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The Revolution Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +10.79$

Invest 60.01$

Average return 70.80$

ROI +18.0%

Chance of profit 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 154.90$ · profit at most −84.10$ (at most -54.3%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) × 1 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 6.24 → 13.49 $

XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) × 9 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 53.77 → 141.41 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Revolution Collection + The Snakebite Collection

+10.79 $ +18.0% chance of profit 45%

expensive: M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New) · 88.94 $ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0787
9× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0787

Variant 2 only The Revolution Collection

+27.06 $ +38.8% chance of profit 100%

expensive: M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) · 103.22 $ · chance 50%

sells slowly

9× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0769
1× AWP | Duality (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060

Variant 3 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

+26.80 $ +31.5% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) · 169.60 $ · chance 10%

sells slowly

8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764
2× CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056

Variant 4 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

+25.03 $ +32.7% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) · 169.60 $ · chance 5.0%

sells slowly

1× AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748
8× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748
1× CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042

Variant 5 only The Snakebite Collection

+23.89 $ +29.9% chance of profit 100%

expensive: USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 118.83 $ · chance 50%

sells slowly

8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0771
2× XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062

Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

+21.03 $ +27.4% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) · 111.91 $ · chance 5.0%

sells slowly

8× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
1× AWP | Duality (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
1× P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744

How to build

11% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 11% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

AWP | Duality

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0787

6.24 $

at 6.24

Steam

×9

XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0787

53.77 $

at 5.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 60.01 $ +10.79 (+18.0%)

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

3.93 $

at 3.93

Steam

×5

P2000 | Wicked Sick

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

32.26 $

at 6.45

Steam

×4

XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

23.90 $

at 5.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 60.09 $ +1.05 (+1.8%)

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

3.93 $

at 3.93

Steam

×4

P2000 | Wicked Sick

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

25.81 $

at 6.45

Steam

×5

XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

29.87 $

at 5.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 59.61 $ +3.46 (+5.8%)

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

3.93 $

at 3.93

Steam

×3

P2000 | Wicked Sick

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

19.36 $

at 6.45

Steam

×6

XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

35.85 $

at 5.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 59.13 $ +5.87 (+9.9%)

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

P2000 | Wicked Sick

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

12.90 $

at 6.45

Steam

×1

MP9 | Food Chain

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

4.47 $

at 4.47

Steam

×7

XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

41.82 $

at 5.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 59.19 $ +9.68 (+16.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

102.28 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | The Traitor

Minimal Wear

65.01 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Head Shot

Minimal Wear

61.68 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M4A4 | Temukau

Minimal Wear

61.16 $ 5.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week -1.17 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7.28 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Revolution Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1726586 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 11.76$ · invest 62.61$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) instead of AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079545 instead of 0.078762
Craft 1742385 · The Snakebite Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 11.68$ · invest 66.94$
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) instead of AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077531 instead of 0.078762
Craft 1718025 · The CS20 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 11.42$ · invest 60.77$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear) instead of AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075382 instead of 0.078762
Craft 1721094 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 11.11$ · invest 69.05$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear) instead of AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078422 instead of 0.078762
Craft 1736466 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 10.90$ · invest 59.26$
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Minimal Wear) instead of AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077100 instead of 0.078762
Craft 1728837 · The Fever Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 10.83$ · invest 60.73$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) instead of AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080552 instead of 0.078762
Craft 1726587 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 10.72$ · invest 62.61$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) instead of AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080552 instead of 0.078762

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Revolution Collection + The Snakebite Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build