Crafts · The Recoil Collection
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The Recoil Collection + The Revolution Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1740609 · ways to build: 5 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +683.20₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 1 360.79₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 2 043.99₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +50.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 70%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 3 250.27₽ · profit at most −1 206.28₽ (at most -37.1%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear) × 5 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 511.75 → 1264.02 ₽
StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New) × 4 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 743.04 → 1757.29 ₽
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 106.00 → 228.96 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −24 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −24 ₽: StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Factory New), StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Revolution Collection
+683.20 ₽ +50.2% chance of profit 70%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New) · 2 984.23 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −24 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
  • 4× StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
  • 1× StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
Variant 2 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Revolution Collection
+513.25 ₽ +28.7% chance of profit 33%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) · 7 939.24 ₽ · chance 13%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 2 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0746
  • 4× StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
  • 4× StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1634
Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Revolution Collection
+53 815.97 ₽ +95.6% chance of profit 90%
expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) · 139 259.75 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −8 923 ₽ marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 6× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
  • 3× StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605
Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+50 260.66 ₽ +84.1% chance of profit 90%
expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) · 139 259.75 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −12 461 ₽ marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) buy 0.2100–0.2198
  • 5× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0746
  • 4× StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605
Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Revolution Collection
+7 896.43 ₽ +67.3% chance of profit 60%
expensive: StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Minimal Wear) · 35 000.00 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −11 589 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0055
  • 2× StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
  • 7× StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0055
Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+7 874.59 ₽ +67.3% chance of profit 60%
expensive: StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Minimal Wear) · 35 000.00 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −11 594 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) buy 0.2100–0.2214
  • 2× StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0753
  • 7× StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5
StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0765
511.75 ₽
at 102.35
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076502f′ (normalized) 0.117696wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 155 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 168.20 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
×4
StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0056
743.04 ₽
at 185.76
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005689f′ (normalized) 0.008753wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 75 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~3, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 2 507.64 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
×1
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0765
106.00 ₽
at 106.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076502f′ (normalized) 0.076502wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 243 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 342.20 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 1 360.79 ₽ +683.20 (+50.2%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.053900, 0.049000, 0.070000, 0.056000, 0.070000, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 70%
  • Losing outcome 30%
in profit
best
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled
Factory New
3 431.86 ₽ 30.00%
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New)net 2984.23 you get 0.053900 sells 45 a week sell now to a buy order: 3 315.28 ₽ (you get 2 882.85)) · buy orders: 3592 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 813.83 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 085.34 · lots 18 on CSFloat: from 2 478.09 ₽ listings: 173 on CS.Money: ~ 2 813.87 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 723.07 ₽ listings: 113
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ P250 | Visions
Factory New
1 280.69 ₽ 30.00%
Steam StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New)net 1113.64 you get 0.049000 sells 21 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 280.40 ₽ (you get 1 113.39)) · buy orders: 4380 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 191.07 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 306.00 · lots 12 on CSFloat: from 1 003.06 ₽ listings: 109 on CS.Money: ~ 1 070.73 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 100.71 ₽ listings: 84
in profit
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
Factory New
2 500.00 ₽ 30.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Factory New)net 2173.91 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 2 363.82 ₽ (you get 2 055.49)) · buy orders: 1082 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 184.84 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 395.66 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 1 909.32 ₽ listings: 58 on CS.Money: ~ 2 088.34 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 052.37 ₽ listings: 51
in profit
StatTrak™ AWP | Duality
Factory New
1 956.58 ₽ 3.33%
Steam StatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Factory New)net 1701.37 you get 0.056000The Revolution Collection sells 35 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 920.13 ₽ (you get 1 669.67)) · buy orders: 3379 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 672.65 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 834.05 · lots 21 on CSFloat: from 1 545.27 ₽ listings: 106 on CS.Money: ~ 1 762.84 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 651.49 ₽ listings: 68
in profit
StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick
Factory New
1 895.81 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Factory New)net 1648.53 you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection
by lot · 2 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 1 790.08 ₽ (you get 1 556.59)) · buy orders: 2524 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 426.48 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 564.13 · lots 19 on CSFloat: from 1 353.40 ₽ listings: 90 on CS.Money: ~ 1 350.83 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 422.78 ₽ listings: 66
in profit
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child
Factory New
1 752.37 ₽ 3.33%
Steam StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Factory New)net 1523.80 you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection sells 9 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 785.30 ₽ (you get 1 552.43)) · buy orders: 4519 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 421.89 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 559.10 · lots 12 on CSFloat: from 1 486.17 ₽ listings: 93 on CS.Money: ~ 2 503.79 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 453.62 ₽ listings: 44
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