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The Shadow Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +536.29₽

Invest 1 202.96₽

Average return 1 739.25₽

ROI +44.6%

Chance of profit 85%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 2 894.01₽ · profit at most −1 154.76₽ (at most -39.9%) · chance of profit at most 8%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) × 6 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 784.62 → 1969.40 ₽

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) × 3 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 210.00 → 474.60 ₽

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 208.34 → 450.01 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −1 104 ₽

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

+536.29 ₽ +44.6% chance of profit 85%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Rat Rod (Factory New) · 3 826.08 ₽ · chance 8.0%

profit on prices without salesat least −1 104 ₽

6× StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
3× StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
1× StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

+10 186.30 ₽ +266.0% chance of profit 40%

expensive: StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) · 46 304.35 ₽ · chance 13%

profit on prices without salesat least −3 830 ₽

6× StatTrak™ Nova | Plume (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
4× StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0837

Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

+8 275.80 ₽ +370.2% chance of profit 48%

expensive: StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) · 46 304.35 ₽ · chance 10%

profit on prices without salesat least −2 120 ₽

7× StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
3× StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0838

Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

+7 353.45 ₽ +190.6% chance of profit 36%

expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 49 848.43 ₽ · chance 18%

profit on prices without salesat least −3 440 ₽

1× StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
9× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0843

Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

+7 351.78 ₽ +194.4% chance of profit 36%

expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 49 848.43 ₽ · chance 18%

profit on prices without salesat least −3 346 ₽

1× StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0057
9× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0857

Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

+676.71 ₽ +47.6% chance of profit 25%

expensive: StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Marina (Factory New) · 5 652.17 ₽ · chance 18%

profit on prices without salesat least −1 144 ₽

3× StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
7× StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

784.62 ₽

at 130.77

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

210.00 ₽

at 70.00

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

208.34 ₽

at 208.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 202.96 ₽ +536.29 (+44.6%)

profit on prices without sales at least −1 619 ₽

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

261.54 ₽

at 130.77

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

140.00 ₽

at 70.00

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

1 250.04 ₽

at 208.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 651.58 ₽ +404.65 (+24.5%)

profit on prices without sales at least −955 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

250.20 ₽

at 83.40

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

653.85 ₽

at 130.77

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

70.00 ₽

at 70.00

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Torn

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

113.00 ₽

at 113.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 087.05 ₽ +493.71 (+45.4%)

profit on prices without sales at least −1 383 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

83.40 ₽

at 83.40

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

392.31 ₽

at 130.77

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

140.00 ₽

at 70.00

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

833.36 ₽

at 208.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 449.07 ₽ +448.67 (+31.0%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 47%
Losing outcome 15%
About break-even 38%

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

2 986.63 ₽ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

1 403.04 ₽ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

758.99 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

1 393.80 ₽ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Rat Rod

Factory New

4 399.99 ₽ 8.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf

Factory New

1 396.30 ₽ 8.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Embargo

Factory New

2 332.50 ₽ 8.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian

Factory New

2 405.81 ₽ 8.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Neon Ply

Factory New

2 200.00 ₽ 8.00%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +270.04 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +502.67 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1742169 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 518.05₽ · invest 1 072.46₽
profit on prices without salesat least −456 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New)
Craft 1735112 · The Horizon Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 479.58₽ · invest 1 030.04₽
profit on prices without salesat least −783 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163616 instead of 0.163050; StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074736 instead of 0.074539
Craft 1721049 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 464.22₽ · invest 996.86₽
profit on prices without salesat least −422 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build