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The Prisma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +1 877.70₴

Invest 1 092.23₴

Average return 2 969.93₴

ROI +171.9%

Chance of profit 30%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 2 860.73₴ · profit at most +109.21₴ (at most +3.8%) · chance of profit at most 30%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) × 1 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 25.20 → 54.44 ₴

XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) × 9 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 1067.03 → 2806.29 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −815 ₴

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Prisma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

+1 877.70 ₴ +171.9% chance of profit 30%

expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 8 976.64 ₴ · chance 30%

profit on prices without salesat least −815 ₴

1× R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0077
9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0077

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

+255.45 ₴ +62.2% chance of profit 90%

expensive: AWP | Black Box (Factory New) · 1 115.31 ₴ · chance 30%

rare inputs

1× R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
9× R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766

Variant 3 only The Train 2025 Collection

+2 094.27 ₴ +176.6% chance of profit 33%

expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 8 976.64 ₴ · chance 33%

profit on prices without salesat least −898 ₴

10× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0079

Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Prisma 2 Collection

+2 070.21 ₴ +160.5% chance of profit 40%

expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 8 976.64 ₴ · chance 30%

profit on prices without salesat least −1 031 ₴

9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0064
1× MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0245

Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Prisma 2 Collection

+1 987.66 ₴ +165.4% chance of profit 34%

expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 8 976.64 ₴ · chance 30%

profit on prices without salesat least −883 ₴

9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0073
1× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0873

Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Prisma 2 Collection

+1 923.45 ₴ +166.4% chance of profit 32%

expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 8 976.64 ₴ · chance 30%

profit on prices without salesat least −852 ₴

9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
1× UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0751

How to build

11% of lots fit ≈ enough for 4 contracts · medium (estimate)

Price understated: only 11% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

25.20 ₴

at 25.20

Steam

×9

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

1 067.03 ₴

at 118.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 092.23 ₴ +1 877.70 (+171.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

380.10 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

612.27 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Factory New

10 323.14 ₴ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Acid Etched

Factory New

386.24 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto

Factory New

148.81 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SCAR-20 | Enforcer

Factory New

127.62 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Darkwing

Factory New

205.14 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Fever Dream

Factory New

170.86 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 501.45 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 636.71 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Prisma 2 Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 45 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1743057 · The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 2 070.21₴ · invest 1 289.83₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 031 ₴ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006439 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1731631 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 2 013.48₴ · invest 1 104.56₴
profit on prices without salesat least −802 ₴

XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1743072 · The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 1 987.66₴ · invest 1 201.61₴
profit on prices without salesat least −883 ₴ rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007369 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1710816 · The Ancient Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 925.67₴ · invest 1 264.74₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 006 ₴ rare inputs

Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006439 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1743024 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 1 923.45₴ · invest 1 155.88₴
profit on prices without salesat least −852 ₴ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.004494 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1707330 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 920.77₴ · invest 1 271.45₴
profit on prices without salesat least −961 ₴ rare inputs

M249 | Humidor (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1704818 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 911.13₴ · invest 1 099.52₴
profit on prices without salesat least −782 ₴ pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.004332 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1739314 · The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 899.33₴ · invest 1 094.90₴
profit on prices without salesat least −810 ₴ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.005684 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1741848 · The Safehouse Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 897.98₴ · invest 1 101.88₴
profit on prices without salesat least −795 ₴

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007308 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1727995 · The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 892.09₴ · invest 1 104.71₴
profit on prices without salesat least −801 ₴ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007889 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1722009 · The Chroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 891.08₴ · invest 1 112.32₴
profit on prices without salesat least −839 ₴ rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1735239 · The Horizon Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 890.88₴ · invest 1 111.71₴
profit on prices without salesat least −802 ₴ rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1742436 · The Snakebite Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 889.72₴ · invest 1 090.84₴
profit on prices without salesat least −803 ₴

Nova | Windblown (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1742250 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 889.34₴ · invest 1 168.65₴
profit on prices without salesat least −842 ₴ rare inputs

M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.005232 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1738757 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 888.13₴ · invest 1 098.58₴
profit on prices without salesat least −805 ₴

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1720079 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 886.74₴ · invest 1 082.52₴
profit on prices without salesat least −806 ₴

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.005541 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1740504 · The Radiant Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 886.20₴ · invest 1 102.29₴
profit on prices without salesat least −807 ₴

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1721182 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 886.13₴ · invest 1 093.87₴
profit on prices without salesat least −816 ₴ rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1732302 · The Gamma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 885.95₴ · invest 1 089.23₴
profit on prices without salesat least −813 ₴ rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.005870 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1741516 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 884.56₴ · invest 1 098.52₴
profit on prices without salesat least −817 ₴ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1724638 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 882.95₴ · invest 1 081.53₴
profit on prices without salesat least −812 ₴

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.005968 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1705608 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 882.31₴ · invest 1 157.42₴
profit on prices without salesat least −811 ₴ rare inputs

P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1715372 · The Boreal Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 882.19₴ · invest 1 086.48₴
profit on prices without salesat least −811 ₴

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New)
Craft 1714059 · The Ascent Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 881.96₴ · invest 1 112.20₴
profit on prices without salesat least −811 ₴

Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New)
Craft 1734545 · The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 880.73₴ · invest 1 108.01₴
profit on prices without salesat least −812 ₴

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007839 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1736556 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 880.61₴ · invest 1 081.92₴
profit on prices without salesat least −812 ₴

Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007887 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1729765 · The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 880.39₴ · invest 1 083.02₴
profit on prices without salesat least −813 ₴

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007889 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1742884 · The Sport & Field Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 880.19₴ · invest 1 111.94₴
profit on prices without salesat least −839 ₴ pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007889 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1726683 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 879.50₴ · invest 1 080.96₴
profit on prices without salesat least −813 ₴

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007703 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1718101 · The CS20 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 878.39₴ · invest 1 097.72₴
profit on prices without salesat least −821 ₴ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007783 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1723198 · The Clutch Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 877.47₴ · invest 1 084.16₴
profit on prices without salesat least −816 ₴

SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007668 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1742016 · The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 877.31₴ · invest 1 116.58₴
profit on prices without salesat least −816 ₴ rare inputs

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1742604 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 876.99₴ · invest 1 086.77₴
profit on prices without salesat least −816 ₴ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1730773 · The Gallery Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 876.72₴ · invest 1 103.61₴
profit on prices without salesat least −819 ₴ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007892 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1743048 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 1 875.96₴ · invest 1 149.21₴
profit on prices without salesat least −844 ₴ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.003780 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1709891 · The Achroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 875.91₴ · invest 1 105.28₴
profit on prices without salesat least −817 ₴

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007825 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1740163 · The Prisma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 875.79₴ · invest 1 122.78₴
profit on prices without salesat least −821 ₴ rare inputs

P90 | Off World (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007945 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1740857 · The Recoil Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 875.30₴ · invest 1 085.56₴
profit on prices without salesat least −818 ₴

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007889 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1742740 · The Spectrum Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 875.01₴ · invest 1 093.97₴
profit on prices without salesat least −818 ₴ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006436 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1741211 · The Revolution Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 874.75₴ · invest 1 085.11₴
profit on prices without salesat least −818 ₴

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007976 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1717028 · The Breakout Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 874.59₴ · invest 1 095.34₴
profit on prices without salesat least −818 ₴ rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1725623 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 867.99₴ · invest 1 104.97₴
profit on prices without salesat least −825 ₴

UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.008148 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1733020 · The Genesis Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 867.71₴ · invest 1 105.19₴
profit on prices without salesat least −825 ₴

MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.008148 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1736807 · The Lake Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 867.03₴ · invest 1 088.05₴
profit on prices without salesat least −826 ₴

SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.004332 instead of 0.007752
Craft 1743038 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 1 864.83₴ · invest 1 168.65₴
profit on prices without salesat least −864 ₴ rare inputs

MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007752

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Prisma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build