Crafts · The Phoenix Collection
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The Phoenix Collection + The Recoil Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1739089 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 222.79₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 5 909.06₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 7 131.85₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +20.7%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 100%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 14 067.38₽ · profit at most −6 935.53₽ (at most -49.3%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Nova | Antique (Factory New) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 1017.17 → 2197.09 ₽
P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) × 4 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 2025.44 → 4790.17 ₽
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) × 5 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 2866.45 → 7080.13 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Recoil Collection
+1 222.79 ₽ +20.7% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) · 9 950.36 ₽ · chance 5.0%
rare inputs
  • 1× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
  • 4× P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0753
  • 5× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0753
Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+2 758.09 ₽ +45.0% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 10 178.43 ₽ · chance 40%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
  • 8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection
+2 686.86 ₽ +46.2% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 10 178.43 ₽ · chance 40%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× P250 | Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768
Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+2 375.66 ₽ +39.8% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) · 9 950.36 ₽ · chance 5.0%
sells slowly float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 1× AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
  • 8× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection
+2 340.05 ₽ +40.2% chance of profit 100%
expensive: M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) · 8 841.97 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly
  • 1× P250 | Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
  • 1× AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
  • 8× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
Variant 6 only The Recoil Collection
+1 343.14 ₽ +24.0% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) · 7 709.81 ₽ · chance 50%
  • 2× P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 8× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
Nova | Antique
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0047
1 017.17 ₽
at 1 017.17
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004719f′ (normalized) 0.015733wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 60 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 6 296.43 ₽ · little data: 2.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 93 · from 3 300.41 ₽ (float 0.0018) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×4
P250 | Visions
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0753
2 025.44 ₽
at 506.36
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075394f′ (normalized) 0.107706wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 202 · good ≈ 4
on the market with this float, usually ~4, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 1 366.42 ₽ · little data: 3.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 7 of 198 · from 764.93 ₽ (float 0.0726) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×5
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0753
2 866.45 ₽
at 573.29
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075394f′ (normalized) 0.075394wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 253 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 151 · from 2 508.07 ₽ (float 0.0749) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 5 909.06 ₽ +1 222.79 (+20.7%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.082352841 result 0.057647, 0.070000, 0.041176, 0.247529 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 55%
  • Losing outcome 0%
  • About break-even 45%
about break-even
worst
AWP | Chromatic Aberration
Factory New
7 100.73 ₽ 45.00%
Steam AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New)net 6174.55 you get 0.057647The Recoil Collection sells 34 a week sell now to a buy order: 7 133.54 ₽ (you get 6 203.07)) · buy orders: 2825 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 836.79 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 399.99 · lots 40 on CSFloat: from 5 330.50 ₽ listings: 184 on CS.Money: ~ 5 700.55 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 676.56 ₽ listings: 176
in profit
USP-S | Printstream
Factory New
8 866.28 ₽ 45.00%
Steam USP-S | Printstream (Factory New)net 7709.81 you get 0.070000The Recoil Collection sells 33 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 7 742.83 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 489.95 · lots 45 on CSFloat: from 7 423.13 ₽ listings: 245 on CS.Money: ~ 8 402.20 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 993.62 ₽ listings: 196
in profit
AUG | Chameleon
Factory New
8 886.60 ₽ 5.00%
Steam AUG | Chameleon (Factory New)net 7727.48 you get 0.041176 sells 53 a week sell now to a buy order: 8 821.30 ₽ (you get 7 670.69)) · buy orders: 4230 sell on Market.CSGO: 7 582.36 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 314.00 · lots 18 on CSFloat: from 7 670.68 ₽ listings: 96 on CS.Money: ~ 7 594.45 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 380.30 ₽ listings: 69
in profit
best
AWP | Asiimov
Field-Tested
11 442.91 ₽ 5.00%
Steam AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested)net 9950.36 you get 0.247529 sells 88 a week sell now to a buy order: 11 151.66 ₽ (you get 9 697.09)) · buy orders: 6658 sell on Market.CSGO: 8 572.80 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 9 400.00 · lots 97 on CSFloat: from 8 291.71 ₽ listings: 783 on CS.Money: ~ 9 238.23 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 9 016.37 ₽ listings: 735
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