The Prisma Collection
+ The eSports 2013 Collection
StatTrak™
Restricted → Classified
About the craftCraft 1740266 · ways to build: 5StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+26 764.91₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».45 766.58₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.72 531.49₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+58.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.45%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 120 237.45₽
· profit at most −47 705.96₽
(at most -39.7%) · chance of profit at most 45%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) × 18% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.16273.74 → 591.28 ₽
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) × 98% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.6345492.84 → 119646.17 ₽
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
profit on prices without salesIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −45 713 ₽Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −45 713 ₽: StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New), StatTrak™ AK-47 | Red Laminate (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Factory New)
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
profit on prices without salesat least −12 216 ₽marketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
profit on prices without salesat least −9 501 ₽marketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
profit on prices without salesat least −12 958 ₽marketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
8% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0054
(2% of this wear's listings)
273.74 ₽
at 273.74
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005421f′ (normalized) 0.013552wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 82 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 1 601.42 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
×9
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0761
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
45 492.84 ₽
at 5 054.76
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076195f′ (normalized) 0.021885wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 3 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs45 766.58 ₽
+26 764.91
(+58.5%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.021052532result 0.075579, 0.064632, 0.070000, 0.261579, 0.150737«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −31 209 ₽
!
10% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 10% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×4
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(3% of this wear's listings)
1 094.96 ₽
at 273.74
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006718f′ (normalized) 0.016796wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 82 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 1 601.42 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
×6
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0776
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
30 328.56 ₽
at 5 054.76
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077678f′ (normalized) 0.023889wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 3 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs31 423.52 ₽
+17 688.64
(+56.3%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.021052532result 0.075579, 0.064632, 0.070000, 0.261579, 0.150737«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −36 044 ₽
!
9% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×3
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0063
(2% of this wear's listings)
821.22 ₽
at 273.74
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006331f′ (normalized) 0.015828wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 82 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 1 601.42 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
×7
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0772
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
35 383.32 ₽
at 5 054.76
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077235f′ (normalized) 0.023291wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 3 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs36 204.54 ₽
+20 714.07
(+57.2%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.021052532result 0.075579, 0.064632, 0.070000, 0.261579, 0.150737«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −40 879 ₽
!
8% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×2
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0059
(2% of this wear's listings)
547.48 ₽
at 273.74
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005901f′ (normalized) 0.014753wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 82 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 1 601.42 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
×8
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0767
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
40 438.08 ₽
at 5 054.76
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076744f′ (normalized) 0.022627wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 3 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs40 985.56 ₽
+23 739.49
(+57.9%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.021052532result 0.075579, 0.064632, 0.070000, 0.261579, 0.150737«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −16 597 ₽
!
7% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Gauss
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0754
(0% of this wear's listings)
165.14 ₽
at 165.14
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075499f′ (normalized) 0.075499wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 39 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
×6
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0048
(1% of this wear's listings)
1 642.44 ₽
at 273.74
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004812f′ (normalized) 0.012031wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 82 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 2 883.45 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
×3
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0754
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
15 164.28 ₽
at 5 054.76
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075499f′ (normalized) 0.020945wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 3 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs16 971.86 ₽
+8 720.98
(+51.4%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.021052532result 0.070000, 0.261579, 0.150737, 0.075579, 0.064632«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
5 outcomes
Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%
at a loss
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Red Laminate
Minimal Wear
24 628.53 ₽45.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ AK-47 | Red Laminate (Minimal Wear)net 21416.11you get 0.075579The eSports 2013 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 19 371.19 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 21 240.34 · lots 11
on CSFloat: from 17 988.21 ₽listings: 38
on Lis-Skins: from 19 627.70 ₽listings: 35
no buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 66 622.32 ₽listings: 12
on Lis-Skins: from 70 631.12 ₽listings: 10
at a loss
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum
Factory New
5 997.54 ₽3.33%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Factory New)net 5215.25you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 3 987.52 ₽
(you get 3 467.40)) · buy orders: 1188
sell on Market.CSGO: 4 675.05 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 5 126.16 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 4 560.44 ₽listings: 12
on CS.Money: ~ 4 831.12 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 4 916.78 ₽listings: 14
at a loss
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher
Field-Tested
1 156.48 ₽3.33%
SteamStatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested)net 1005.63you get 0.261579sells 22 a weeksell now to a buy order: 1 151.31 ₽
(you get 1 001.13)) · buy orders: 2589
sell on Market.CSGO: 985.26 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 1 080.33 · lots 22
on CSFloat: from 884.85 ₽listings: 65
on CS.Money: ~ 891.70 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 861.72 ₽listings: 49
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator
Field-Tested
689.60 ₽3.33%
SteamStatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested)net 599.65you get 0.150737sells 58 a weeksell now to a buy order: 643.55 ₽
(you get 559.60)) · buy orders: 10318
sell on Market.CSGO: 491.27 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 538.68 · lots 30
on CSFloat: from 471.12 ₽listings: 103
on CS.Money: ~ 481.40 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 497.67 ₽listings: 126
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+24 205.77 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+26 136.82 ₽historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Prisma Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
Similar
3 crafts almost like this one
The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 1716188
· The Bravo Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 28 583.06₽
· invest 49 805.03₽
profit on prices without salesat least −49 805 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Graven (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076086 instead of 0.076195
Craft 1742327
· The Shattered Web Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 27 572.02₽
· invest 46 889.14₽
profit on prices without salesat least −46 889 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077140 instead of 0.076195
Craft 1740265
· The Prisma Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 26 958.48₽
· invest 45 766.58₽
profit on prices without salesat least −45 733 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New): float at most 0.004540 instead of 0.005421; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075188 instead of 0.076195
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
