Crafts · The Shadow Collection
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The Shadow Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1742003 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +486.75₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 830.50₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 1 317.25₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +58.6%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 92%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 2 139.77₽ · profit at most −822.51₽ (at most -38.4%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 94.57 → 204.27 ₽
R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear) × 9 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 735.93 → 1935.50 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Spy Tech Collection
+486.75 ₽ +58.6% chance of profit 92%
expensive: AWP | Black Box (Factory New) · 2 128.47 ₽ · chance 30%
rare inputs
  • 1× MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
  • 9× R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
Variant 2 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+462.94 ₽ +49.8% chance of profit 66%
expensive: Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Factory New) · 3 315.59 ₽ · chance 2.0%
rare inputs
  • 9× R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
  • 1× MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection
+3 582.69 ₽ +168.1% chance of profit 30%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 557 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 9 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+3 526.08 ₽ +157.1% chance of profit 30%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 613 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× AUG | Signal Scanner (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0081
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0081
Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+2 688.12 ₽ +70.4% chance of profit 80%
expensive: Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) · 9 803.48 ₽ · chance 27%
profit on prices without salesat least −3 544 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× AUG | Signal Scanner (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
  • 8× MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0225
Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection
+2 433.18 ₽ +74.6% chance of profit 70%
expensive: Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) · 9 803.48 ₽ · chance 23%
profit on prices without salesat least −3 019 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 3× MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
  • 7× MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0225

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
MAC-10 | Rangeen
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0056
94.57 ₽
at 94.57
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005697f′ (normalized) 0.011395wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 299 · good ≈ 5
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 164 · from 524.23 ₽ (float 0.0036) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×9
R8 Revolver | Monarch
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0765
735.93 ₽
at 81.77
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076511f′ (normalized) 0.076511wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 152 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 172) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 830.50 ₽ +486.75 (+58.6%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.063000, 0.070000, 0.043400, 0.063000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 7 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 92%
  • Losing outcome 8%
in profit
best
AWP | Black Box
Factory New
2 447.74 ₽ 30.00%
Steam AWP | Black Box (Factory New)net 2128.47 you get 0.070000The Spy Tech Collection sells 34 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 354.26 ₽ (you get 2 047.18)) · buy orders: 1974 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 088.47 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 289.99 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 1 916.17 ₽ listings: 49 on CS.Money: ~ 2 230.54 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 023.24 ₽ listings: 83
in profit
CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics
Factory New
1 005.35 ₽ 30.00%
Steam CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Factory New)net 874.22 you get 0.070000The Spy Tech Collection sells ≈35 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 998.31 ₽ (you get 868.09)) · buy orders: 1458 sell on Market.CSGO: 835.55 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 916.18 · lots 13 on CSFloat: from 810.33 ₽ listings: 61 on CS.Money: ~ 809.47 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 795.76 ₽ listings: 62
in profit
Nova | Smart Gun
Factory New
1 289.00 ₽ 30.00%
Steam Nova | Smart Gun (Factory New)net 1120.87 you get 0.070000The Spy Tech Collection sells 30 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 864.59 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 948.02 · lots 7 on CSFloat: from 856.58 ₽ listings: 39 on CS.Money: ~ 916.54 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 847.16 ₽ listings: 62
in profit
Galil AR | Stone Cold
Factory New
1 970.27 ₽ 2.50%
Steam Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New)net 1713.28 you get 0.063000 sells ≈18 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 2 001.41 ₽ (you get 1 740.35)) · buy orders: 4669 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 605.74 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 760.69 · lots 28 on CSFloat: from 1 567.54 ₽ listings: 108 on CS.Money: ~ 1 612.94 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 570.97 ₽ listings: 147
at a loss
M249 | Nebula Crusader
Factory New
617.65 ₽ 2.50%
Steam M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New)net 537.09 you get 0.070000 sells 9 a week sell now to a buy order: 615.82 ₽ (you get 535.49)) · buy orders: 3342 sell on Market.CSGO: 541.07 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 593.28 · lots 12 on CSFloat: from 568.77 ₽ listings: 41 on CS.Money: ~ 520.80 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 519.09 ₽ listings: 60
at a loss
worst
MP7 | Special Delivery
Factory New
466.76 ₽ 2.50%
Steam MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New)net 405.88 you get 0.043400 sells 26 a week sell now to a buy order: 506.81 ₽ (you get 440.70)) · buy orders: 4069 sell on Market.CSGO: 427.77 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 469.05 · lots 17 on CSFloat: from 425.72 ₽ listings: 59 on CS.Money: ~ 417.16 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 459.98 ₽ listings: 88
at a loss
P250 | Wingshot
Factory New
633.92 ₽ 2.50%
Steam P250 | Wingshot (Factory New)net 551.23 you get 0.063000 sells 16 a week sell now to a buy order: 600.52 ₽ (you get 522.19)) · buy orders: 5454 sell on Market.CSGO: 537.13 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 588.96 · lots 32 on CSFloat: from 501.96 ₽ listings: 112 on CS.Money: ~ 526.80 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 530.22 ₽ listings: 136
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