The Operation Riptide Collection
+ The Revolver Case Collection
Classified → Covert
About the craftCraft 1738219 · ways to build: 5The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+5 431.89₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».6 055.63₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.11 487.52₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+89.7%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.65%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 14 688.58₴
· profit at most −3 201.06₴
(at most -21.8%) · chance of profit at most 15%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
MAC-10 | Toybox (Field-Tested) × 35% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.262597.56 → 5870.48 ₴
G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) × 75% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.553458.08 → 8818.10 ₴
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
profit on prices without salesIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −4 455 ₴Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −4 455 ₴: AK-47 | Leet Museo (Factory New), M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Factory New), Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Factory New)
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
profit on prices without salesat least −4 455 ₴rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
3× MAC-10 | Toybox (Field-Tested)buy0.1500–0.1617
7× G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested)buy0.1500–0.1617
Variant 2The Shadow Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection
sells slowlyrare inputsThe rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
1× G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested)buy0.1500–0.1681
profit on prices without salesat least −8 347 ₴rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
1× G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested)buy0.1500–0.1660
1× AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested)buy0.1500–0.1660
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
5% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×3
MAC-10 | Toybox
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1617
(0% of this wear's listings)
2 597.56 ₴
at 865.85
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.161774f′ (normalized) 0.161774wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 26 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.9 d.
×7
G3SG1 | The Executioner
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1617
(1% of this wear's listings)
3 458.08 ₴
at 494.01
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.161774f′ (normalized) 0.030668wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 84 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 2 793.90 ₴
Set · 10 pcs6 055.63 ₴
+5 431.89
(+89.7%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.056000, 0.028000, 0.045500, 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −3 855 ₴
!
9% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×2
MAC-10 | Toybox
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1716
(0% of this wear's listings)
1 731.71 ₴
at 865.85
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.171655f′ (normalized) 0.171655wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 26 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.9 d.
×8
G3SG1 | The Executioner
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1716
(1% of this wear's listings)
3 952.09 ₴
at 494.01
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.171655f′ (normalized) 0.044585wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 84 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 2 793.90 ₴
Set · 10 pcs5 683.79 ₴
+4 382.46
(+77.1%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.056000, 0.028000, 0.045500, 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −11 178 ₴
!
8% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×3
MAC-10 | Toybox
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1690
(0% of this wear's listings)
2 597.56 ₴
at 865.85
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.169069f′ (normalized) 0.169069wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 26 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.9 d.
×3
SSG 08 | Turbo Peek
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0058
(3% of this wear's listings)
7 518.49 ₴
at 2 506.16
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005803f′ (normalized) 0.009672wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 47 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 6 287.94 ₴ · little data: 2.0 d.
×4
G3SG1 | The Executioner
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1690
(1% of this wear's listings)
1 976.04 ₴
at 494.01
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.169069f′ (normalized) 0.040942wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 84 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 2 793.90 ₴
Set · 10 pcs12 092.09 ₴
+3 659.22
(+30.3%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.045500, 0.070000, 0.056000, 0.028000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −3 242 ₴
!
6% of lots fitcollecting: no data
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164886f′ (normalized) 0.035052wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 84 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 2 793.90 ₴
Set · 10 pcs5 299.75 ₴
+3 345.25
(+63.1%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.056000, 0.028000, 0.045500, 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −17 067 ₴
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×4
MAC-10 | Toybox
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1646
(0% of this wear's listings)
3 463.41 ₴
at 865.85
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164618f′ (normalized) 0.164618wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 26 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.9 d.
×5
SSG 08 | Turbo Peek
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0044
(3% of this wear's listings)
12 530.82 ₴
at 2 506.16
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004449f′ (normalized) 0.007415wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 47 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 6 287.94 ₴ · little data: 2.0 d.
×1
P90 | Shapewood
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0044
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
1 301.87 ₴
at 1 301.87
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004449f′ (normalized) 0.004449wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 18 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs17 296.10 ₴
+2 719.01
(+15.7%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.045500, 0.070000, 0.056000, 0.028000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
4 outcomes
Profitable outcome 65%
Losing outcome 35%
in profit
M4A4 | Royal Paladin
Factory New
11 356.57 ₴35.00%
price without deals
SteamM4A4 | Royal Paladin (Factory New)net 9875.28you get 0.056000The Revolver Case Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 9 421.69 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 10 330.81 · lots 25
on CSFloat: from 8 589.51 ₴listings: 60
on CS.Money: ~ 8 822.91 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 8 713.85 ₴listings: 83
at a loss
worst
R8 Revolver | Fade
Factory New
5 258.00 ₴35.00%
pricier variants exist
SteamR8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New)net 4572.18you get 0.028000The Revolver Case Collectionsells 21 a weekno buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 4 223.65 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 4 631.19 · lots 18
on CSFloat: from 4 298.57 ₴listings: 66
on CS.Money: ~ 4 461.95 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 4 022.08 ₴listings: 86
in profit
best
AK-47 | Leet Museo
Factory New
34 302.98 ₴15.00%
price without deals
SteamAK-47 | Leet Museo (Factory New)net 29828.68you get 0.045500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 28 853.73 ₴
(you get 25 090.20)) · buy orders: 2808
sell on Market.CSGO: 29 985.33 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 32 878.66 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 22 441.71 ₴listings: 31
on CS.Money: ~ 23 356.46 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 23 401.79 ₴listings: 82
in profit
Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive
Factory New
15 000.68 ₴15.00%
price without deals
SteamDesert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Factory New)net 13044.07you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 13 912.52 ₴
(you get 12 097.84)) · buy orders: 1339
sell on Market.CSGO: 10 131.25 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 11 108.83 · lots 12
on CSFloat: from 9 807.68 ₴listings: 44
on CS.Money: ~ 10 323.84 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 9 701.30 ₴listings: 90
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+3 310.27 ₴a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+4 691.19 ₴historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Riptide Collection and The Revolver Case Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
