Crafts · The Radiant Collection
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The Radiant Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1740504 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +3 599.65₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 2 103.64₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 5 703.29₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +171.1%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 30%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 5 500.94₽ · profit at most +202.35₽ (at most +3.7%) · chance of profit at most 30%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) × 1 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 67.30 → 145.37 ₽
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) × 9 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 2036.34 → 5355.57 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −1 540 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −1 540 ₽: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Radiant Collection + The Train 2025 Collection
+3 599.65 ₽ +171.1% chance of profit 30%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 540 ₽
  • 1× M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+503.72 ₽ +62.7% chance of profit 93%
expensive: AWP | Black Box (Factory New) · 2 128.47 ₽ · chance 30%
  • 1× M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
  • 9× R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+502.49 ₽ +69.1% chance of profit 60%
expensive: AK-47 | Rat Rod (Factory New) · 5 234.48 ₽ · chance 8.0%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
  • 4× SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
Variant 4 only The Train 2025 Collection
+3 996.74 ₽ +176.6% chance of profit 33%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 33%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 714 ₽
  • 10× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0079
Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection
+3 950.83 ₽ +160.5% chance of profit 40%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 967 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0064
  • 1× MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0245
Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Radiant Collection
+3 793.28 ₽ +165.4% chance of profit 34%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 685 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0073
  • 1× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0873

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

11% of lots fit ≈ enough for 4 contracts · medium (estimate)

Price understated: only 11% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
M4A1-S | Rose Hex
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0075
67.30 ₽
at 67.30
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007568f′ (normalized) 0.015137wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 877 · good ≈ 21
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · among lots up to 172.50 ₽ · little data: 2.0 d.
×9
XM1014 | Run Run Run
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0075
2 036.34 ₽
at 226.26
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007568f′ (normalized) 0.010138wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 505 · good ≈ 39
on the market with this float, usually ~19, new ~1.65 per day, cheapest usually 1 498.16 ₽ · among lots up to 3 300.00 ₽
Set · 10 pcs 2 103.64 ₽ +3 599.65 (+171.1%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.010638198 result 0.007447, 0.010638, 0.070000, 0.007979, 0.007128, 0.006383 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 30%
  • Losing outcome 70%
at a loss
MAC-10 | Derailment
Factory New
725.39 ₽ 30.00%
Steam MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New)net 630.77 you get 0.007447The Train 2025 Collection sells 74 a week sell now to a buy order: 687.54 ₽ (you get 597.86)) · buy orders: 1828
at a loss
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
Factory New
1 168.47 ₽ 30.00%
Steam Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Factory New)net 1016.06 you get 0.010638The Train 2025 Collection sells 23 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 046.13 ₽ (you get 909.67)) · buy orders: 1772
in profit
best
Tec-9 | Whiteout
Factory New
19 700.88 ₽ 30.00%
price without deals
Steam Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New)net 17131.20 you get 0.070000The Train 2025 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
Desert Eagle | Mulberry
Factory New
1 324.31 ₽ 3.33%
Steam Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Factory New)net 1151.57 you get 0.007979 sells 264 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 272.75 ₽ (you get 1 106.73)) · buy orders: 9624
at a loss
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint
Factory New
562.28 ₽ 3.33%
Steam M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New)net 488.94 you get 0.007128 sells 330 a week no buy orders
at a loss
worst
USP-S | Bleeding Edge
Factory New
524.35 ₽ 3.33%
Steam USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Factory New)net 455.96 you get 0.006383 sells 412 a week no buy orders
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