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The Phoenix Collection + The Revolution Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +2 375.66₽

Invest 5 973.29₽

Average return 8 348.95₽

ROI +39.8%

Chance of profit 100%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 14 803.42₽ · profit at most −6 454.47₽ (at most -43.6%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

Nova | Antique (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 1017.17 → 2197.09 ₽

AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 534.92 → 1155.43 ₽

P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) × 8 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 4421.20 → 11450.91 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Revolution Collection

+2 375.66 ₽ +39.8% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) · 9 950.36 ₽ · chance 5.0%

sells slowly

1× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
1× AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
8× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743

Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

+2 758.09 ₽ +45.0% chance of profit 100%

expensive: USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 10 178.43 ₽ · chance 40%

sells slowly

2× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752

Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

+2 677.81 ₽ +43.9% chance of profit 100%

expensive: USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 10 178.43 ₽ · chance 40%

sells slowly

2× AWP | Duality (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0061
8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770

Variant 4 only The Revolution Collection

+2 317.79 ₽ +38.8% chance of profit 100%

expensive: M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) · 8 841.97 ₽ · chance 50%

sells slowly

9× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0769
1× AWP | Duality (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060

Variant 5 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

+2 144.32 ₽ +32.7% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) · 14 528.03 ₽ · chance 5.0%

sells slowly

1× AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748
8× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748
1× CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042

Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

+1 801.36 ₽ +27.4% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) · 9 586.35 ₽ · chance 5.0%

sells slowly

8× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
1× AWP | Duality (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
1× P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

1 017.17 ₽

at 1 017.17

Steam

×1

AWP | Duality

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

534.92 ₽

at 534.92

Steam

×8

P2000 | Wicked Sick

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

4 421.20 ₽

at 552.65

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 973.29 ₽ +2 375.66 (+39.8%)

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

3 051.51 ₽

at 1 017.17

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1712

336.91 ₽

at 336.91

Steam

×6

P2000 | Wicked Sick

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

3 315.90 ₽

at 552.65

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 704.32 ₽ +1 753.51 (+26.1%)

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

1 829.42 ₽

at 914.71

Steam

×6

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

6 103.02 ₽

at 1 017.17

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

673.82 ₽

at 336.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 606.26 ₽ +123.78 (+1.4%)

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

6 103.02 ₽

at 1 017.17

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1670

1 010.73 ₽

at 336.91

Steam

×1

AWP | Duality

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

534.92 ₽

at 534.92

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 648.67 ₽ +972.49 (+12.7%)

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

4 068.68 ₽

at 1 017.17

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

673.82 ₽

at 336.91

Steam

×4

P2000 | Wicked Sick

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

2 210.60 ₽

at 552.65

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 953.10 ₽ +1 559.17 (+22.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

8 909.11 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Temukau

Factory New

10 168.27 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

worst

AUG | Chameleon

Factory New

8 886.60 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Asiimov

Field-Tested

11 442.91 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 559.93 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2 129.35 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1736314 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 2 558.35₽ · invest 5 676.49₽
sells slowly float out of reach

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074973 instead of 0.074314; P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074973 instead of 0.074314
Craft 1729562 · The Fracture Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 2 460.60₽ · invest 5 565.92₽
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074314; P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074314
Craft 1717904 · The CS20 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 2 391.02₽ · invest 6 027.95₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074867 instead of 0.074314; P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074867 instead of 0.074314
Craft 1740616 · The Recoil Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 2 340.05₽ · invest 5 819.23₽
sells slowly

P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074999 instead of 0.074314; P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074999 instead of 0.074314

Market check at night · fresher — with «Check floats on Steam»

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Revolution Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build