The Operation Hydra Collection
+ The Shattered Web Collection
StatTrak™
Classified → Covert
About the craftCraft 1737920 · ways to build: 4StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+212 796.29₸
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».201 565.31₸
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.414 361.61₸
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+105.6%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.100%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 512 330.28₸
· profit at most −97 968.67₸
(at most -19.1%) · chance of profit at most 10%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Cobra Strike (Field-Tested) × 15% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.1637843.60 → 81742.18 ₸
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) × 95% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.63163721.71 → 430588.10 ₸
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
profit on prices without salesIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −169 315 ₸Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −169 315 ₸: StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New), StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New), StatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New)
!
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 1.
They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 5.0% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is +180 545.63 ₸.
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
profit on prices without salesat least −169 315 ₸marketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
продажа ненадёжнаmarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.float out of reachThere are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
продажа ненадёжнаmarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
profit on prices without salesat least −143 905 ₸marketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
1× StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested)buy0.1500–0.1628
1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested)buy0.1500–0.1628
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
5% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Cobra Strike
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1619
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
37 843.60 ₸
at 37 843.60
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.161979f′ (normalized) 0.269965wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 5 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
×9
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1619
(0% of this wear's listings)
163 721.71 ₸
at 18 191.30
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.161979f′ (normalized) 0.047781wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 27 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Set · 10 pcs201 565.31 ₸
+212 796.29
(+105.6%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.035000, 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −259 208 ₸
!
7% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Sugar Rush
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1652
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
36 369.10 ₸
at 36 369.10
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165240f′ (normalized) 0.300437wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 6 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×2
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Cobra Strike
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0046
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
192 251.94 ₸
at 96 125.97
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004638f′ (normalized) 0.007730wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 4 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
×7
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1652
(0% of this wear's listings)
127 339.11 ₸
at 18 191.30
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165240f′ (normalized) 0.054871wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 27 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Set · 10 pcs355 960.14 ₸
+95 960.09
(+27.0%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.035000, 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −213 524 ₸
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Sugar Rush
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1628
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
36 369.10 ₸
at 36 369.10
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162849f′ (normalized) 0.296090wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 6 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Cobra Strike
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0039
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
96 125.97 ₸
at 96 125.97
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003910f′ (normalized) 0.006518wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 4 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
×8
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1628
(0% of this wear's listings)
145 530.41 ₸
at 18 191.30
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162849f′ (normalized) 0.049673wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 27 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Set · 10 pcs278 025.48 ₸
+155 115.47
(+55.8%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.035000, 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −297 951 ₸
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Cobra Strike
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1627
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
37 843.60 ₸
at 37 843.60
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162704f′ (normalized) 0.271174wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 5 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
×3
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Cobra Strike
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0038
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
288 377.90 ₸
at 96 125.97
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003866f′ (normalized) 0.006444wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 4 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
×1
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1627
(0% of this wear's listings)
9 775.41 ₸
at 9 775.41
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162704f′ (normalized) 0.162704wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 13 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
×5
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1627
(0% of this wear's listings)
90 956.51 ₸
at 18 191.30
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162704f′ (normalized) 0.049357wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 27 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Set · 10 pcs426 953.42 ₸
+43 746.15
(+10.2%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.035000, 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
4 outcomes
Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%
in profit
StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach
Factory New
526 077.40 ₸45.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New)net 457458.59you get 0.070000The Shattered Web Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 396 201.74 ₸
(you get 344 523.20)) · buy orders: 1834
sell on Market.CSGO: 387 862.17 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 425 287.52 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 290 502.63 ₸listings: 16
on Lis-Skins: from 332 984.67 ₸listings: 19
in profit
worst
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Stalker
Factory New
383 761.77 ₸45.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New)net 333705.89you get 0.070000The Shattered Web Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 165 191.68 ₸
(you get 143 644.93)) · buy orders: 3324not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 249 113.91 ₸listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 208 651.38 ₸listings: 8
in profit
StatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji
Factory New
599 999.64 ₸5.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New)net 521738.81you get 0.035000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 518 654.30 ₸
(you get 451 003.71)) · buy orders: 1290
sell on Market.CSGO: 411 018.97 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 450 678.70 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 354 205.41 ₸listings: 28
on CS.Money: ~ 421 626.42 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 391 835.19 ₸listings: 31
in profit
best
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast
Factory New
658 175.99 ₸5.00%
sell on CSFloat
SteamStatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New)net 645012.43you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 658 175.99 ₸listings 4 · you get 645 012.43 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 208 288.87 ₸
(you get 181 120.75)) · buy orders: 324not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 658 175.99 ₸listings: 4
on Lis-Skins: from 428 593.07 ₸listings: 11
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+186 267.69 ₸a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+207 814.91 ₸historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Hydra Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
Similar
2 crafts almost like this one
The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 1741897
· The Shadow Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 212 387.59₸
· invest 172 310.71₸
profit on prices without salesat least −172 311 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Cobra Strike (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166331 instead of 0.161979
Craft 1735667
· The Huntsman Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 199 038.15₸
· invest 187 456.37₸
profit on prices without salesat least −158 412 ₸marketplace pricerare inputs
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Cobra Strike (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166331 instead of 0.161979
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
