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The Recoil Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +572.09₽

Invest 1 195.90₽

Average return 1 767.99₽

ROI +47.8%

Chance of profit 70%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 3 001.23₽ · profit at most −1 233.24₽ (at most -41.1%) · chance of profit at most 18%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) × 3 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 166.62 → 376.56 ₽

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) × 7 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 1029.28 → 2624.66 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −871 ₽

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

+572.09 ₽ +47.8% chance of profit 70%

expensive: StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Marina (Factory New) · 5 652.17 ₽ · chance 18%

profit on prices without salesat least −871 ₽

3× StatTrak™ Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
7× StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

+10 786.97 ₽ +515.3% chance of profit 40%

expensive: StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) · 46 304.35 ₽ · chance 13%

profit on prices without salesat least −1 900 ₽

6× StatTrak™ Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
4× StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0836

Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

+10 638.29 ₽ +305.5% chance of profit 55%

expensive: StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) · 46 304.35 ₽ · chance 13%

profit on prices without salesat least −3 286 ₽

6× StatTrak™ M249 | Magma (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
4× StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0836

Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

+7 432.09 ₽ +195.7% chance of profit 38%

expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 49 848.43 ₽ · chance 18%

profit on prices without salesat least −3 346 ₽

1× StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
9× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0835

Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

+7 316.91 ₽ +197.4% chance of profit 54%

expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 49 848.43 ₽ · chance 18%

profit on prices without salesat least −3 255 ₽

1× StatTrak™ Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
9× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0859

Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

+580.89 ₽ +72.4% chance of profit 45%

expensive: StatTrak™ Negev | Power Loader (Factory New) · 3 652.17 ₽ · chance 15%

profit on prices without salesat least −544 ₽

1× StatTrak™ Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
9× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

166.62 ₽

at 55.54

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

1 029.28 ₽

at 147.04

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 195.90 ₽ +572.09 (+47.8%)

profit on prices without sales at least −170 ₽

11% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 11% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

67.16 ₽

at 16.79

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

277.70 ₽

at 55.54

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

147.04 ₽

at 147.04

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 491.90 ₽ +36.01 (+7.3%)

profit on prices without sales at least −650 ₽

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

16.79 ₽

at 16.79

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

222.16 ₽

at 55.54

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

735.20 ₽

at 147.04

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 974.15 ₽ +380.48 (+39.1%)

profit on prices without sales at least −521 ₽

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

33.58 ₽

at 16.79

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

222.16 ₽

at 55.54

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

588.16 ₽

at 147.04

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 843.90 ₽ +304.05 (+36.0%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 52%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 18%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Marina

Factory New

6 500.00 ₽ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Pulse

Factory New

1 499.99 ₽ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Rose Iron

Factory New

1 594.94 ₽ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

1 390.00 ₽ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora

Factory New

617.65 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

185.76 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush

Factory New

254.27 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Factory New

513.99 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Factory New

275.38 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +281.16 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +562.07 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 25 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

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profit on prices without salesat least −1 144 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −820 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −984 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −803 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −805 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −820 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −1 104 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −996 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build