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The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +24.74$

Invest 61.80$

Average return 86.54$

ROI +40.0%

Chance of profit 95%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 158.93$ · profit at most −72.39$ (at most -45.5%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) × 1 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 7.69 → 16.62 $

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) × 9 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 54.11 → 142.31 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

+24.74 $ +40.0% chance of profit 95%

expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 92.26 $ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768

Variant 2 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection

+25.23 $ +41.7% chance of profit 97%

expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 92.26 $ · chance 45%

sells slowly

9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
1× MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0055

Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection

+23.01 $ +38.5% chance of profit 90%

expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 92.26 $ · chance 45%

sells slowly

9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754
1× P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754

Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection

+21.80 $ +35.6% chance of profit 90%

expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 92.26 $ · chance 45%

sells slowly

9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
1× Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062

Variant 5 only The Spy Tech Collection

+21.74 $ +32.3% chance of profit 100%

expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 92.26 $ · chance 50%

sells slowly

9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
1× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062

Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection

+21.59 $ +33.8% chance of profit 97%

expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 92.26 $ · chance 45%

sells slowly

9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
1× Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056

How to build

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

7.69 $

at 7.69

Steam

×9

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

54.11 $

at 6.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 61.80 $ +24.74 (+40.0%)

13% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 13% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0807

8.41 $

at 4.21

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0094

15.39 $

at 7.69

Steam

×6

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0807

36.07 $

at 6.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 59.87 $ +19.28 (+32.2%)

12% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 12% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0794

12.62 $

at 4.21

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0082

15.39 $

at 7.69

Steam

×5

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0794

30.06 $

at 6.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 58.06 $ +18.63 (+32.1%)

10% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 10% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0782

16.82 $

at 4.21

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

15.39 $

at 7.69

Steam

×4

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0782

24.05 $

at 6.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 56.26 $ +17.97 (+31.9%)

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

21.03 $

at 4.21

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

15.39 $

at 7.69

Steam

×3

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

18.04 $

at 6.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 54.45 $ +17.32 (+31.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 5%

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch

Factory New

106.10 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Spiral Glitch

Factory New

98.62 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Crakow!

Factory New

96.32 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Factory New

51.75 $ 5.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +16.73 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +20.94 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Overpass 2024 Collection and The Spy Tech Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 29 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1726676 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 26.44$ · invest 55.39$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076885
Craft 1741203 · The Revolution Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 26.33$ · invest 55.08$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075527 instead of 0.076885
Craft 1731622 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 26.26$ · invest 56.72$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076370 instead of 0.076885
Craft 1742594 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 26.25$ · invest 56.60$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076609 instead of 0.076885
Craft 1732293 · The Gamma Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 26.19$ · invest 57.82$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Chopper (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076885
Craft 1733620 · The Glove Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 26.13$ · invest 61.00$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Gila (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076885
Craft 1728912 · The Fever Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 26.13$ · invest 55.84$
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076885
Craft 1730763 · The Gallery Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 26.12$ · invest 57.42$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New)
Craft 1723187 · The Clutch Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 26.05$ · invest 55.67$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076609 instead of 0.076885
Craft 1739304 · The Phoenix Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 26.04$ · invest 59.74$
sells slowly rare inputs

USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076193 instead of 0.076885
Craft 1740488 · The Radiant Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 25.96$ · invest 60.67$
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076792 instead of 0.076885
Craft 1742730 · The Spectrum Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 25.89$ · invest 56.84$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.076885
Craft 1742429 · The Snakebite Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 25.82$ · invest 56.02$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076765 instead of 0.076885
Craft 1736547 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 25.79$ · invest 55.52$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076721 instead of 0.076885
Craft 1724626 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 25.48$ · invest 56.28$
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076765 instead of 0.076885
Craft 1715354 · The Boreal Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 25.46$ · invest 57.69$
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076792 instead of 0.076885
Craft 1740846 · The Recoil Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 25.45$ · invest 55.71$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Downtown (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076765 instead of 0.076885
Craft 1718092 · The CS20 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 25.44$ · invest 56.95$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New)
Craft 1742965 · The Spy Tech Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 25.23$ · invest 60.55$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.076885
Craft 1742872 · The Sport & Field Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 25.16$ · invest 58.73$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076804 instead of 0.076885
Craft 1733013 · The Genesis Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 25.02$ · invest 57.96$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Ocular (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076885
Craft 1740152 · The Prisma Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 25.01$ · invest 55.98$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.076885
Craft 1725615 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 24.99$ · invest 58.55$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076885
Craft 1729754 · The Fracture Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 24.98$ · invest 56.11$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.076885
Craft 1741506 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 24.58$ · invest 58.55$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076765 instead of 0.076885
Craft 1739734 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 24.51$ · invest 57.43$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076885
Craft 1722000 · The Chroma Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 24.29$ · invest 59.96$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076885
Craft 1721171 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 24.12$ · invest 57.95$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New)
Craft 1709878 · The Achroma Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 24.07$ · invest 60.15$
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076885

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build