Crafts · The Shadow Collection
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The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1742122 · ways to build: 5 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +32 854.82₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 40 553.77₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 73 408.59₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +81.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 101 615.54₽ · profit at most −28 206.95₽ (at most -27.8%) · chance of profit at most 45%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 772.45 → 1668.49 ₽
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 2 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 4398.00 → 9719.58 ₽
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) × 7 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 35383.32 → 90227.47 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −40 554 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −40 554 ₽: StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New), StatTrak™ AK-47 | Red Laminate (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New), StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New), StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection
+32 854.82 ₽ +81.0% chance of profit 45%
expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) · 139 259.75 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −40 554 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
  • 2× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1679
  • 7× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0762
Variant 2 only The eSports 2013 Collection
+57 413.99 ₽ +88.8% chance of profit 100%
expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) · 139 259.75 ₽ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −12 216 ₽ marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
  • 4× StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605
Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+53 166.23 ₽ +92.2% chance of profit 90%
expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) · 139 259.75 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −9 501 ₽ marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
  • 3× StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605
  • 1× StatTrak™ P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+51 486.97 ₽ +85.6% chance of profit 90%
expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) · 139 259.75 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −12 958 ₽ marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
  • 4× StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605
  • 1× StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection
+8 205.13 ₽ +66.6% chance of profit 63%
expensive: StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Minimal Wear) · 35 000.00 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −12 313 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0055
  • 2× StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
  • 7× StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0055
Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection
+7 798.83 ₽ +117.9% chance of profit 83%
expensive: StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Factory New) · 33 082.76 ₽ · chance 12%
profit on prices without salesat least −6 612 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 2 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
  • 5× StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0054
772.45 ₽
at 772.45
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005478f′ (normalized) 0.008835wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 25 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
×2
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1679
4 398.00 ₽
at 2 199.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.167999f′ (normalized) 0.145945wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 12 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
×7
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0762
35 383.32 ₽
at 5 054.76
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076260f′ (normalized) 0.021973wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 3 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 40 553.77 ₽ +32 854.82 (+81.0%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.045454445 result 0.093636, 0.070000, 0.058636, 0.040909, 0.029091 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
at a loss
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Red Laminate
Minimal Wear
24 628.53 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Red Laminate (Minimal Wear)net 21416.11 you get 0.093636The eSports 2013 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 19 371.19 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 21 240.34 · lots 11 on CSFloat: from 17 988.21 ₽ listings: 38 on Lis-Skins: from 19 627.70 ₽ listings: 35
in profit
best
StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM
Factory New
160 148.71 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New)net 139259.75 you get 0.070000The eSports 2013 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders not listed on Market.CSGO right now on CSFloat: from 66 622.32 ₽ listings: 12 on Lis-Skins: from 70 631.12 ₽ listings: 10
at a loss
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty
Factory New
19 770.00 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New)net 17191.30 you get 0.058636
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 13 988.76 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 15 338.56 · lots 7 on CSFloat: from 12 588.32 ₽ listings: 33 on CS.Money: ~ 13 908.31 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 13 139.96 ₽ listings: 42
at a loss
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux
Factory New
10 965.61 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New)net 9535.31 you get 0.040909
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 3 928.23 ₽ (you get 3 415.85)) · buy orders: 114 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 622.93 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 165.50 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 5 557.50 ₽ listings: 7 on CS.Money: ~ 5 056.40 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 363.05 ₽ listings: 20
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron
Factory New
7 367.87 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New)net 6406.84 you get 0.029091
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 6 180.59 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 776.97 · lots 17 on CSFloat: from 5 669.71 ₽ listings: 26 on CS.Money: ~ 6 400.37 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 6 501.45 ₽ listings: 43
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