StatTrak™
Classified → Covert
About the craftCraft 1740137 · ways to build: 5StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+76 081.78₸
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».44 612.78₸
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.120 694.56₸
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+170.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.55%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 106 861.16₸
· profit at most +13 833.41₸
(at most +12.9%) · chance of profit at most 50%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested) × 26% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.217388.65 → 16328.92 ₸
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) × 76% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.5525969.57 → 66222.41 ₸
StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Field-Tested) × 16% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.1611254.56 → 24309.84 ₸
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
profit on prices without salesIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −44 613 ₸Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −44 613 ₸: StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor (Factory New), StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New), StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New), StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
продажа ненадёжнаmarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.float out of reachThere are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×2
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1644
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
7 388.65 ₸
at 3 694.33
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164419f′ (normalized) 0.120441wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 38 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×7
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1644
(3% of this wear's listings)
25 969.57 ₸
at 3 709.94
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164419f′ (normalized) 0.047881wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 34 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 22 631.05 ₸
×1
StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1644
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
11 254.56 ₸
at 11 254.56
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164419f′ (normalized) 0.298944wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 60 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs44 612.78 ₸
+76 081.78
(+170.5%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.087499900result 0.061250, 0.070000, 0.039375, 0.061250«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −104 370 ₸
!
8% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×3
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1689
(3% of this wear's listings)
11 129.82 ₸
at 3 709.94
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.168938f′ (normalized) 0.056741wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 34 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 22 631.05 ₸
×5
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0765
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
61 025.25 ₸
at 12 205.05
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076587f′ (normalized) 0.136762wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 13 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×2
StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0057
(0% of this wear's listings)
32 215.22 ₸
at 16 107.61
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005763f′ (normalized) 0.010479wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 43 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Set · 10 pcs104 370.28 ₸
+23 576.70
(+22.6%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.087499900result 0.039375, 0.061250, 0.061250, 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −91 973 ₸
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×4
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1649
(3% of this wear's listings)
14 839.76 ₸
at 3 709.94
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164916f′ (normalized) 0.048855wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 34 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 22 631.05 ₸
×5
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0751
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
61 025.25 ₸
at 12 205.05
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075188f′ (normalized) 0.134264wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 13 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0045
(0% of this wear's listings)
16 107.61 ₸
at 16 107.61
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004539f′ (normalized) 0.008254wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 43 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Set · 10 pcs91 972.61 ₸
+34 765.64
(+37.8%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.087499900result 0.039375, 0.061250, 0.061250, 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −125 263 ₸
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1643
(3% of this wear's listings)
3 709.94 ₸
at 3 709.94
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164343f′ (normalized) 0.047732wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 34 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 22 631.05 ₸
×6
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0749
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
73 230.30 ₸
at 12 205.05
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074989f′ (normalized) 0.133909wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 13 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×3
StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0043
(0% of this wear's listings)
48 322.83 ₸
at 16 107.61
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004365f′ (normalized) 0.007937wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 43 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Set · 10 pcs125 263.06 ₸
+5 101.42
(+4.1%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.087499900result 0.039375, 0.061250, 0.061250, 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −53 124 ₸
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1636
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
3 694.33 ₸
at 3 694.33
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163634f′ (normalized) 0.119615wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 38 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×7
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1636
(3% of this wear's listings)
25 969.57 ₸
at 3 709.94
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163634f′ (normalized) 0.046342wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 34 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 22 631.05 ₸
×1
StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1636
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
11 254.56 ₸
at 11 254.56
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163634f′ (normalized) 0.297517wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 60 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0747
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
12 205.05 ₸
at 12 205.05
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074742f′ (normalized) 0.133468wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 13 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs53 123.50 ₸
+68 779.79
(+129.5%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.087499900result 0.061250, 0.070000, 0.039375, 0.061250«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
4 outcomes
Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob
Factory New
47 469.27 ₸45.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New)net 41277.64you get 0.061250
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 42 456.67 ₸
(you get 36 918.79)) · buy orders: 655
sell on Market.CSGO: 36 546.58 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 40 073.03 · lots 17
on CSFloat: from 33 410.07 ₸listings: 20
on CS.Money: ~ 34 503.40 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 34 390.47 ₸listings: 53
in profit
best
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor
Factory New
227 348.12 ₸45.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor (Factory New)net 197694.03you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 206 336.98 ₸
(you get 179 423.46)) · buy orders: 562
sell on Market.CSGO: 161 763.76 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 177 372.57 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 144 514.88 ₸listings: 34
on CS.Money: ~ 155 362.41 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 154 124.52 ₸listings: 35
sell now to a buy order: 196 804.67 ₸
(you get 171 134.47)) · buy orders: 909
sell on Market.CSGO: 164 367.56 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 180 227.59 · lots 15
on CSFloat: from 152 037.24 ₸listings: 114
on CS.Money: ~ 169 191.81 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 160 829.14 ₸listings: 82
no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 71 505.26 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 78 404.93 · lots 19
on CSFloat: from 66 088.22 ₸listings: 39
on CS.Money: ~ 71 816.93 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 70 845.60 ₸listings: 50
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+67 935.31 ₸a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+72 835.25 ₸historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Prisma Collection and The Spectrum Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
Similar
11 crafts almost like this one
The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 1727700
· The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 82 445.03₸
· invest 38 219.98₸
profit on prices without salesat least −38 220 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162014 instead of 0.164419; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162014 instead of 0.164419
Craft 1719760
· The Chroma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 82 315.57₸
· invest 39 898.44₸
profit on prices without salesat least −39 898 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162014 instead of 0.164419; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162014 instead of 0.164419
Craft 1739475
· The Prisma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 80 562.03₸
· invest 37 120.17₸
profit on prices without salesat least −37 120 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162014 instead of 0.164419; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162014 instead of 0.164419
Craft 1740106
· The Prisma Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 80 161.03₸
· invest 39 160.03₸
profit on prices without salesat least −36 413 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162014 instead of 0.164419; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162014 instead of 0.164419
Craft 1720904
· The Chroma 3 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 79 823.08₸
· invest 39 593.37₸
profit on prices without salesat least −39 593 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162434 instead of 0.164419; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162434 instead of 0.164419
Craft 1717843
· The CS20 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 79 774.38₸
· invest 37 047.38₸
profit on prices without salesat least −35 621 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164707 instead of 0.164419; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164707 instead of 0.164419
Craft 1716818
· The Breakout Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 79 678.46₸
· invest 43 020.45₸
profit on prices without salesat least −43 020 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165631 instead of 0.164419; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165631 instead of 0.164419
Craft 1739939
· The Prisma Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 79 468.50₸
· invest 35 141.02₸
profit on prices without salesat least −32 391 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162014 instead of 0.164419; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162014 instead of 0.164419
Craft 1729493
· The Fracture Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 77 143.45₸
· invest 36 032.86₸
profit on prices without salesat least −34 500 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162743 instead of 0.164419; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162743 instead of 0.164419
Craft 1726359
· The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 77 051.67₸
· invest 36 366.73₸
profit on prices without salesat least −36 367 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162014 instead of 0.164419; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162014 instead of 0.164419
Craft 1717844
· The CS20 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 75 739.29₸
· invest 37 047.38₸
profit on prices without salesat least −31 798 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165016 instead of 0.164419; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165016 instead of 0.164419
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
