Crafts · The Radiant Collection
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The Radiant Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1740479 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +503.72₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 803.23₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 1 306.95₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +62.7%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 93%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 2 080.86₽ · profit at most −773.91₽ (at most -37.2%) · chance of profit at most 30%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 67.30 → 145.37 ₽
R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear) × 9 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 735.93 → 1935.50 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Radiant Collection + The Spy Tech Collection
+503.72 ₽ +62.7% chance of profit 93%
expensive: AWP | Black Box (Factory New) · 2 128.47 ₽ · chance 30%
  • 1× M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
  • 9× R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection
+502.49 ₽ +69.1% chance of profit 60%
expensive: AK-47 | Rat Rod (Factory New) · 5 234.48 ₽ · chance 8.0%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
  • 4× SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Radiant Collection
+462.94 ₽ +49.8% chance of profit 66%
expensive: Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Factory New) · 3 315.59 ₽ · chance 2.0%
rare inputs
  • 9× R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
  • 1× MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection
+3 599.65 ₽ +171.1% chance of profit 30%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 540 ₽
  • 1× M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection
+3 526.08 ₽ +157.1% chance of profit 30%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 613 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× AUG | Signal Scanner (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0081
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0081
Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection
+2 688.12 ₽ +70.4% chance of profit 80%
expensive: Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) · 9 803.48 ₽ · chance 27%
profit on prices without salesat least −3 544 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× AUG | Signal Scanner (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
  • 8× MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0225

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
M4A1-S | Rose Hex
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0056
67.30 ₽
at 67.30
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005697f′ (normalized) 0.011395wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 877 · good ≈ 17
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · among lots up to 172.50 ₽ · little data: 2.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 5 of 368 · from 263.83 ₽ (float 0.0034) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×9
R8 Revolver | Monarch
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0765
735.93 ₽
at 81.77
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076511f′ (normalized) 0.076511wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 152 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 172) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 803.23 ₽ +503.72 (+62.7%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.052500, 0.046900, 0.042000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 93%
  • Losing outcome 7%
in profit
best
AWP | Black Box
Factory New
2 447.74 ₽ 30.00%
Steam AWP | Black Box (Factory New)net 2128.47 you get 0.070000The Spy Tech Collection sells 34 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 354.26 ₽ (you get 2 047.18)) · buy orders: 1974 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 088.47 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 289.99 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 1 916.17 ₽ listings: 49 on CS.Money: ~ 2 230.54 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 023.24 ₽ listings: 83
in profit
CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics
Factory New
1 005.35 ₽ 30.00%
Steam CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Factory New)net 874.22 you get 0.070000The Spy Tech Collection sells ≈35 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 998.31 ₽ (you get 868.09)) · buy orders: 1458 sell on Market.CSGO: 835.55 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 916.18 · lots 13 on CSFloat: from 810.33 ₽ listings: 61 on CS.Money: ~ 809.47 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 795.76 ₽ listings: 62
in profit
Nova | Smart Gun
Factory New
1 289.00 ₽ 30.00%
Steam Nova | Smart Gun (Factory New)net 1120.87 you get 0.070000The Spy Tech Collection sells 30 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 864.59 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 948.02 · lots 7 on CSFloat: from 856.58 ₽ listings: 39 on CS.Money: ~ 916.54 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 847.16 ₽ listings: 62
in profit
Desert Eagle | Mulberry
Factory New
1 324.31 ₽ 3.33%
Steam Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Factory New)net 1151.57 you get 0.052500 sells 264 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 272.75 ₽ (you get 1 106.73)) · buy orders: 9624 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 006.21 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 103.31 · lots 34 on CSFloat: from 1 033.04 ₽ listings: 322 on CS.Money: ~ 1 190.65 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 051.03 ₽ listings: 283
at a loss
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint
Factory New
562.28 ₽ 3.33%
Steam M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New)net 488.94 you get 0.046900 sells 330 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 457.39 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 501.53 · lots 65 on CSFloat: from 436.86 ₽ listings: 323 on CS.Money: ~ 465.12 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 460.84 ₽ listings: 686
at a loss
worst
USP-S | Bleeding Edge
Factory New
524.35 ₽ 3.33%
Steam USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Factory New)net 455.96 you get 0.042000 sells 412 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 405.82 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 444.98 · lots 22 on CSFloat: from 401.74 ₽ listings: 267 on CS.Money: ~ 471.98 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 427.43 ₽ listings: 350
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