Crafts · The Recoil Collection
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The Recoil Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1740761 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 333.50₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 5 537.50₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 6 871.00₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +24.1%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 95%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 13 576.72₽ · profit at most −6 705.72₽ (at most -49.4%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) × 2 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 1012.72 → 2238.11 ₽
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) × 7 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 4013.03 → 10233.23 ₽
XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 511.75 → 1105.38 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Snakebite Collection
+1 333.50 ₽ +24.1% chance of profit 95%
expensive: USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) · 7 709.81 ₽ · chance 45%
rare inputs
  • 2× P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750
  • 7× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750
  • 1× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750
Variant 2 The Revolution Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection
+2 340.05 ₽ +40.2% chance of profit 100%
expensive: M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) · 8 841.97 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly
  • 1× P250 | Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
  • 1× AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
  • 8× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
Variant 3 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+2 295.40 ₽ +31.5% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) · 14 528.03 ₽ · chance 10%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 5 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764
  • 2× CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
Variant 4 only The Snakebite Collection
+2 046.31 ₽ +29.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 10 178.43 ₽ · chance 50%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0771
  • 2× XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+1 591.83 ₽ +28.4% chance of profit 55%
expensive: M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) · 21 202.92 ₽ · chance 5.0%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0746
  • 1× AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1633
Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+1 428.59 ₽ +19.1% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 10 178.43 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 7× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0756
  • 2× XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0049
  • 1× P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0756

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2
P250 | Visions
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0750
1 012.72 ₽
at 506.36
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075082f′ (normalized) 0.107261wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 202 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 2 163.82 ₽ · little data: 3.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 6 of 198 · from 764.93 ₽ (float 0.0726) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×7
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0750
4 013.03 ₽
at 573.29
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075082f′ (normalized) 0.075082wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 253 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 151 · from 2 508.07 ₽ (float 0.0749) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
XM1014 | XOXO
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0750
511.75 ₽
at 511.75
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075082f′ (normalized) 0.083425wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 98 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 1 147.04 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 99) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 5 537.50 ₽ +1 333.50 (+24.1%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.082352841 result 0.057647, 0.070000, 0.065059, 0.082353 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 95%
  • Losing outcome 5%
in profit
AWP | Chromatic Aberration
Factory New
7 100.73 ₽ 45.00%
Steam AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New)net 6174.55 you get 0.057647 sells 34 a week sell now to a buy order: 7 133.54 ₽ (you get 6 203.07)) · buy orders: 2825 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 836.79 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 399.99 · lots 40 on CSFloat: from 5 330.50 ₽ listings: 184 on CS.Money: ~ 5 700.55 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 676.56 ₽ listings: 176
in profit
best
USP-S | Printstream
Factory New
8 866.28 ₽ 45.00%
Steam USP-S | Printstream (Factory New)net 7709.81 you get 0.070000 sells 33 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 7 742.83 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 489.95 · lots 45 on CSFloat: from 7 423.13 ₽ listings: 245 on CS.Money: ~ 8 402.20 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 993.62 ₽ listings: 196
in profit
M4A4 | In Living Color
Factory New
8 760.91 ₽ 5.00%
Steam M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New)net 7618.18 you get 0.065059The Snakebite Collection sells 12 a week sell now to a buy order: 8 724.72 ₽ (you get 7 586.71)) · buy orders: 2060 sell on Market.CSGO: 7 185.00 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 878.30 · lots 43 on CSFloat: from 6 848.37 ₽ listings: 102 on CS.Money: ~ 7 274.09 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 6 879.20 ₽ listings: 245
at a loss
worst
USP-S | The Traitor
Minimal Wear
5 569.01 ₽ 5.00%
Steam USP-S | The Traitor (Minimal Wear)net 4842.62 you get 0.082353The Snakebite Collection sells 53 a week sell now to a buy order: 5 330.08 ₽ (you get 4 634.85)) · buy orders: 2775 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 849.57 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 4 221.03 · lots 46 on CSFloat: from 4 101.31 ₽ listings: 175 on CS.Money: ~ 4 167.27 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 4 373.70 ₽ listings: 140
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