The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.

Average profit +14 385.96₽

Invest 15 010.36₽

Average return 29 396.32₽

ROI +95.8%

Chance of profit 60%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 37 596.58₽ · profit at most −8 200.26₽ (at most -21.8%) · chance of profit at most 60%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

M249 | Downtown (Factory New) × 4 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 547.72 → 1295.36 ₽

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) × 6 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 14462.64 → 36301.23 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −14 649 ₽

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

+14 385.96 ₽ +95.8% chance of profit 60%

expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 55 811.32 ₽ · chance 30%

profit on prices without salesat least −14 649 ₽

4× M249 | Downtown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
6× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

+2 180.22 ₽ +45.7% chance of profit 90%

expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× M249 | Downtown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767

Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

+701.74 ₽ +40.9% chance of profit 90%

expensive: M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear) · 2 681.68 ₽ · chance 45%

1× M249 | Downtown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048
9× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1658

Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

+9 956.14 ₽ +57.5% chance of profit 50%

expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 55 811.32 ₽ · chance 25%

profit on prices without salesat least −16 067 ₽

5× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
5× P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038

Variant 5 only The eSports 2013 Collection

+8 225.91 ₽ +20.5% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 55 811.32 ₽ · chance 50%

profit on prices without salesat least −40 165 ₽

6× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
4× P250 | Splash (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605

Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

+7 014.72 ₽ +21.1% chance of profit 80%

expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 55 811.32 ₽ · chance 40%

profit on prices without salesat least −32 789 ₽

5× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0747
3× P250 | Splash (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605
1× P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0747
1 more

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

547.72 ₽

at 136.93

Steam

×6

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

14 462.64 ₽

at 2 410.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15 010.36 ₽ +14 385.96 (+95.8%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Red Laminate

Factory New

64 183.02 ₽ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | BOOM

Factory New

47 116.35 ₽ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Ice Coaled

Factory New

1 404.87 ₽ 13.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Visions

Factory New

770.96 ₽ 13.33%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Factory New

943.86 ₽ 13.33%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +8 851.00 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +13 010.88 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 34 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

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profit on prices without salesat least −13 595 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −15 025 ₽ rare inputs

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How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build