive: M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear) · 1 405.18 ₴ · chance 45%

rare inputs

6× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1657
3× Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1657
1× MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754

How to build

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

333.09 ₴

at 333.09

Steam

×5

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

626.75 ₴

at 125.35

Steam

×4

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

1 520.40 ₴

at 380.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 480.24 ₴ +1 581.65 (+63.8%)

profit on prices without sales at least −2 197 ₴

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

SSG 08 | Parallax

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

354.23 ₴

at 177.12

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

999.26 ₴

at 333.09

Steam

×5

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

1 900.50 ₴

at 380.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 253.99 ₴ +837.26 (+25.7%)

profit on prices without sales at least −1 658 ₴

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

SSG 08 | Parallax

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

354.23 ₴

at 177.12

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

333.09 ₴

at 333.09

Steam

×2

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

250.70 ₴

at 125.35

Steam

×5

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

1 900.50 ₴

at 380.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 838.52 ₴ +1 238.05 (+43.6%)

profit on prices without sales at least −1 388 ₴

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

SSG 08 | Parallax

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

354.23 ₴

at 177.12

Steam

×3

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

376.05 ₴

at 125.35

Steam

×5

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

1 900.50 ₴

at 380.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 630.78 ₴ +1 438.45 (+54.7%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 97%
Losing outcome 3%

in profit

M4A4 | Hellish

Factory New

6 183.13 ₴ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Latte Rush

Factory New

3 142.32 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale

Minimal Wear

2 577.90 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Cyber Security

Factory New

7 511.45 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Monster Mashup

Factory New

4 152.11 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +894.79 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 259.04 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Broken Fang Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1734157 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 662.74₴ · invest 2 654.90₴
profit on prices without salesat least −959 ₴ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162840 instead of 0.166051; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.003908 instead of 0.004885
Craft 1742941 · The Spy Tech Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 631.58₴ · invest 2 417.01₴
profit on prices without salesat least −788 ₴ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170425 instead of 0.166051; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.006216 instead of 0.004885
Craft 1742254 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 623.50₴ · invest 2 325.40₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 072 ₴ rare inputs

AUG | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1704825 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 533.28₴ · invest 2 293.02₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 028 ₴ rare inputs

P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170425 instead of 0.166051; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.006216 instead of 0.004885
Craft 1707709 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 497.53₴ · invest 2 513.48₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 157 ₴ rare inputs

P2000 | Space Race (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163695 instead of 0.166051; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004168 instead of 0.004885

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build