Crafts · The Recoil Collection
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The Recoil Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1740857 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +3 578.86₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 2 071.70₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 5 650.56₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +172.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 30%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 5 431.95₽ · profit at most +218.61₽ (at most +4.0%) · chance of profit at most 30%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) × 1 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 35.36 → 76.38 ₽
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) × 9 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 2036.34 → 5355.57 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −1 560 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −1 560 ₽: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Train 2025 Collection
+3 578.86 ₽ +172.7% chance of profit 30%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 560 ₽
  • 1× Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0078
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0078
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+482.93 ₽ +62.6% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AWP | Black Box (Factory New) · 2 128.47 ₽ · chance 30%
  • 1× Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 9× R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768
Variant 3 only The Train 2025 Collection
+3 996.74 ₽ +176.6% chance of profit 33%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 33%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 714 ₽
  • 10× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0079
Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+3 950.83 ₽ +160.5% chance of profit 40%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 967 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0064
  • 1× MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0245
Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+3 793.28 ₽ +165.4% chance of profit 34%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 685 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0073
  • 1× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0873
Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+3 670.75 ₽ +166.4% chance of profit 32%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 626 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 6 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
  • 1× UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0751

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

11% of lots fit ≈ enough for 4 contracts · medium (estimate)

Price understated: only 11% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
Galil AR | Destroyer
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0078
35.36 ₽
at 35.36
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007889f′ (normalized) 0.011271wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 645 · good ≈ 16
Market history: no data yet
×9
XM1014 | Run Run Run
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0078
2 036.34 ₽
at 226.26
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007889f′ (normalized) 0.010567wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 505 · good ≈ 39
on the market with this float, usually ~19, new ~1.65 per day, cheapest usually 1 498.16 ₽ · among lots up to 3 300.00 ₽
Set · 10 pcs 2 071.70 ₽ +3 578.86 (+172.8%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.010638198 result 0.007447, 0.010638, 0.070000, 0.010638, 0.006915, 0.007447, 0.010638, 0.007447 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 8 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 30%
  • Losing outcome 70%
at a loss
MAC-10 | Derailment
Factory New
725.39 ₽ 30.00%
Steam MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New)net 630.77 you get 0.007447The Train 2025 Collection sells 74 a week sell now to a buy order: 687.54 ₽ (you get 597.86)) · buy orders: 1828
at a loss
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
Factory New
1 168.47 ₽ 30.00%
Steam Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Factory New)net 1016.06 you get 0.010638The Train 2025 Collection sells 23 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 046.13 ₽ (you get 909.67)) · buy orders: 1772
in profit
best
Tec-9 | Whiteout
Factory New
19 700.88 ₽ 30.00%
price without deals
Steam Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New)net 17131.20 you get 0.070000The Train 2025 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora
Factory New
324.25 ₽ 2.00%
Steam Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Factory New)net 281.96 you get 0.010638 sells 90 a week sell now to a buy order: 318.43 ₽ (you get 276.89)) · buy orders: 25741
at a loss
worst
M249 | Downtown
Factory New
109.03 ₽ 2.00%
Steam M249 | Downtown (Factory New)net 94.81 you get 0.006915 sells 258 a week sell now to a buy order: 134.83 ₽ (you get 117.24)) · buy orders: 18058
at a loss
P90 | Vent Rush
Factory New
120.82 ₽ 2.00%
Steam P90 | Vent Rush (Factory New)net 105.06 you get 0.007447 sells 245 a week sell now to a buy order: 131.96 ₽ (you get 114.74)) · buy orders: 21396
at a loss
R8 Revolver | Crazy 8
Factory New
292.34 ₽ 2.00%
Steam R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Factory New)net 254.21 you get 0.010638 sells 69 a week sell now to a buy order: 288.78 ₽ (you get 251.11)) · buy orders: 15904
at a loss
SG 553 | Dragon Tech
Factory New
139.64 ₽ 2.00%
Steam SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Factory New)net 121.43 you get 0.007447 sells 386 a week no buy orders
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