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The Operation Hydra Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit +7 511.87₽

Invest 14 110.37₽

Average return 21 622.24₽

ROI +53.2%

Chance of profit 70%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 35 281.67₽ · profit at most −13 659.43₽ (at most -38.7%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

StatTrak™ P90 | Death Grip (Minimal Wear) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 2056.97 → 4443.06 ₽

StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian (Minimal Wear) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 883.00 → 1907.28 ₽

StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) × 8 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 11170.40 → 28931.34 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −14 110 ₽

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Operation Hydra Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

+7 511.87 ₽ +53.2% chance of profit 70%

expensive: StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Minimal Wear) · 35 000.00 ₽ · chance 30%

profit on prices without salesat least −14 110 ₽

1× StatTrak™ P90 | Death Grip (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764
1× StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764
8× StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection

+54 553.40 ₽ +94.9% chance of profit 90%

expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) · 139 259.75 ₽ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −10 271 ₽

1× StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
6× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
3× StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605

Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

+52 799.96 ₽ +89.0% chance of profit 90%

expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) · 139 259.75 ₽ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −12 076 ₽

1× StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Death's Head (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
6× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
3× StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605

Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection

+10 409.51 ₽ +117.2% chance of profit 100%

expensive: StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Minimal Wear) · 35 000.00 ₽ · chance 13%

profit on prices without salesat least −8 885 ₽

4× StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
6× StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741

Variant 5 only The Shattered Web Collection

+8 633.86 ₽ +66.7% chance of profit 67%

expensive: StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Minimal Wear) · 35 000.00 ₽ · chance 33%

profit on prices without salesat least −12 936 ₽

2× StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764
8× StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056

Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection

+7 928.56 ₽ +66.7% chance of profit 60%

expensive: StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Minimal Wear) · 35 000.00 ₽ · chance 30%

profit on prices without salesat least −11 725 ₽

2× StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0762
7× StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
1× StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Last Dive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054

How to build

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Death Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

2 056.97 ₽

at 2 056.97

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

883.00 ₽

at 883.00

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

11 170.40 ₽

at 1 396.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14 110.37 ₽ +7 511.87 (+53.2%)

profit on prices without sales at least −17 090 ₽

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Death Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

4 113.94 ₽

at 2 056.97

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Death's Head

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

3 201.71 ₽

at 3 201.71

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

9 774.10 ₽

at 1 396.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17 089.75 ₽ +4 636.44 (+27.1%)

profit on prices without sales at least −18 895 ₽

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Death Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

4 113.94 ₽

at 2 056.97

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Death's Head

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

6 403.42 ₽

at 3 201.71

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

8 377.80 ₽

at 1 396.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18 895.16 ₽ +2 883.01 (+15.3%)

profit on prices without sales at least −20 701 ₽

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Death Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

4 113.94 ₽

at 2 056.97

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Death's Head

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

9 605.13 ₽

at 3 201.71

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

6 981.50 ₽

at 1 396.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 20 700.57 ₽ +1 129.57 (+5.5%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV

Factory New

10 249.21 ₽ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot

Minimal Wear

40 250.00 ₽ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator

Factory New

23 918.19 ₽ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Cobra Strike

Factory New

18 225.11 ₽ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Sugar Rush

Factory New

24 575.38 ₽ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Hellfire

Factory New

33 410.09 ₽ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6 484.61 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7 365.31 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Hydra Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1739202 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 8 072.55₽ · invest 12 487.82₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 374 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Death Grip (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076469 instead of 0.076449; StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New): float at most 0.005661 instead of 0.005643
Craft 1735119 · The Horizon Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 7 606.13₽ · invest 12 416.92₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 417 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Death Grip (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1741394 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 7 491.09₽ · invest 12 386.25₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 122 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Death Grip (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Hydra Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build