Crafts · The Overpass Collection
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The Overpass Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1738998 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +4 037.04₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 6 879.24₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 10 916.28₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +58.7%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 16 737.31₽ · profit at most −5 821.03₽ (at most -34.8%) · chance of profit at most 45%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Field-Tested) × 4 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 1959.96 → 4635.31 ₽
XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) × 5 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 4762.45 → 11763.25 ₽
PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 156.83 → 338.75 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −5 353 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −5 353 ₽: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Overpass Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection
+4 037.04 ₽ +58.7% chance of profit 45%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 20 866.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −5 353 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1675
  • 5× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
  • 1× PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0761
Variant 2 only The Overpass Collection
+7 431.82 ₽ +78.0% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 20 866.97 ₽ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −9 525 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 10× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0067
Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection
+7 088.31 ₽ +80.6% chance of profit 93%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 20 866.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −8 744 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0055
  • 1× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0055
Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection
+7 042.40 ₽ +78.3% chance of profit 93%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 20 866.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −8 998 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
  • 1× MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0242
Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection
+6 884.85 ₽ +78.0% chance of profit 92%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 20 866.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −8 715 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 9× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0066
  • 1× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0866
Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection
+6 762.32 ₽ +77.4% chance of profit 90%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 20 866.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −8 656 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
  • 1× UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Nitro
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1675
1 959.96 ₽
at 489.99
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.167547f′ (normalized) 0.145334wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 71 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~3, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 1 286.10 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
×5
XM1014 | VariCamo Blue
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0053
4 762.45 ₽
at 952.49
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005340f′ (normalized) 0.010680wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 17 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0761
156.83 ₽
at 156.83
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076103f′ (normalized) 0.065258wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 91 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 6 879.24 ₽ +4 037.04 (+58.7%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.111800, 0.070000, 0.081500, 0.028000, 0.021000, 0.035000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
at a loss
AWP | Pink DDPAT
Minimal Wear
3 637.32 ₽ 45.00%
Steam AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear)net 3162.89 you get 0.111800 sells 9 a week sell now to a buy order: 3 626.06 ₽ (you get 3 153.09)) · buy orders: 759 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 055.20 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 350.00 · lots 28 on CSFloat: from 2 878.97 ₽ listings: 122 on CS.Money: ~ 3 164.21 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 087.98 ₽ listings: 98
in profit
best
USP-S | Road Rash
Factory New
23 997.02 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New)net 20866.97 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 12 847.90 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 14 087.61 · lots 18 on CSFloat: from 11 605.82 ₽ listings: 69 on CS.Money: ~ 12 517.22 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 11 703.47 ₽ listings: 71
at a loss
worst
Dual Berettas | Marina
Minimal Wear
634.78 ₽ 2.50%
Steam Dual Berettas | Marina (Minimal Wear)net 551.98 you get 0.081500The Winter Offensive Collection sells 26 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 579.12 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 635.01 · lots 16 on CSFloat: from 482.26 ₽ listings: 45 on CS.Money: ~ 525.94 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 546.50 ₽ listings: 78
at a loss
FAMAS | Pulse
Factory New
2 398.61 ₽ 2.50%
Steam FAMAS | Pulse (Factory New)net 2085.75 you get 0.028000The Winter Offensive Collection sells ≈22 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 2 333.22 ₽ (you get 2 028.88)) · buy orders: 6289 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 934.16 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 120.80 · lots 27 on CSFloat: from 1 866.49 ₽ listings: 174 on CS.Money: ~ 1 926.45 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 921.31 ₽ listings: 181
at a loss
MP9 | Rose Iron
Factory New
940.73 ₽ 2.50%
Steam MP9 | Rose Iron (Factory New)net 818.03 you get 0.021000The Winter Offensive Collection sells 29 a week sell now to a buy order: 808.98 ₽ (you get 703.46)) · buy orders: 2743 sell on Market.CSGO: 691.57 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 758.31 · lots 27 on CSFloat: from 658.71 ₽ listings: 172 on CS.Money: ~ 681.84 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 657.85 ₽ listings: 195
at a loss
Nova | Rising Skull
Factory New
756.42 ₽ 2.50%
Steam Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New)net 657.76 you get 0.035000The Winter Offensive Collection sells 13 a week sell now to a buy order: 753.52 ₽ (you get 655.23)) · buy orders: 1169 sell on Market.CSGO: 601.19 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 659.21 · lots 20 on CSFloat: from 537.08 ₽ listings: 30 on CS.Money: ~ 605.60 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 598.75 ₽ listings: 53
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